Result
2:3
01/10/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Campeones Cup - Final
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Mexico | TUDN |
 Usa | TUDN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 1.28 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (297/359) | 87% (461/530) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 1.28 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.75 | 2.50 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 11 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (297/359) | 87% (461/530) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (19/48) | 60% (29/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (68/95) | 74% (110/149) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (1/7) | 26% (5/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.23 | 1.90 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (12/16) | 53% (10/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 10 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.50 | 1.75 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.50 | -0.25 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 33', Pereira F. 🟨,
- 34', Ruiz M. 🟨,
- 36', 1 - 0, Fagundez D. (Pen),
- 38', Gabriel Pec 🟨,
- 45+2', Cerrillo E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 46', Barbosa D. ↓, Simon S. ↑,
- 53', 1 - 1, Castro N. ⚽,
- 62', Gallardo J. 🟨,
- 70', Angulo J. ↓, Dominguez Chonteco J. P. ↑,
- 70', Yamane M. ↓, Cuevas M. ↑,
- 71', Miller H. ↓, Matheus Nascimento ↑,
- 71', Aude J. ↓, Nelson J. ↑,
- 78', Garces C. 🟨,
- 80', Paintsil J. 🟨,
- 84', 2 - 1, Gabriel Pec ⚽,
- 85', Castro N. ↓, Helinho ↑,
- 87', 🟨,
- 87', Matheus Nascimento 🟨,
- 88', 2 - 2, Romero F. ⚽,
- 90+1', Paulinho ↓, Morales R. ↑,
- 90+4', 2 - 3, Pereira F. ⚽, Helinho (A),
- 90+5', Wynder E. ↓, Berry M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Los Angeles Galaxy
30.4% | Draw
25.8% | Toluca
43.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Los Angeles Galaxy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)Toluca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Toluca's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Los Angeles Galaxy than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Los Angeles Galaxy, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toluca than the current prediction. (-6.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Toluca, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Los Angeles Galaxy - Toluca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.12 ↑
(2.69) |
3.67 ↑
(3.52) |
2.17 ↓
(2.5) |
5.4%
(5.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Los Angeles Galaxy - Toluca?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. LA Galaxy (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- LA Galaxy has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Toluca is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- LA Galaxy may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in LA Galaxy: Puig R.
(Knee Injury)
Sanabria L.
(Foot Injury)
- There will not play in Toluca: Luan
(Injury)
- There are questionable in LA Galaxy: Matheus Nascimento
(Groin Injury)
Ramirez C.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Reus M.
(Thigh Injury)
- Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
How many head-to-head matches has Los Angeles Galaxy won against Toluca?
Los Angeles Galaxy has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Toluca won against Los Angeles Galaxy?
Toluca has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Los Angeles Galaxy - Toluca were as follows:
Latest results of Los Angeles Galaxy
Draw
2025Final| 1 | Los Angeles Galaxy | Toluca | 2 : 3 |
