Result
2:4
04/10/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Fischer D. (Can)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video |
 China | QQ Sports |
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video |
 Usa | MLS Season Pass |
 World | EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.45 | 2.25 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 34% | 66% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (222/285) | 86% (478/557) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.45 | 2.25 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.26 | 3.24 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (222/285) | 86% (478/557) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (19/44) | 41% (19/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (35/56) | 71% (102/143) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (2/12) | 14% (2/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 1.18 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 90% (9/10) | 86% (6/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 9 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.24 | 2.26 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.76 | 0.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 15', 1 - 0, Felipe Andrade ⚽, Junior Urso (A),
- 39', Ponce E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 4)
- 46', Negri F. ↓, Pilcher I. ↑,
- 46', Lozano H. ↓, Pellegrino A. ↑,
- 53', 1 - 1, Dreyer A. (Pen),
- 67', Holmes D. ↓, Bassi A. ↑,
- 75', Baird C. ↓, Mighten A. ↑,
- 77', Godoy A. 🟨,
- 78', Harangi A. 🟨,
- 80', Junior Urso ↓, Sergio Santos ↑,
- 83', Pilcher I. 🟨,
- 84', Godoy A. ↓, de la Torre L. ↑,
- 84', Harangi A. ↓, Kumado W. ↑,
- 85', 1 - 2, de la Torre L. ⚽, Pellegrino A. (A), Kumado W. (A2)
- 87', 2 - 2, Sergio Santos ⚽, Ennali L. (A),
- 87', Lingr O. ↓, Segal G. ↑,
- 89', 2 - 3, Dreyer A. ⚽, Pellegrino A. (A), de la Torre L. (A2)
- 90+1', Dreyer A. ↓, McNair P. ↑,
- 90+1', Ennali L. 🟨,
- 90+2', Felipe Andrade ↓, Awodesu F. ↑,
- 90+13', 2 - 4, Pellegrino A. ⚽, Tverskov J. (A),
Chances of winning
Houston Dynamo
35.1% | Draw
25.6% | San Diego
39.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Houston Dynamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)The chances for San Diego have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Houston Dynamo than the current prediction. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Diego than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Houston Dynamo - San Diego Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.71 ↑
(2.64) |
3.7 ↓
(3.73) |
2.44 ↑
(2.39) |
5.1%
(6.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Houston Dynamo - San Diego?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Houston will win (votes: 3 - 50%). San Diego will win (votes: 3 - 50%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Houston (votes: 1 - 50%). San Diego (votes: 1 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Houston (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - San Diego (2.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Houston (votes: 2 - 50%). San Diego (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- San Diego is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Houston: Escobar F.
(Illness)
Quinones N.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Raines B.
(International duty)
Steres D.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Sviatchenko E.
(Red Card)
Tarbell A.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in San Diego: Alvarado Jr A.
(Knee Injury)
Bombino L.
(International duty)
Ingvartsen M.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Saidi A.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Soma P.
(International duty)
Verhoeven O.
(Lower-Body Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Houston won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Houston Dynamo won against San Diego?
Houston Dynamo has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has San Diego won against Houston Dynamo?
San Diego has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Houston Dynamo - San Diego were as follows:
05.07.2025
San Diego
-
Houston Dynamo
3:4
Latest results of Houston Dynamo
Latest results of San Diego
MLS Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14:1 | 13 | 12 |
| 2 | Los Angeles FC | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8:0 | 8 | 12 |
| 3 | San Diego FC | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11:3 | 8 | 10 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:1 | 5 | 9 |
| 5 | Seattle Sounders | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 9 |
| 6 | Real Salt Lake | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 9 |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 6 |
| 8 | Houston Dynamo | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | FC Dallas | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 5 |
| 10 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 4 |
| 11 | Austin FC | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 4 |
| 12 | Sporting Kansas City | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
| 13 | Minnesota United | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:11 | -7 | 4 |
| 14 | Portland Timbers | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:11 | -5 | 3 |
| 15 | St. Louis City | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:6 | -5 | 1 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | New York City | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11:3 | 8 | 10 |
| 2 | Nashville SC | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8:2 | 6 | 10 |
| 3 | Inter Miami | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
| 4 | New York Red Bulls | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 7 |
| 5 | DC United | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 6 | Charlotte | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 5 |
| 7 | Chicago Fire | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Toronto FC | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
| 9 | New England Revolution | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Atlanta Utd | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 3 |
| 11 | FC Cincinnati | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:8 | -5 | 3 |
| 12 | CF Montreal | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:10 | -6 | 3 |
| 13 | Orlando City | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:12 | -7 | 3 |
| 14 | Columbus Crew | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 2 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:7 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
