Result
0:0
03/05/2026 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 32
- Referee: Verissimo F. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | ZAP |
 Angola | Z Sports 1 |
 Croatia | SportKlub 3 |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 3 |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 3 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 0.66 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (260/336) | 83% (356/429) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 0.66 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 0.34 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 31 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (260/336) | 83% (356/429) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (25/55) | 49% (18/37) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (51/89) | 74% (96/130) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (8/23) | 18% (6/33) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 0.79 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 26 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (12/20) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 38 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.34 | 0.81 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.34 | 0.81 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Fernandez M. ↓, Moreira A. ↑,
- 58', Hernandez H. ↓, Varela G. ↑,
- 63', Ryan Guilherme 🟨,
- 63', Spikic D. ↓, Pohlmann O. ↑,
- 69', Ze Carlos 🟨,
- 79', Ze Carlos ↓, Bermejo ↑,
- 82', Abbey N. ↓, Richards O. ↑,
- 83', Vrousai M. ↓, Tome J. ↑,
- 87', Monteiro T. ↓, Papakanellos A. ↑,
- 87', Ryan Guilherme ↓, Liavas G. ↑,
- 87', Murilo de Souza ↓, Carlos Eduardo ↑,
- 88', Elimbi M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Rio Ave
25.3% | Draw
26.9% | Gil Vicente
47.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rio Ave has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)Gil Vicente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Ave than the current prediction. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gil Vicente than the current prediction. (-3%)
Rio Ave - Gil Vicente Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.72 ↑
(3.5) |
3.5 ↑
(3.25) |
1.98 ↓
(2.06) |
6%
(7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Rio Ave - Gil Vicente?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Rio Ave will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Gil Vicente will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gil Vicente: 47.7% – 95.1%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Gil Vicente will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rio Ave won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Rio Ave may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Gil Vicente is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Rio Ave: Aguilera Zamora B.
(Knee Injury)
Ntoi A.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Gil Vicente: Bamba M.
(Injury)
Caseres F.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rio Ave won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:22. (average 1.3:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rio Ave won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 1.4:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Rio Ave won against Gil Vicente?
Rio Ave has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gil Vicente won against Rio Ave?
Gil Vicente has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rio Ave - Gil Vicente were as follows:
20.12.2025
Gil Vicente
-
Rio Ave
2:2
16.05.2025
Rio Ave
-
Gil Vicente
1:1
06.01.2025
Gil Vicente
-
Rio Ave
1:1
06.04.2024
Rio Ave
-
Gil Vicente
3:0
12.11.2023
Gil Vicente
-
Rio Ave
1:1
Latest results of Rio Ave
Latest results of Gil Vicente
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto ✔ | 32 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 64:15 | 49 | 85 |
| 2 | Benfica | 32 | 22 | 10 | 0 | 69:22 | 47 | 76 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 31 | 22 | 7 | 2 | 77:22 | 55 | 73 |
| 4 | Braga | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 60:32 | 28 | 57 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 41:29 | 12 | 52 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 46:32 | 14 | 50 |
| 7 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 38:43 | -5 | 42 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 37:47 | -10 | 42 |
| 9 | Estoril | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 52:53 | -1 | 38 |
| 10 | Alverca | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 34:50 | -16 | 38 |
| 11 | Arouca | 32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 41:62 | -21 | 36 |
| 12 | Rio Ave | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 33:52 | -19 | 35 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 30:40 | -10 | 33 |
| 14 | Nacional | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 35:43 | -8 | 31 |
| 15 | Estrela | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 36:54 | -18 | 28 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 29:56 | -27 | 26 |
| 17 | Tondela | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 24:52 | -28 | 25 |
| 18 | AFS ✔ | 32 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 24:66 | -42 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
FC Porto is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
AFS is Relegated to Liga Portugal 2
