Result
0:1
27/04/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Virsliga - Round 9
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Latvia | Sportacentrs TV, Virsliga Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.70 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (314/425) | 64% (200/312) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.70 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.55 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (314/425) | 64% (200/312) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (35/77) | 31% (16/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (69/120) | 60% (81/134) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (2/12) | 15% (5/33) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 0.61 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 37 | 41 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (15/26) | 90% (18/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 75 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 40 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.55 | 0.57 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.45 | 0.57 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 33', Cudars K. 🟨,
- 45', Lormanis M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 50', Butovskis A. 🟨,
- 61', Kumakura K. ↓, Marusii M. ↑,
- 67', Rataj T. ↓, Becers R. ↑,
- 69', Mashchenko V. ↓, Machado F. ↑,
- 77', Melkis R. 🟨,
- 80', 0 - 1, Hasek F. ⚽,
- 81', Marusiy T. 🟨,
- 83', Ivulans M. ↓, Pacepko M. ↑,
- 83', Johnson K. ↓, Sprukts E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Ogre United
25.5% | Draw
27.2% | Jelgava
47.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ogre United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)Jelgava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ogre United than the current prediction. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jelgava than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Ogre United - Jelgava Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.62 ↑
(3.61) |
3.39 ↑
(3.25) |
1.95 ↓
(1.97) |
8.4%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Ogre United - Jelgava?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Jelgava will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga and 8).
- Ogre United is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Jelgava is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Jelgava may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Jelgava might have a minor edge in this game.
- The teams have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Ogre United won against Jelgava?
Ogre United has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jelgava won against Ogre United?
Jelgava has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ogre United - Jelgava were as follows:
Latest results of Ogre United
Latest results of Jelgava
Latvian Virsliga Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Auda | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 18:12 | 6 | 22 |
| 2 | RFS | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 16:6 | 10 | 22 |
| 3 | Riga FC | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 32:12 | 20 | 20 |
| 4 | Super Nova | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 11:15 | -4 | 13 |
| 5 | BFC Daugavpils | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12:14 | -2 | 13 |
| 6 | FK Liepaja | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 12 |
| 7 | Grobina | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 9 |
| 8 | Tukums 2000 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 17:16 | 1 | 8 |
| 9 | Jelgava | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7:22 | -15 | 8 |
| 10 | Ogre United | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5:15 | -10 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga
