Lech Poznań vs Legia Warsaw – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Ekstraklasa
Result
4:0
26/04/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ekstraklasa - Round 30
  • Referee: Lasyk P. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaFOX Sports 3
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 4
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
polandPolandCANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Premium, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV, TVP 2, TVP Sport app
spainSpainGol Play, GolStadium
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.940.33
Ball possession
67%33%
Total shots
245
Shots on target
70
Big chances
61
Corner kicks
52
Passes
90% (538/601)80% (229/285)
Yellow cards
01
Red cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
2.940.33
xG on target (xGOT)
3.190.00
Total shots
245
Shots on target
70
Shots off target
93
Blocked shots
82
Shots inside the box
155
Shots outside the box
90
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
61
Corner kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
4211
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
11
Free kicks
1411
Passes
90% (538/601)80% (229/285)
Long passes
45% (13/29)41% (19/46)
Passes in final third
83% (222/266)56% (29/52)
Crosses
25% (3/12)55% (6/11)
Expected assists (xA)
2.710.56
Throw ins
1314
Fouls
1114
Tackles
82% (9/11)53% (9/17)
Duels won
3648
Clearances
1217
Interceptions
617
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
03
xGOT faced
0.003.19
Goals prevented
0.00-0.81

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (4 - 0)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Gholizadeh A. ⚽, Walemark P. (A),
  • 21', Augustyniak R. 🟥,
  • 22', Adamski R. ↓, Jedrzejczyk A. ↑,
  • 31', 2 - 0, Ishak M. ⚽, Gurgul M. (A),
  • 38', 3 - 0, Gurgul M. ⚽,
  • 42', 4 - 0, Ishak M. ⚽, Pereira J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Urbanski K. ↓, Kapustka B. ↑,
  • 61', Kapustka B. 🟨,
  • 65', Kozubal A. ↓, Jagiello F. ↑,
  • 65', Walemark P. ↓, Hakans D. ↑,
  • 65', Gholizadeh A. ↓, Palma L. ↑,
  • 65', Szymanski D. ↓, Kovacik S. ↑,
  • 65', Kun P. ↓, Urbanski W. ↑,
  • 72', Pankov R. ↓, Reca A. ↑,
  • 78', Ouma T. ↓, Murawski R. ↑,
  • 86', Pereira J. ↓, Janyszka H. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Lech Poznań
47.4%		Draw
26%		Legia Warsaw
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.3% 26.1% 27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9% 25.2% 26.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lech Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • Legia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
    •

    Lech Poznań - Legia Warsaw Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.97 ↓
    (2.05)    		 3.6 ↓
    (3.64)    		 3.53 ↑
    (3.44)    		 6.8%
    (5.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Lech Poznań - Legia Warsaw?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Lech will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lech won 2.
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • Lech may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Lech will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lech won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:18. (average 1:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lech won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1.2:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lech Poznań - Legia Warsaw were as follows:
    26.10.2025 Legia Warsaw - Lech Poznań 0:0
    13.07.2025 Lech Poznań - Legia Warsaw 1:2
    11.05.2025 Legia Warsaw - Lech Poznań 0:1
    10.11.2024 Lech Poznań - Legia Warsaw 5:2
    12.05.2024 Lech Poznań - Legia Warsaw 1:2
    Latest results of Lech Poznań
    18.04.2026 Pogoń Szczecin - Lech Poznań 1:2 ✺
    12.04.2026 Lech Poznań - GKS Katowice 3:3 ✺
    04.04.2026 Jagiellonia Białystok - Lech Poznań 0:0 ✺
    22.03.2026 Lech Poznań - Termalica Nieciecza 4:1 ✺
    19.03.2026 Shakhtar Donetsk - Lech Poznań 1:2 ✺
    Latest results of Legia Warsaw
    17.04.2026 Legia Warsaw - Zagłębie Lubin 1:0 ✺
    11.04.2026 Legia Warsaw - Górnik Zabrze 1:1 ✺
    06.04.2026 Pogoń Szczecin - Legia Warsaw 0:2 ✺
    22.03.2026 Legia Warsaw - Raków Częstochowa 1:1 ✺
    13.03.2026 Radomiak Radom - Legia Warsaw 1:1 ✺
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lech Poznan311510656:411555
    2Gornik Zabrze30147943:34949
    3GKS Katowice311451248:42647
    4Jagiellonia301210848:371146
    5Rakow301371043:37646
    6Zaglebie311291043:36745
    7Wisla Plock311291032:31145
    8Pogon Szczecin311251443:45-241
    9Piast Gliwice311171340:41-140
    10Legia31913935:36-140
    11Radomiak Radom3010101046:43340
    12Korona Kielce311091238:37139
    13Cracovia319121035:38-339
    14Motor Lublin319121039:46-739
    15Lechia Gdansk301271157:54338
    16Widzew Lodz311061536:38-236
    17Arka Gdynia30971431:54-2334
    18Termalica B-B31771737:60-2328

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1

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