Result
1:3
07/12/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 15
- Referee: Dionisi F. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 Russia | Telekanal Futbol |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 6, Blue Sport 6 |
 Usa | Fox Soccer Plus |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.55 | 2.83 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (370/456) | 78% (319/410) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.55 | 2.83 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.39 | 1.77 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 33 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (370/456) | 78% (319/410) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (17/52) | 47% (32/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (80/118) | 59% (48/81) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (5/29) | 35% (6/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 0.64 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 29 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (8/10) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.77 | 2.39 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.23 | 1.39 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 7', 0 - 1, Le Douaron J. ⚽, Palumbo A. (A),
- 14', Segre J. 🟨,
- 18', 0 - 2, Pohjanpalo J. ⚽, Ceccaroni P. (A),
- 33', Bereszynski B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Nasti M. ↓, Pellegri P. ↑,
- 46', Bereszynski B. ↓, Peda P. ↑,
- 55', Le Douaron J. ↓, Vasic A. ↑,
- 55', Segre J. ↓, Gomes C. ↑,
- 61', Pellegri P. 🟨,
- 63', 1 - 2, Pellegri P. ⚽,
- 70', Palumbo A. ↓, Blin A. ↑,
- 73', Ghion A. ↓, Degli Innocenti D. ↑,
- 73', Ceesay J. ↓, Saporiti E. ↑,
- 75', 1 - 3, Pohjanpalo J. ⚽,
- 82', Shpendi S. ↓, Carboni F. ↑,
- 82', Elia S. ↓, Bianchi F. ↑,
- 88', Augello T. ↓, Veroli D. ↑,
- 90', Moruzzi B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Empoli
29.4% | Draw
31% | Palermo
39.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Empoli - Palermo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.21 ↑
(3.12) |
3.04 ↓
(3.24) |
2.39 ↑
(2.26) |
5.9%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Empoli - Palermo?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Empoli will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Palermo will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 52.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.2% – 76.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Empoli (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Empoli won 2.
- Empoli is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Palermo has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Empoli: Belardinelli L.
(Inactive)
Ebuehi T.
(Inactive)
Ignacchiti L.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Palermo: Gomes C.
(Injury)
Gyasi E.
(Calf Injury)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Empoli won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:7. (average 1.6:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Empoli won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:1. (average 1.8:0.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Empoli won against Palermo?
Empoli has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Palermo won against Empoli?
Palermo has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Empoli - Palermo were as follows:
Latest results of Palermo
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Frosinone | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 29:13 | 16 | 31 |
| 2 | Monza | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 21:12 | 9 | 31 |
| 3 | Venezia | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 28:13 | 15 | 29 |
| 4 | Palermo | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 25:11 | 14 | 29 |
| 5 | Modena | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 24:11 | 13 | 29 |
| 6 | Cesena | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 21:15 | 6 | 27 |
| 7 | Catanzaro | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 21:18 | 3 | 22 |
| 8 | Juve Stabia | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 17:19 | -2 | 22 |
| 9 | Padova | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 16:18 | -2 | 21 |
| 10 | Empoli | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 23:23 | 0 | 20 |
| 11 | Reggiana | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20:21 | -1 | 20 |
| 12 | Avellino | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 18:26 | -8 | 20 |
| 13 | Carrarese | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 20:24 | -4 | 16 |
| 14 | Bari | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 14:25 | -11 | 16 |
| 15 | Sudtirol | 16 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 15:19 | -4 | 15 |
| 16 | Entella | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 14:21 | -7 | 15 |
| 17 | Spezia | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 14:22 | -8 | 14 |
| 18 | Mantova | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 13:23 | -10 | 14 |
| 19 | Sampdoria | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 15:23 | -8 | 13 |
| 20 | Pescara | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 19:30 | -11 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
