Result
2:3
02/05/2026 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Dickerson J. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | MLS Season Pass |
 World | Apple TV International |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.72 | 1.74 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 32 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (428/503) | 85% (359/421) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.72 | 1.74 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 4.54 | 2.15 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 32 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 14 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 25 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 64 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (428/503) | 85% (359/421) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (18/33) | 48% (27/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (172/222) | 61% (35/57) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (11/29) | 0% (0/5) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.38 | 0.24 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (12/18) | 63% (5/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.15 | 4.54 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.85 | 2.54 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 16', 1 - 0, Cuypers H. ⚽,
- 24', 1 - 1, Evander ⚽,
- 28', 2 - 1, Cuypers H. ⚽, Zinckernagel P. (A),
- 31', 2 - 2, Evander ⚽, Mboma K. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Anunga T. ↓, Hagglund N. ↑,
- 56', Smith K. 🟥,
- 59', Lod R. ↓, Bamba J. ↑,
- 66', Valenzuela G. ↓, Miazga M. ↑,
- 68', Denkey K. 🟨,
- 77', Mboma K. ↓, Barlow T. ↑,
- 77', Denkey K. ↓, Jabbari A. ↑,
- 88', Ramirez Leon B. J. ↓, Lajhar A. ↑,
- 90', Lajhar A. 🟨,
- 90+1', Cuypers H. (Penalty Awarded),
- 90+3', D'Avilla D. 🟨,
- 90+7', 2 - 3, Evander (Penalty Awarded),
- 90+8', Dean J. ↓, Shokalook J. ↑,
- 90+12', Chirila A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Chicago Fire
55% | Draw
22.1% | Cincinnati
22.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chicago Fire has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)Cincinnati has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chicago Fire than the current prediction. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Chicago Fire - Cincinnati Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.73 ↓
(1.74) |
4.31 ↑
(3.7) |
4.12 ↓
(4.23) |
5.4%
(8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Chicago Fire - Cincinnati?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Chicago will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Cincinnati will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chicago won 1.
- Chicago is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Cincinnati has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Cincinnati may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Chicago is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Chicago: Barroso L.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Franco A.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Cincinnati: Fletcher K.
(Knee Injury)
Miazga M.
(Leg Injury)
Nwobodo O.
(Leg Injury)
- There are questionable in Chicago: Bamba J.
(Personal Reasons)
Borso D.
(Injury)
Mueller C.
(Lower-Body Injury)
- There are questionable in Cincinnati: Robinson M.
(Leg Injury)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Chicago won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 24:26. (average 1.4:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Chicago won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 1.5:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Chicago Fire won against Cincinnati?
Chicago Fire has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cincinnati won against Chicago Fire?
Cincinnati has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chicago Fire - Cincinnati were as follows:
18.04.2026
Cincinnati
-
Chicago Fire
3:3
05.07.2025
Cincinnati
-
Chicago Fire
2:1
19.04.2025
Chicago Fire
-
Cincinnati
2:3
17.07.2024
Cincinnati
-
Chicago Fire
0:1
02.03.2024
Chicago Fire
-
Cincinnati
1:2
Latest results of Chicago Fire
Latest results of Cincinnati
MLS Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Jose Earthquakes | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 26:7 | 19 | 28 |
| 2 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 26:6 | 20 | 25 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FC | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 19:8 | 11 | 21 |
| 4 | Seattle Sounders | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 13:5 | 8 | 20 |
| 5 | Minnesota United | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 14:16 | -2 | 20 |
| 6 | Real Salt Lake | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19:14 | 5 | 19 |
| 7 | FC Dallas | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 20:15 | 5 | 16 |
| 8 | Houston Dynamo | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 13:18 | -5 | 15 |
| 9 | Colorado Rapids | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 22:19 | 3 | 13 |
| 10 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 13 |
| 11 | Austin FC | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16:19 | -3 | 13 |
| 12 | San Diego FC | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 19:19 | 0 | 12 |
| 13 | Portland Timbers | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13:21 | -8 | 10 |
| 14 | St. Louis City | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9:18 | -9 | 6 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8:26 | -18 | 5 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Nashville SC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 21:6 | 15 | 23 |
| 2 | New England Revolution | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 19 |
| 3 | Inter Miami | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 22:19 | 3 | 19 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 19:11 | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | DC United | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13:15 | -2 | 15 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 22:25 | -3 | 15 |
| 7 | Charlotte | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 14 |
| 8 | Toronto FC | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 18:20 | -2 | 14 |
| 9 | New York City | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 19:18 | 1 | 12 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 12 |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16:27 | -11 | 12 |
| 12 | Atlanta Utd | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 12:18 | -6 | 10 |
| 13 | Orlando City | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 16:32 | -16 | 10 |
| 14 | CF Montreal | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 14:23 | -9 | 9 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9:17 | -8 | 6 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
