Result
4:2
18/04/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 26
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 12 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 8', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 12', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 23', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 62', 2 - 2, ⚽,
- 68', 🟥,
- 88', 3 - 2, ⚽,
- 90+5', 4 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Samora Correia
30.5% | Draw
29.5% | União da Serra
40% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Samora Correia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)The chances for União da Serra have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samora Correia than the current prediction. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for União da Serra than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Samora Correia - União da Serra Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.97 ↑
(2.88) |
3.07 ↓
(3.25) |
2.26 ↓
(2.29) |
10.5%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation and 5).
- In recent matches, Samora Correia has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- União da Serra is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Samora Correia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Samora Correia won against União da Serra?
Samora Correia has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has União da Serra won against Samora Correia?
União da Serra has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Samora Correia - União da Serra were as follows:
21.12.2025
União da Serra
-
Samora Correia
1:1
Latest results of Samora Correia
Latest results of União da Serra
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vitoria Sernache | 26 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 33:12 | 21 | 55 |
| 2 | Oliveira Hospital | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39:13 | 26 | 50 |
| 3 | Naval 1893 | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 36:23 | 13 | 48 |
| 4 | SB Castelo Branco | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 43:26 | 17 | 46 |
| 5 | Uniao Da Serra | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 38:27 | 11 | 44 |
| 6 | Mortagua | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 23:26 | -3 | 39 |
| 7 | Os Marialvas | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 33:28 | 5 | 36 |
| 8 | Fatima | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27:29 | -2 | 32 |
| 9 | Lajense | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 37:37 | 0 | 32 |
| 10 | Peniche | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 34:43 | -9 | 30 |
| 11 | Samora Correia | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 27:35 | -8 | 29 |
| 12 | Marinhense | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 20:38 | -18 | 24 |
| 13 | Electrico | 26 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 33:62 | -29 | 19 |
| 14 | SC Lusitania | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 24:48 | -24 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Relegation
