Result
0:4
16/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 2.40 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 34% | 66% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (212/289) | 85% (467/550) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 2.40 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.22 | 3.99 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 32 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (212/289) | 85% (467/550) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (16/48) | 39% (16/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (37/67) | 68% (106/156) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (1/9) | 32% (7/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.11 | 1.68 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 36% (4/11) | 72% (13/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.99 | 0.22 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.01 | 0.22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 13', Azongnitode C. 🟨,
- 14', Rale M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 4)
- 49', 0 - 1, Hytonen T. ⚽, Riski Ro. (A),
- 53', 0 - 2, Riski Ro. (Pen),
- 57', Harrison S. ↓, Ghezali L. ↑,
- 57', Jokelainen N. ↓, Rennicks J. ↑,
- 69', Paananen A. ↓, Paananen J. ↑,
- 69', Jukkola O. ↓, Wallius K. ↑,
- 69', Kanga J. ↓, Stjopin M. ↑,
- 69', Virtanen O. ↓, Krkalic F. ↑,
- 76', Tiihonen O. 🟨,
- 78', Riski Ro. ↓, Kilo J. ↑,
- 81', Silander S. ↓, Lehtonen J. ↑,
- 81', Azongnitode C. ↓, Ojala M. ↑,
- 81', 0 - 3, Veteli J. ⚽,
- 85', Hytonen T. ↓, Akinyemi A. ↑,
- 86', 0 - 4, Kilo J. ⚽,
- 90+2', Miettunen T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Oulu 22.5% | Draw 22.7% | Ilves 54.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oulu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)The chances for Ilves have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oulu than the current prediction. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Oulu - Ilves Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.23 ↑ (4) |
4.12 ↓ (4.2) |
1.71 ↑ (1.69) |
6.4% (8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Oulu - Ilves?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Oulu will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Ilves will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Ilves (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 11 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )).
- Ilves is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oulu won 0.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Oulu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Ilves is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Oulu: Barrow D.
(Inactive)
Ghezali L.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Ilves: Ala-Myllymaki L.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Oulu: Schulz N.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Oulu won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 21:31. (average 1.1:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Oulu won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:14. (average 0.8:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Oulu won against Ilves?
Oulu has won 1 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ilves won against Oulu?
Ilves has won 10 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Oulu - Ilves were as follows:
24.05.2025
Ilves
-
Oulu
0:0
14.03.2025
Ilves
-
Oulu
3:0
01.02.2025
Oulu
-
Ilves
1:2
04.08.2024
Oulu
-
Ilves
0:1
04.05.2024
Ilves
-
Oulu
3:2
Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter Turku | 29 | 16 | 9 | 4 | 54:28 | 26 | 57 |
| 2 | KuPS | 28 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 55:31 | 24 | 57 |
| 3 | Ilves | 29 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 62:39 | 23 | 56 |
| 4 | SJK | 28 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 62:45 | 17 | 54 |
| 5 | HJK | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 71:45 | 26 | 48 |
| 6 | Gnistan | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 44:59 | -15 | 31 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )