Result
1:1
21/12/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 13
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 28', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 39', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
União da Serra 56% | Draw 25.2% | Samora Correia 18.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
União da Serra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)Samora Correia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for União da Serra than the current prediction. (+7.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for União da Serra, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samora Correia than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
União da Serra - Samora Correia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.62 ↑ (1.49) |
3.59 ↓ (3.7) |
4.8 ↓ (6.03) |
10.5% (10.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 and 14 in the zone Relegation).
- Recent performances by União da Serra have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Samora Correia is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, União da Serra is the obvious favorite.
- In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has União da Serra won against Samora Correia?
União da Serra has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Samora Correia won against União da Serra?
Samora Correia has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between União da Serra - Samora Correia were as follows:
Latest results of União da Serra
Latest results of Samora Correia
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vitoria Sernache | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 28:7 | 21 | 44 |
| 2 | SB Castelo Branco | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 35:19 | 16 | 35 |
| 3 | Naval 1893 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 26:19 | 7 | 32 |
| 4 | Mortagua | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 19:18 | 1 | 32 |
| 5 | Oliveira Hospital | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 23:11 | 12 | 31 |
| 6 | Uniao Da Serra | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 29:19 | 10 | 31 |
| 7 | Os Marialvas | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 25:22 | 3 | 24 |
| 8 | Peniche | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 24 |
| 9 | Fatima | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 17:21 | -4 | 22 |
| 10 | Lajense | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 26:28 | -2 | 22 |
| 11 | Marinhense | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 11:20 | -9 | 19 |
| 12 | Samora Correia | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 13:25 | -12 | 17 |
| 13 | SC Lusitania | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 20:34 | -14 | 16 |
| 14 | Electrico | 20 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 23:47 | -24 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Relegation