Independiente Medellín vs Estudiantes La Plata – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

08/04/2026 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Independiente Medellín
36.4%
Draw
31.7%
Estudiantes La Plata
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.9% 32.3% 31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6% 33.5% 33%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Independiente Medellín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • Estudiantes La Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estudiantes La Plata than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • Independiente Medellín - Estudiantes La Plata Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.59
    (2.63)
    2.92
    (2.93)
    2.97
    (2.97)
    6.6%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • Ind Medellín is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Estudiantes has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Ind Medellín may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Draw
    Qualification

    Quarter-finals
    1JuventudU. Catolica5 : 3, 0 : 1
    2ByeGuarani
    3Liverpool M.Bye
    4ByeInd. Medellin
    5The StrongestDep. Tachira0 : 2, 2 : 1
    6ByeDeportes Tolima
    7O'HigginsBye
    8ByeBahia
    92 de MayoAlianza Lima1 : 1, 1 : 0
    10ByeSporting Cristal
    11CaraboboBye
    12ByeHuachipato
    13Barcelona SCBye
    14ByeArgentinos Jrs
    15Nacional PotosiBye
    16ByeBotafogo RJ

    Semi-finals
    1JuventudGuarani2 : 1, 0 : 0
    2Liverpool M.Ind. Medellin0 : 0, 1 : 2
    3Dep. TachiraDeportes Tolima1 : 1, 0 : 1
    4O'HigginsBahia2 : 2, 1 : 0
    52 de MayoSporting Cristal0 : 1, 2 : 2
    6CaraboboHuachipato2 : 1, 1 : 0
    7Barcelona SCArgentinos Jrs2 : 0, 0 : 1
    8Nacional PotosiBotafogo RJ0 : 2, 1 : 0

    Final
    1JuventudInd. Medellin1 : 2, 1 : 1
    2Deportes TolimaO'Higgins2 : 0, 0 : 1
    3Sporting CristalCarabobo2 : 2, 1 : 0
    4Barcelona SCBotafogo RJ1 : 0, 1 : 1