Result
2:2
14/03/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 30
- Referee: Massimi L. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.31 | 1.85 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 24 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (279/355) | 81% (300/369) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.31 | 1.85 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 1.20 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 24 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 35 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (279/355) | 81% (300/369) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (35/68) | 28% (13/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (83/109) | 73% (111/152) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (2/8) | 33% (7/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.49 | 1.86 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (14/18) | 78% (7/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.20 | 1.64 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.80 | -0.36 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 35', Guidi M. 🟨,
- 40', 0 - 1, Corrado N. ⚽, Calo G. (A),
- 45+4', Shpendi C. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 51', Piacentini M. 🟨,
- 52', Gelli J. 🟨,
- 57', Guidi M. ↓, Corazza T. ↑,
- 59', 1 - 1, Corazza T. ⚽, Berti T. (A),
- 64', Koutsoupias I. ↓, Gelli F. ↑,
- 65', Kvernadze G. ↓, Fiori A. ↑,
- 72', 1 - 2, Ghedjemis F. ⚽, Calo G. (A),
- 73', Bisoli D. ↓, Bastoni S. ↑,
- 73', Ciofi A. ↓, Amoran P. ↑,
- 77', Raimondo A. ↓, Vergani E. ↑,
- 77', Cichella M. ↓, Bracaglia G. ↑,
- 79', 2 - 2, Corazza T. ⚽, Castagnetti M. (A),
- 84', Cichella M. ↓, Kone B. L. ↑,
- 85', Shpendi C. ↓, Francesconi M. ↑,
- 85', Berti T. ↓, Vrioni G. ↑,
- 88', Amoran P. 🟨,
- 90+5', Francesconi M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cesena
35.1% | Draw
26.9% | Frosinone
38% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cesena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)Frosinone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cesena than the current prediction. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Frosinone than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Cesena - Frosinone Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.67 ↑
(2.52) |
3.45 ↓
(3.71) |
2.48 ↑
(2.47) |
6.8%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Cesena - Frosinone?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Cesena will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). Frosinone will win (votes: 7 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 42.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Frosinone: 23.8% – 76.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Frosinone (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cesena won 1.
- Cesena is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Frosinone is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Cesena: Castrovilli G.
(Inactive)
Magni V.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Frosinone: Barcella K.
(Injury)
Bracaglia G.
(Inactive)
Cittadini G.
(Injury)
Monterisi I.
(Inactive)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Cesena won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1.4:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cesena won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Cesena won against Frosinone?
Cesena has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Frosinone won against Cesena?
Frosinone has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cesena - Frosinone were as follows:
30.09.2025
Frosinone
-
Cesena
3:1
13.04.2025
Cesena
-
Frosinone
1:1
01.12.2024
Frosinone
-
Cesena
3:2
Latest results of Frosinone
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 31 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 63:26 | 37 | 67 |
| 2 | Monza | 31 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 49:25 | 24 | 64 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 31 | 17 | 11 | 3 | 59:31 | 28 | 62 |
| 4 | Palermo | 31 | 16 | 10 | 5 | 51:27 | 24 | 58 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 48:35 | 13 | 52 |
| 6 | Modena | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 40:24 | 16 | 47 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 31 | 9 | 15 | 7 | 35:37 | -2 | 42 |
| 8 | Cesena | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38:46 | -8 | 40 |
| 9 | Avellino | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 36:49 | -13 | 39 |
| 10 | Sudtirol | 31 | 8 | 14 | 9 | 33:32 | 1 | 38 |
| 11 | Carrarese | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 38:42 | -4 | 36 |
| 12 | Padova | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 32:42 | -10 | 34 |
| 13 | Mantova | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 35:46 | -11 | 34 |
| 14 | Empoli | 31 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 39:45 | -6 | 33 |
| 15 | Sampdoria | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 29:42 | -13 | 31 |
| 16 | Bari | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 30:47 | -17 | 31 |
| 17 | Entella | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 28:45 | -17 | 31 |
| 18 | Spezia | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 30:43 | -13 | 30 |
| 19 | Reggiana | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 30:46 | -16 | 30 |
| 20 | Pescara | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 41:54 | -13 | 29 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
