Result
1:1
09/03/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 9
- Referee: Ojeda D. (Par)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.93 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (338/406) | 81% (255/314) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.93 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 1.41 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (338/406) | 81% (255/314) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 63% (26/41) | 54% (25/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (69/105) | 70% (57/81) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (9/27) | 43% (9/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 0.73 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (11/14) | 56% (9/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.41 | 0.66 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.41 | -0.34 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 45', Paredes A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Paredes A. ↓, Benitez M. ↑,
- 54', Figueredo C. 🟨,
- 58', Gonzalez A. ↓, Ferreira B. ↑,
- 59', Garay C. ↓, Pacher F. ↑,
- 59', Avalos A. ↓, Vera F. ↑,
- 60', Larralde V. ↓, Moreira E. ↑,
- 62', Franco A. 🟨,
- 65', 0 - 1, Gonzalez J. ⚽,
- 70', Monzon L. 🟨,
- 70', Portillo F. ↓, Servian A. ↑,
- 70', Rios P. ↓, Piris I. ↑,
- 79', Servian A. 🟨,
- 83', Parzajuk K. ↓, Medina B. ↑,
- 83', Figueredo C. ↓, Ortiz R. ↑,
- 86', Cabral R. ↓, Leon M. ↑,
- 90+4', 1 - 1, Baez W. ⚽, Ferreira B. (A),
Chances of winning
Deportivo Recoleta
30.3% | Draw
31.2% | Sportivo Ameliano
38.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Recoleta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)The chances for Sportivo Ameliano have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Recoleta than the current prediction. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Ameliano than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Deportivo Recoleta - Sportivo Ameliano Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.09 ↑
(2.88) |
2.98 ↑
(2.9) |
2.42 ↑
(2.3) |
7.2%
(12.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Deportivo Recoleta - Sportivo Ameliano?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Recoleta (2.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Recoleta (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 and 7).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Sportivo Ameliano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Recoleta won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:4. (average 2.5:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Recoleta won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Recoleta won against Sportivo Ameliano?
Deportivo Recoleta has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sportivo Ameliano won against Deportivo Recoleta?
Sportivo Ameliano has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Recoleta - Sportivo Ameliano were as follows:
29.09.2025
Sportivo Ameliano
-
Deportivo Recoleta
1:4
21.07.2025
Deportivo Recoleta
-
Sportivo Ameliano
3:1
10.05.2025
Sportivo Ameliano
-
Deportivo Recoleta
1:2
28.02.2025
Deportivo Recoleta
-
Sportivo Ameliano
1:1
Latest results of Deportivo Recoleta
Latest results of Sportivo Ameliano
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 16:6 | 10 | 30 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 17:11 | 6 | 23 |
| 3 | Nacional Asuncion | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 18:11 | 7 | 20 |
| 4 | Libertad Asuncion | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 20:13 | 7 | 17 |
| 5 | Ameliano | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12:9 | 3 | 17 |
| 6 | Sportivo Trinidense | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 15 |
| 7 | Rubio Nu | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10:12 | -2 | 15 |
| 8 | Guarani | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 17:15 | 2 | 13 |
| 9 | Recoleta | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15:17 | -2 | 13 |
| 10 | 2 de Mayo | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8:15 | -7 | 12 |
| 11 | Sp. Luqueno | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10:16 | -6 | 11 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 12 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 7:25 | -18 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
