Result
3:1
20/09/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 9
- Referee: Stockbridge S. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | LTFC+, Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 0.39 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (203/292) | 78% (296/381) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 0.39 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 0.24 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (203/292) | 78% (296/381) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (32/72) | 47% (25/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 52% (57/110) | 66% (96/145) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (5/17) | 10% (2/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 0.26 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 35 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (16/23) | 57% (4/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 70 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.24 | 1.44 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.76 | -1.56 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 12', 1 - 0, House B. ⚽, Draper F. (A),
- 17', Collins J. 🟨,
- 24', Lonwijk N. 🟨,
- 45+2', Yates J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Yates J. ↓, Gbode J. ↑,
- 53', Saville G. 🟨,
- 55', Mengi T. 🟨,
- 60', Mengi T. ↓, Morris S. ↑,
- 65', Nelson Z. ↓, Makosso C. ↑,
- 65', Naismith K. ↓, Bramall C. ↑,
- 66', Street R. ↓, Hamer T. ↑,
- 72', Gbode J. 🟨,
- 77', 1 - 1, Clark J. ⚽, Alli M. (A),
- 79', Draper F. ↓, Okoronkwo F. ↑,
- 80', Collins J. ↓, Obikwu J. ↑,
- 85', 2 - 1, Obikwu J. ⚽,
- 88', Wells N. ↓, Nordas L. ↑,
- 90+1', 3 - 1, House B. ⚽, Obikwu J. (A),
- 90+7', House B. ↓, Ring E. ↑,
- 90+7', Bayliss T. ↓, Varfolomeev I. ↑,
Chances of winning
Lincoln City
32% | Draw
30.4% | Luton Town
37.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lincoln City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lincoln City's performance.Luton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Luton Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (-4.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luton Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Lincoln City - Luton Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.16 ↓
(3.5) |
3.38 ↑
(3.2) |
2.82 ↑
(2.1) |
-3.3%
(7.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Lincoln City - Luton Town?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Luton (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Luton Town will win
(11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 7 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lincoln won 0.
- Lincoln is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Luton has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Lincoln may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Luton has had a series of home games.
- Luton will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Lincoln: Moylan J.
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Luton: Adebayo E.
(Knee Injury)
Al Hamadi A.
(Calf Injury)
Brown J.
(Ankle Injury)
Jones I.
(Back Injury)
Lockyer T.
(Ankle Injury)
Odoffin H.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Lincoln: Jefferies D.
(Hip Injury)
Lembikisa D.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Luton: Mengi T.
(Knee Injury)
Walters R.
(Groin Injury)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Lincoln won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:12. (average 0.8:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lincoln won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Lincoln City won against Luton Town?
Lincoln City has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Luton Town won against Lincoln City?
Luton Town has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lincoln City - Luton Town were as follows:
Latest results of Lincoln City
Latest results of Luton Town
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bradford City | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17:11 | 6 | 20 |
| 2 | Stevenage | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 19 |
| 3 | Lincoln | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 14:9 | 5 | 18 |
| 4 | Cardiff | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13:5 | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | Huddersfield | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 15:11 | 4 | 16 |
| 6 | Barnsley | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14:10 | 4 | 16 |
| 7 | Doncaster | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 16 |
| 8 | Stockport County | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 14:12 | 2 | 15 |
| 9 | AFC Wimbledon | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 12:11 | 1 | 15 |
| 10 | Bolton | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 14:8 | 6 | 14 |
| 11 | Luton | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 11:9 | 2 | 12 |
| 12 | Wigan | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:13 | 1 | 12 |
| 13 | Mansfield | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:12 | 1 | 11 |
| 14 | Leyton Orient | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11:15 | -4 | 11 |
| 15 | Northampton | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 5:8 | -3 | 10 |
| 16 | Exeter | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 10:11 | -1 | 9 |
| 17 | Plymouth | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 11:18 | -7 | 9 |
| 18 | Wycombe | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10:11 | -1 | 8 |
| 19 | Port Vale | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8:10 | -2 | 8 |
| 20 | Reading | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:13 | -4 | 8 |
| 21 | Rotherham | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6:11 | -5 | 7 |
| 22 | Blackpool | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8:14 | -6 | 7 |
| 23 | Peterborough | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7:15 | -8 | 7 |
| 24 | Burton | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
