Real Sociedad B vs Ceuta – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
21/12/2025 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 19
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
peruPeruDisney+
spainSpainDAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion 2, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 3
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.372.34
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
819
Shots on target
57
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
36
Passes
72% (252/350)79% (328/416)
Yellow Cards
55
Expected Goals (xG)
1.372.34
xG on target (xGOT)
1.042.66
Total shots
819
Shots on target
57
Shots off target
27
Blocked Shots
15
Shots inside the Box
713
Shots outside the Box
16
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
36
Touches in opposition box
2434
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
42
Free Kicks
1416
Passes
72% (252/350)79% (328/416)
Long passes
39% (27/69)39% (21/54)
Passes in final third
50% (50/101)68% (86/126)
Crosses
31% (5/16)38% (11/29)
Expected assists (xA)
1.141.54
Throw-ins
2422
Fouls
1614
Tackles
36% (4/11)65% (17/26)
Duels won
4963
Clearances
2226
Interceptions
1310
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
2.661.04
Goals prevented
-0.340.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Marchal A. , Mariezkurrena A. (A),
  • 15', Rodriguez M. 🟨,
  • 40', Kita K. 🟨,
  • 43', 1 - 1, Zalazar K. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 50', 1 - 2, Kone K. , Youness (A),
  • 55', Ahmed A. 🟨,
  • 58', Eceizabarrena J. , Diaz D. ,
  • 59', Marchal A. , Ochieng J. ,
  • 59', Rodriguez M. , Gorosabel G. ,
  • 61', Ochieng J. 🟨,
  • 67', Matos Jose 🟨,
  • 69', Aguirre I. 🟨,
  • 70', 1 - 3, Jamelli (Penalty Awarded),
  • 73', Zalazar K. , Bodiger Y. ,
  • 74', Balda J. 🟨,
  • 76', Mariezkurrena A. , Gorosabel J. ,
  • 78', Obeng S. , Ortuno J. ,
  • 79', Ahmed A. , de la Fuente K. ,
  • 81', Youness 🟨,
  • 82', Garro J. , Dadie Izagirre A. ,
  • 89', Hernandez C. 🟨,
  • 90', Jamelli 🟨,
  • 90+1', Matos Jose , Redruello Nimo C. ,
  • 90+2', Kone K. , Sanchez S. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/mr2a7m3a

Chances of winning


Real Sociedad B
33.6%
Draw
31.9%
Ceuta
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.7% 29.7% 36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7% 30.6% 37.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Sociedad B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • Ceuta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Sociedad B than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • Real Sociedad B - Ceuta Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.79
    (2.77)
    2.92
    (3.14)
    2.71
    (2.54)
    6.9%
    (7.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Real Sociedad B - Ceuta?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Real Sociedad B will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%). Ceuta will win (votes: 4 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 37.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Real Sociedad B: 13.8%61.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Real Sociedad B (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Ceuta (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 and 9).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Ceuta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Real Sociedad B: Carrera G. (Yellow Cards) Olasagasti L. (Injury) Orobengoa E. (Knee Injury) Ruperez I. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Ceuta: Bassinga A. (Injury) Fernandez Sanchez M. (Yellow Cards) Sanchez M. (Injury)
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Real Sociedad B
    Latest results of Ceuta
    14.12.2025 Ceuta - Las Palmas 1:1
    07.12.2025 Granada - Ceuta 1:1
    02.12.2025 CD Guadalajara - Ceuta 1:0
    29.11.2025 Ceuta - Burgos 1:0
    26.11.2025 Ceuta - Almería 3:2
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander28165756:362053
    2Castellon28147746:291749
    3Almeria28147753:401349
    4Dep. La Coruna28147744:311349
    5Malaga28145941:311047
    6Las Palmas281112534:221245
    7Ceuta281351036:39-344
    8Burgos CF28127930:26443
    9Gijon281261038:36242
    10Cordoba28118938:37141
    11Eibar281081031:30138
    12Andorra28981135:40-535
    13Albacete28981133:39-635
    14Cadiz CF28981129:35-635
    15Leganes288101029:28134
    16Real Sociedad B28971238:39-134
    17Granada CF287111032:33-132
    18Valladolid28881229:38-932
    19Huesca28861426:37-1130
    20Cultural Leonesa28761527:44-1727
    21Mirandes28661628:45-1724
    22Zaragoza28591423:41-1824

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