Result
1:2
02/05/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 46
- Referee: Miles J. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.24 | 1.34 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 59% (196/330) | 53% (123/233) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.24 | 1.34 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.91 | 2.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 38 | 35 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 59% (196/330) | 53% (123/233) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (41/102) | 31% (27/87) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (100/187) | 56% (60/108) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 5% (2/39) | 36% (5/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 1.39 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 31 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (4/7) | 54% (7/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 65 | 65 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 74 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.00 | 1.91 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.91 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 9', 1 - 0, McCann C. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Jarvis C. ↓, Davies T. ↑,
- 48', Gordon J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 61', McCann C. 🟨,
- 66', Hemmings K. ↓, Newby E. ↑,
- 76', 1 - 1, Davies T. ⚽, Crole J. (A),
- 77', Gordon J. ↓, Fletcher I. ↑,
- 77', Jackson B. ↓, Anderson J. ↑,
- 80', Anderson J. 🟨,
- 83', 1 - 2, Kamwa B. ⚽, Sprangler S. (A),
- 84', Kamwa B. 🟨,
- 85', Rose D. ↓, Whitfield B. ↑,
- 85', Raglan C. ↓, Malcolm J. ↑,
- 87', Lloyd B. ↓, Spellman M. ↑,
- 90+5', Kamwa B. ↓, Smith M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Barrow
33.1% | Draw
28% | Newport County
38.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barrow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barrow's form might have worsened.Newport County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Newport County's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barrow than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barrow, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Newport County, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Barrow - Newport County Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.83 ↑
(2.37) |
3.34 ↓
(3.39) |
2.41 ↓
(2.75) |
6.9%
(8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Barrow - Newport County?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Newport will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 21).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barrow won 2.
- Barrow is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Newport has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Barrow: Anderson F.
(Injury)
Canavan N.
(Inactive)
Walker T.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Barrow: Earing J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Newport: Baker-Richardson C.
(Inactive)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Barrow won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:14. (average 1.1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Barrow won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Barrow won against Newport County?
Barrow has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Newport County won against Barrow?
Newport County has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Barrow - Newport County were as follows:
29.11.2025
Newport County
-
Barrow
2:2
01.02.2025
Newport County
-
Barrow
1:0
21.09.2024
Barrow
-
Newport County
2:0
23.03.2024
Barrow
-
Newport County
1:0
16.09.2023
Newport County
-
Barrow
1:1
Latest results of Newport County
English League Two Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley ✔ | 46 | 24 | 15 | 7 | 71:46 | 25 | 87 |
| 2 | MK Dons ✔ | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 86:45 | 41 | 86 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 46 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 66:33 | 33 | 82 |
| 4 | Salford | 46 | 25 | 6 | 15 | 61:51 | 10 | 81 |
| 5 | Notts Co | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 74:52 | 22 | 80 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 46 | 21 | 16 | 9 | 71:56 | 15 | 79 |
| 7 | Grimsby | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 74:50 | 24 | 78 |
| 8 | Barnet | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 70:53 | 17 | 76 |
| 9 | Swindon | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 70:59 | 11 | 75 |
| 10 | Oldham | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 60:44 | 16 | 68 |
| 11 | Crewe | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 64:58 | 6 | 67 |
| 12 | Colchester | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 62:49 | 13 | 66 |
| 13 | Walsall | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 56:56 | 0 | 65 |
| 14 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 56:65 | -9 | 62 |
| 15 | Fleetwood | 46 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 57:58 | -1 | 61 |
| 16 | Accrington | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47:58 | -11 | 53 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 53:72 | -19 | 53 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 53:79 | -26 | 52 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 42:69 | -27 | 49 |
| 20 | Newport | 46 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 48:77 | -29 | 43 |
| 21 | Tranmere | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 54:79 | -25 | 41 |
| 22 | Crawley | 46 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 44:68 | -24 | 40 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 39:68 | -29 | 39 |
| 24 | Barrow | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 45:78 | -33 | 36 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
Clinched Spots for Teams
Bromley is Qualified for League One
MK Dons is Qualified for League One
