Result
03/01/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Tondela
44.6% | Draw
28.2% | Arouca
27.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Tondela - Arouca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.12 ↑
(2.02) |
3.34 ↓
(3.51) |
3.44 ↓
(3.98) |
6.2%
(3.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Tondela - Arouca?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Tondela will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Arouca will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Arouca (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 16 in the zone Liga Portugal (Relegation)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tondela won 1.
- Tondela has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Arouca's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Arouca may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Tondela might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Tondela won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tondela won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.6:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Tondela won against Arouca?
Tondela has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Arouca won against Tondela?
Arouca has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tondela - Arouca were as follows:
Latest results of Tondela
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 16 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 35:4 | 31 | 46 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 16 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 46:8 | 38 | 41 |
| 3 | Benfica | 16 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 33:10 | 23 | 36 |
| 4 | Gil Vicente | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 21:11 | 10 | 27 |
| 5 | Braga | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 28:15 | 13 | 26 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 20:13 | 7 | 23 |
| 7 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 16:21 | -5 | 22 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 21 |
| 9 | Estoril | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 27:26 | 1 | 20 |
| 10 | Estrela | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 20:24 | -4 | 18 |
| 11 | Rio Ave | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 19:28 | -9 | 17 |
| 12 | Alverca | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 16:27 | -11 | 17 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 11:15 | -4 | 16 |
| 14 | Nacional | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17:21 | -4 | 16 |
| 15 | Casa Pia | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16:29 | -13 | 14 |
| 16 | Arouca | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17:39 | -22 | 14 |
| 17 | Tondela | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9:27 | -18 | 9 |
| 18 | AFS | 16 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 11:41 | -30 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
