Result
3:0
22/03/2026 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 8
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.97 | 0.21 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (440/540) | 83% (407/491) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.97 | 0.21 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.06 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 15 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (440/540) | 83% (407/491) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (23/65) | 59% (36/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (91/130) | 63% (67/107) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (3/10) | 38% (6/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 0.35 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 26 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 60% (6/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 30 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 2.06 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 15', 1 - 0, Nakagawa N. ⚽, Mitsumaru H. (A),
- 19', Gokita K. 🟨,
- 31', 2 - 0, Osaki K. (Own goal),
- 45', Omori S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Yamazaki K. ↓, Semba T. ↑,
- 46', Gokita K. ↓, Watanabe A. ↑,
- 46', Yamazaki K. ↓, Semba T. ↑,
- 46', Harakawa R. ↓, Shimano R. ↑,
- 57', Hosoya M. ↓, Kakita Y. ↑,
- 57', Yamauchi H. ↓, Segawa Y. ↑,
- 74', Mase T. ↓, Arai M. ↑,
- 83', 3 - 0, Segawa Y. ⚽, Koizumi Y. (A),
- 85', Tada K. ↓, Kubo S. ↑,
- 85', Komi Y. ↓, Sugioka D. ↑,
- 89', Kubo T. ↓, Baba S. ↑,
- 90+4', Arai M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Kashiwa Reysol
60% | Draw
24.6% | Mito HollyHock
15.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kashiwa Reysol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Mito HollyHock has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kashiwa Reysol than the current prediction. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mito HollyHock than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Kashiwa Reysol - Mito HollyHock Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.57
(1.57) |
3.82
(3.82) |
6.05 ↓
(6.34) |
6.6%
(5.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Kashiwa Reysol - Mito HollyHock?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Kashiwa (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Kashiwa Reysol will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 17th place) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 13th place))
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Recently, Kashiwa has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Kashiwa is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Kashiwa: Kumasaka K.
(Knee Injury)
Tezuka K.
(Knee Injury)
Watai M.
(Knee Injury)
Yamada Y.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Mito HollyHock: Hayakawa U.
(Knee Injury)
Nemoto R.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Mito HollyHock: Danilo Cardoso
(Injury)
Kamiyama M.
(Finger Injury)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Kashiwa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Kashiwa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Kashiwa Reysol won against Mito HollyHock?
Kashiwa Reysol has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mito HollyHock won against Kashiwa Reysol?
Mito HollyHock has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kashiwa Reysol - Mito HollyHock were as follows:
Latest results of Kashiwa Reysol
Latest results of Mito HollyHock
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15:5 | 22 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13:8 | 16 |
| 3 | Machida | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13:12 | 15 |
| 4 | Verdy | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12:11 | 13 |
| 5 | Urawa Reds | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 11:10 | 11 |
| 6 | Kawasaki Frontale | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 7 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12:12 | 9 |
| 8 | Kashiwa Reysol | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 12:13 | 8 |
| 9 | Mito | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 10 | Chiba | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6:14 | 5 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kyoto | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12:9 | 14 |
| 2 | Gamba Osaka | 8 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 3 | Vissel Kobe | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 12:8 | 13 |
| 4 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 8 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 11:10 | 13 |
| 5 | Nagoya Grampus | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12:12 | 13 |
| 6 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 7 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12:10 | 11 |
| 8 | Cerezo Osaka | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 9 | Okayama | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9:11 | 11 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8:17 | 5 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
