Cheltenham Town vs Walsall – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
25/10/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 14
  • Referee: Yates O. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.631.74
Ball Possession
67%33%
Total shots
814
Shots on target
16
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
14
Passes
86% (487/568)70% (186/265)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
0.631.74
xG on target (xGOT)
0.050.80
Total shots
814
Shots on target
16
Shots off target
36
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
310
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
14
Touches in opposition box
1029
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
96
Passes
86% (487/568)70% (186/265)
Long passes
38% (24/63)32% (17/53)
Passes in final third
71% (61/86)63% (80/127)
Crosses
21% (3/14)19% (5/26)
Expected assists (xA)
0.431.33
Throw-ins
3329
Fouls
69
Tackles
60% (9/15)87% (20/23)
Duels won
4846
Clearances
4018
Interceptions
39
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
61
xGOT faced
0.800.05
Goals prevented
0.800.05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 30', Warrington L. , Comley B. ,
  • 36', Tomkinson J. 🟨,
  • 45+4', Young L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 49', Okeke J. 🟨,
  • 70', Pressley A. , Adomah A. ,
  • 70', Jellis J. , Lakin C. ,
  • 80', Hutchinson I. , Taylor T. ,
  • 80', Thomas J. , Martin J. ,
  • 86', Clarke C. , Finnigan R. ,
  • 86', Kanu D. , Matt J. ,
  • 90+2', 1 - 0, Flint A. (Own goal),
  • 90+3', Bickerstaff J. , Kinsella L. ,

Chances of winning


Cheltenham Town
23.3%
Draw
26.6%
Walsall
50.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23.9% 26.8% 49.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.3% 26.2% 50.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cheltenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • Walsall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Cheltenham Town aligns with the current prediction.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Walsall than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • Cheltenham Town - Walsall Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.04
    (3.89)
    3.52
    (3.47)
    1.87
    (1.88)
    6.8%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Cheltenham Town - Walsall?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Walsall (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Walsall will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 53.51%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 22 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cheltenham won 3.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • In this match, Walsall is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Cheltenham: Anderson T. (Hamstring Injury) Bennett S. (Inactive) Cundy R. (Hamstring Injury) Miller G. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Walsall: Cox D. (International duty) Hancock M. (Knee Injury) Williams H. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There are questionable in Walsall: Burke H. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Cheltenham won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:10. (average 2.1:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cheltenham won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 13:6. (average 2.2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cheltenham Town - Walsall were as follows:
    25.02.2025 Cheltenham Town - Walsall 2:2
    31.08.2024 Walsall - Cheltenham Town 2:1
    20.09.2022 Cheltenham Town - Walsall 2:1
    Latest results of Cheltenham Town
    Latest results of Walsall
    18.10.2025 Walsall - Barrow 1:2
    11.10.2025 Crawley Town - Walsall 1:1
    07.10.2025 Walsall - Northampton Town 0:1
    04.10.2025 Walsall - Bristol Rovers 2:1
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley351912458:352369
    2Cambridge Utd341810649:272264
    3MK Dons341711663:342962
    4Swindon351951157:411662
    5Notts Co34187952:331961
    6Chesterfield351414755:441156
    7Crewe351681152:411156
    8Grimsby341510949:381155
    9Salford341741347:46155
    10Barnet3514111044:37753
    11Walsall341581142:37553
    12Colchester3413101148:381049
    13Fleetwood341391244:42248
    14Oldham331113936:30646
    15Accrington341371437:36146
    16Gillingham3311111141:41044
    17Shrewsbury351081734:54-2038
    18Cheltenham331061734:55-2136
    19Tranmere34981746:59-1335
    20Bristol Rovers34942133:57-2431
    21Crawley356101933:56-2328
    22Barrow33762033:51-1827
    23Harrogate35692025:52-2727
    24Newport34672132:60-2825

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League