Result
1:0
06/04/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 33
- Referee: Dionisi F. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.57 | 0.83 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (277/344) | 67% (188/280) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.57 | 0.83 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 0.57 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (277/344) | 67% (188/280) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (21/42) | 35% (19/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (64/86) | 51% (52/102) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (5/14) | 27% (3/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 1.24 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (5/7) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.57 | 1.11 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 20', Mancuso L. ↓, Mensah D. ↑,
- 31', Modesto F. 🟨,
- 45+4', Marconi I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 54', Buso N. ↓, Ruocco F. ↑,
- 57', Cuppone L. ↓, Guiu B. ↑,
- 57', Marconi I. ↓, Alborghetti M. ↑,
- 58', Dembele A. 🟨,
- 61', Tiritiello A. 🟨,
- 69', Tirelli M. ↓, Debenedetti A. ↑,
- 70', Bariti D. ↓, Mezzoni F. ↑,
- 76', Wieser D. ↓, Paoletti F. ↑,
- 76', Bragantini D. ↓, Marras T. ↑,
- 77', Karic N. ↓, Dalla Vecchia M. ↑,
- 81', Radaelli N. 🟨,
- 83', Squizzato N. 🟨,
- 84', 1 - 0, Marras T. ⚽,
- 85', Marras T. 🟨,
- 90+4', Paoletti F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Mantova
38.6% | Draw
30.4% | Virtus Entella
31% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mantova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mantova's form might have worsened.Virtus Entella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Virtus Entella's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (+18.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mantova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus Entella than the current prediction. (-12%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Virtus Entella, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Mantova - Virtus Entella Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.41 ↑
(1.8) |
3.09 ↓
(3.44) |
3.08 ↓
(4.48) |
6.2%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Mantova - Virtus Entella?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Mantova will win (votes: 13 - 72.2%). Virtus Entella will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mantova: 51.5% – 92.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Mantova (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 13 and 16 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: )).
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- In this match, Mantova is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Mantova: Bianay Balcot C.
(Muscle Injury)
Bonfanti N.
(Ankle Injury)
Castellini A.
(Yellow Cards)
Kouda R.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Virtus Entella: Benedetti L.
(Yellow Cards)
Colombi S.
(Inactive)
Mezzoni F.
(Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mantova won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Mantova won against Virtus Entella?
Mantova has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Virtus Entella won against Mantova?
Virtus Entella has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mantova - Virtus Entella were as follows:
14.09.2025
Virtus Entella
-
Mantova
1:0
Latest results of Mantova
Latest results of Virtus Entella
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 33 | 21 | 8 | 4 | 67:28 | 39 | 71 |
| 2 | Frosinone | 34 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 65:33 | 32 | 69 |
| 3 | Monza | 33 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 51:27 | 24 | 66 |
| 4 | Palermo | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 55:28 | 27 | 65 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 32 | 14 | 11 | 7 | 50:39 | 11 | 53 |
| 6 | Modena | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 43:28 | 15 | 50 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 33 | 10 | 15 | 8 | 39:41 | -2 | 45 |
| 8 | Cesena | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 42:48 | -6 | 44 |
| 9 | Carrarese | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 44:43 | 1 | 42 |
| 10 | Sudtirol | 33 | 8 | 15 | 10 | 35:36 | -1 | 39 |
| 11 | Avellino | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37:53 | -16 | 39 |
| 12 | Mantova | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 37:48 | -11 | 37 |
| 13 | Sampdoria | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 32:43 | -11 | 37 |
| 14 | Empoli | 33 | 8 | 12 | 13 | 43:48 | -5 | 36 |
| 15 | Padova | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 32:45 | -13 | 34 |
| 16 | Entella | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 31:46 | -15 | 34 |
| 17 | Bari | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 33:51 | -18 | 34 |
| 18 | Pescara | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 46:59 | -13 | 32 |
| 19 | Spezia | 33 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 32:49 | -17 | 30 |
| 20 | Reggiana | 33 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 31:52 | -21 | 30 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
