Result
4:0
03/05/2026 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 32
- Referee: Bollengier M. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Brazil | Caze TV |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 2, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Italy | Ligue 1+ |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Mexico | FOX One, FOX Sports |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Romania | Voyo |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1x2, Arena Sport 5 |
 Slovakia | Nova Sport 2, Voyo |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Extra |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Latino, Tubi TV |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.79 | 0.77 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (365/431) | 84% (342/408) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.79 | 0.77 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.56 | 0.02 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 33 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (365/431) | 84% (342/408) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (16/39) | 46% (21/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (104/134) | 60% (46/77) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 12% (2/17) | 21% (3/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 0.38 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 30 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (10/17) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.02 | 2.56 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.02 | -1.44 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 13', 1 - 0, Matondo R. ⚽,
- 20', 2 - 0, Geubbels W. ⚽, Ikone J. (A),
- 24', Traore H. 🟨,
- 26', Chardonnet B. 🟨,
- 35', Mbow M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 60', Labeau Lascary R. ↓, Dina Ebimbe J. ↑,
- 60', Tousart L. ↓, Makalou H. ↑,
- 65', Kebbal I. ↓, Lopez M. ↑,
- 65', Geubbels W. ↓, Koleosho L. ↑,
- 67', 3 - 0, Matondo R. ⚽,
- 70', Magnetti H. ↓, Doumbia K. ↑,
- 71', Del Castillo R. ↓, Balde M. ↑,
- 77', Matondo R. ↓, Marchetti V. ↑,
- 77', Ikone J. ↓, Immobile C. ↑,
- 83', Chotard J. ↓, Mboup P. ↑,
- 85', Traore H. ↓, Ollila T. ↑,
- 89', 4 - 0, Koleosho L. ⚽, Marchetti V. (A),
Chances of winning
Paris FC
47% | Draw
26.6% | Brest
26.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paris FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)Brest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris FC than the current prediction. (-3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brest than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Paris FC - Brest Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.03 ↓
(2.12) |
3.58 ↑
(3.38) |
3.61 ↑
(3.4) |
4.9%
(6.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Paris FC - Brest?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Paris FC will win (votes: 14 - 73.7%). Brest will win (votes: 4 - 21.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paris FC: 53.9% – 93.5%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 50%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paris FC won 1.
- Paris FC is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Brest is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Brest may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Paris FC could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Paris FC: Alakouch S.
(Injury)
Hamel P.
(Calf Injury)
Lees-Melou P.
(Red Card)
Lopez J.
(Back Injury)
- There will not play in Brest: Guindo D.
(Yellow Cards)
Locko B.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Brest: Balde M.
(Groin Injury)
Doumbia K.
(Injury)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Paris FC won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 0.7:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Paris FC won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.5:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Paris FC won against Brest?
Paris FC has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Brest won against Paris FC?
Brest has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paris FC - Brest were as follows:
14.09.2025
Brest
-
Paris FC
1:2
Latest results of Paris FC
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG ✔ | 31 | 22 | 4 | 5 | 70:27 | 43 | 70 |
| 2 | Lens | 31 | 20 | 4 | 7 | 61:33 | 28 | 64 |
| 3 | Lille | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 51:35 | 16 | 58 |
| 4 | Lyon | 31 | 17 | 6 | 8 | 48:32 | 16 | 57 |
| 5 | Rennes | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 54:42 | 12 | 56 |
| 6 | Monaco | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 56:48 | 8 | 54 |
| 7 | Marseille | 32 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 59:44 | 15 | 53 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 50:41 | 9 | 46 |
| 9 | Lorient | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 44:49 | -5 | 42 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 45:45 | 0 | 41 |
| 11 | Paris FC | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 44:47 | -3 | 41 |
| 12 | Brest | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 41:51 | -10 | 38 |
| 13 | Angers | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 27:46 | -19 | 34 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 32 | 6 | 14 | 12 | 30:43 | -13 | 32 |
| 15 | Nice | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 36:58 | -22 | 31 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 30:43 | -13 | 28 |
| 17 | Nantes | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 29:51 | -22 | 23 |
| 18 | Metz | 32 | 3 | 7 | 22 | 32:72 | -40 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
PSG is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
