Ceuta vs Burgos – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
29/11/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 16
  • Referee: Lax S. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
peruPeruDisney+
spainSpainDAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, Movistar Plus+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.130.56
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
149
Shots on target
51
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
107
Passes
82% (306/374)79% (258/327)
Yellow Cards
53
Expected Goals (xG)
1.130.56
xG on target (xGOT)
1.690.02
Total shots
149
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
43
Blocked Shots
55
Shots inside the Box
117
Shots outside the Box
32
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
107
Touches in opposition box
3119
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
15
Free Kicks
1221
Passes
82% (306/374)79% (258/327)
Long passes
50% (25/50)55% (24/44)
Passes in final third
72% (76/105)63% (57/90)
Crosses
17% (4/23)36% (8/22)
Expected assists (xA)
1.460.75
Throw-ins
2118
Fouls
2112
Tackles
58% (7/12)57% (8/14)
Duels won
4460
Clearances
2227
Interceptions
94
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
0.021.69
Goals prevented
0.020.69

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 8', Hernandez C. 🟨,
  • 20', 1 - 0, Matos Jose , Kone K. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Cantero M. , Mejia M. ,
  • 46', Mollejo V. , Gonzalez M. ,
  • 47', Anuar 🟨,
  • 49', Sierra G. 🟨,
  • 64', Atienza M. 🟨,
  • 67', Cordoba I. , Garcia F. ,
  • 71', Miguel F. 🟨,
  • 77', Anuar , Almenara G. ,
  • 77', Ahmed A. , de la Fuente K. ,
  • 82', Curro , Appin K. ,
  • 83', Rodriguez C. , Zalazar K. ,
  • 83', Fernandez Sanchez M. , Obeng S. ,
  • 85', Obeng S. 🟨,
  • 86', Matos Jose 🟨,
  • 89', Kone K. , Redruello Nimo C. ,
  • 90', Redruello Nimo C. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/ycxmkw33

Chances of winning


Ceuta
41.2%
Draw
31.8%
Burgos
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.8% 31.3% 29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41% 33.1% 28.3%

Ceuta - Burgos Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.32
(2.44)
2.97
(3.02)
3.5
(3.16)
5.4%
(5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Ceuta - Burgos?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Ceuta will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Burgos will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • Recent performances by Ceuta have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Burgos is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Ceuta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Ceuta could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Ceuta: Sanchez M. (Injury) Sanchez S. (Injury) Vallejo M. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Burgos: Chapela I. (Muscle Injury) Gonzalez Ballesteros D. (Yellow Cards) Morante I. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Ceuta: Ahmed A. (Injury) Bassinga A. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Burgos: Cordoba I. (Injury) Gonzalez S. (Injury)
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Ceuta
    26.11.2025 Ceuta - Almería 3:2
    16.11.2025 Ceuta - Leganés 1:2
    02.11.2025 Córdoba - Ceuta 2:0
    29.10.2025 La Unión - Ceuta 0:2
    Latest results of Burgos
    23.11.2025 Burgos - Racing Santander 0:2
    16.11.2025 Mirandés - Burgos 0:2
    10.11.2025 Burgos - Castellón 0:0
    01.11.2025 Leganés - Burgos 1:2
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander17112440:251535
    2Dep. La Coruna1795332:171532
    3Almeria1795333:221132
    4Las Palmas1685318:10829
    5Castellon1784527:21628
    6Burgos CF1674521:15625
    7Ceuta1774618:21-325
    8Valladolid1766520:15524
    9Gijon1773721:23-224
    10Cadiz CF1766516:18-224
    11Cultural Leonesa1772820:22-223
    12Cordoba1757521:22-122
    13Granada CF1748520:22-220
    14Malaga1654720:21-119
    15Leganes1747616:18-219
    16Albacete1654722:27-519
    17Huesca1754815:23-819
    18Real Sociedad B1753923:26-318
    19Andorra1746719:26-718
    20Eibar1745818:24-617
    21Mirandes1643917:26-915
    22Zaragoza1643913:26-1315

          Promotion ~ LaLiga
          Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation