Result
3:0
29/12/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 23
- Referee: Hair N. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.56 | 1.23 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (264/367) | 69% (247/360) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.56 | 1.23 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.39 | 0.30 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (264/367) | 69% (247/360) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 22% (14/64) | 31% (23/74) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (48/91) | 45% (55/122) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (5/10) | 8% (2/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.80 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 39 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (7/9) | 68% (15/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 51 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.30 | 2.39 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.30 | -0.61 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 8', 1 - 0, Kodua G. ⚽, Andersen M. (A),
- 20', 2 - 0, Clark J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 37', 3 - 0, Morris S. ⚽, Wells N. (A),
- 44', Koroma J. ↓, Archibald T. ↑,
- 44', Wellens C. ↓, Obiero Z. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Walsh L. ↓, Saville G. ↑,
- 52', Mengi T. 🟨,
- 56', Morris S. ↓, Bramall C. ↑,
- 69', Fanne L. ↓, Nelson Z. ↑,
- 69', Wells N. ↓, Yates J. ↑,
- 69', Lonwijk N. ↓, Walters R. ↑,
- 81', Moorhouse J. ↓, Mitchell D. ↑,
- 81', Beckles O. ↓, Chinedu P. ↑,
- 90+1', Nelson Z. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Luton Town
57.4% | Draw
24.8% | Leyton Orient
17.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Luton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Luton Town's performance.Leyton Orient has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Leyton Orient might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (-13.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Luton Town that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leyton Orient than the current prediction. (+9.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leyton Orient could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Luton Town - Leyton Orient Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.63 ↓
(1.86) |
3.78 ↑
(3.43) |
5.19 ↑
(3.83) |
7.1%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Luton Town - Leyton Orient?
Users Predictions:
29 users predict this event. Luton will win (votes: 22 - 75.9%). Leyton Orient will win (votes: 5 - 17.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 6.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Luton: 60.3% – 91.5%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Luton Town will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 8 and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Luton won 2.
- Luton has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Leyton Orient is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Luton is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Luton: Adebayo E.
(Knee Injury)
Al Hamadi A.
(Inactive)
Baptiste S.
(Knee Injury)
Jones I.
(Injury)
Nakamba M.
(International duty)
Richards J.
(Injury)
Walters R.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Leyton Orient: Connolly A.
(Injury)
Edmonds-Green R.
(Inactive)
El Mizouni I.
(Injury)
Graham J.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Luton: Naismith K.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Leyton Orient: Archibald T.
(Inactive)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Luton won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1.5:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Luton won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Luton Town won against Leyton Orient?
Luton Town has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Leyton Orient won against Luton Town?
Leyton Orient has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Luton Town - Leyton Orient were as follows:
09.12.2025
Leyton Orient
-
Luton Town
1:1
Latest results of Luton Town
Latest results of Leyton Orient
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln ✔ | 45 | 30 | 10 | 5 | 87:41 | 46 | 100 |
| 2 | Cardiff ✔ | 45 | 27 | 10 | 8 | 86:45 | 41 | 91 |
| 3 | Bolton ✔ | 45 | 19 | 18 | 8 | 68:49 | 19 | 75 |
| 4 | Stockport County | 45 | 21 | 11 | 13 | 68:57 | 11 | 74 |
| 5 | Bradford City | 45 | 21 | 11 | 13 | 56:50 | 6 | 74 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 45 | 20 | 12 | 13 | 48:46 | 2 | 72 |
| 7 | Luton | 45 | 20 | 11 | 14 | 65:54 | 11 | 71 |
| 8 | Plymouth | 45 | 21 | 7 | 17 | 72:61 | 11 | 70 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 45 | 17 | 13 | 15 | 70:64 | 6 | 64 |
| 10 | Reading | 45 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 64:59 | 5 | 63 |
| 11 | Mansfield | 45 | 15 | 17 | 13 | 57:46 | 11 | 62 |
| 12 | Wycombe | 45 | 16 | 12 | 17 | 66:56 | 10 | 60 |
| 13 | Barnsley | 45 | 15 | 14 | 16 | 67:70 | -3 | 59 |
| 14 | Blackpool | 45 | 16 | 9 | 20 | 53:65 | -12 | 57 |
| 15 | Doncaster | 45 | 16 | 9 | 20 | 47:68 | -21 | 57 |
| 16 | Wigan | 45 | 14 | 14 | 17 | 49:57 | -8 | 56 |
| 17 | Peterborough | 45 | 15 | 8 | 22 | 63:65 | -2 | 53 |
| 18 | Burton | 45 | 13 | 14 | 18 | 48:58 | -10 | 53 |
| 19 | AFC Wimbledon | 45 | 15 | 8 | 22 | 51:68 | -17 | 53 |
| 20 | Leyton Orient | 45 | 14 | 9 | 22 | 57:69 | -12 | 51 |
| 21 | Exeter | 45 | 12 | 13 | 20 | 51:59 | -8 | 49 |
| 22 | Port Vale ✔ | 45 | 10 | 12 | 23 | 36:59 | -23 | 42 |
| 23 | Rotherham ✔ | 45 | 10 | 11 | 24 | 39:68 | -29 | 41 |
| 24 | Northampton ✔ | 45 | 9 | 8 | 28 | 37:71 | -34 | 35 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
Clinched Spots for Teams
Lincoln is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Championship
Cardiff is Qualified for Championship
Bolton is Qualified for League One (Play Offs )
Port Vale is Relegated to League Two
Rotherham is Relegated to League Two
Northampton is Relegated to League Two
