Result
2:2
26/09/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 5
- Referee: Sacchi J. L. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.75 | 1.20 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (380/437) | 81% (252/311) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.75 | 1.20 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 1.49 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 41 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (380/437) | 81% (252/311) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (15/32) | 32% (16/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (108/145) | 60% (42/70) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 37% (16/43) | 50% (2/4) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 0.18 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 9 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (5/10) | 80% (4/5) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 44 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.49 | 1.68 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.51 | -0.32 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 19', Bettella D. 🟨,
- 21', 0 - 1, Gabrielloni A. (Pen),
- 25', Cacciamani A. 🟨,
- 30', Matias Antonini 🟨,
- 36', Pierobon C. 🟨,
- 44', 0 - 2, Carissoni L. ⚽, Gabrielloni A. (A),
- 45+1', Cacciamani A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Bettella D. ↓, Verrengia B. ↑,
- 46', Matias Antonini ↓, Petriccione J. ↑,
- 46', Rispoli F. ↓, Di Francesco F. ↑,
- 46', Pierobon C. ↓, Reale F. ↑,
- 46', Maistro F. ↓, Mosti N. ↑,
- 53', 1 - 2, Verrengia B. ⚽, Pontisso S. (A),
- 63', Gabrielloni A. ↓, Burnete R. ↑,
- 64', Burnete R. 🟨,
- 68', Pandolfi L. ↓, Pittarello F. ↑,
- 71', 2 - 2, Iemmello P. ⚽, Pittarello F. (A),
- 72', Carissoni L. 🟨,
- 73', Maistro F. 🟥,
- 76', Stabile G. ↓, Bellich M. ↑,
- 76', Carissoni L. ↓, Piscopo K. ↑,
- 84', Pontisso S. ↓, Oudin R. ↑,
- 90+4', Piscopo K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Catanzaro
26.2% | Draw
31.8% | Juve Stabia
42% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Catanzaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Catanzaro's form might have worsened.Juve Stabia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Juve Stabia's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Catanzaro than the current prediction. (+7.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Catanzaro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juve Stabia than the current prediction. (-5.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Juve Stabia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Catanzaro - Juve Stabia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.04 ↑
(2.7) |
3.23 ↑
(3.1) |
2.35 ↓
(2.55) |
-1.6%
(8.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Catanzaro - Juve Stabia?
Users Predictions:
30 users predict this event. Catanzaro will win (votes: 6 - 20%). Juve Stabia will win (votes: 13 - 43.3%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 36.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Juve Stabia: 25.6% – 61%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Catanzaro (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Juve Stabia (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Catanzaro won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Catanzaro: Di Francesco F.
(Inactive)
Pompetti M.
(Shin Injury)
- There will not play in Juve Stabia: Battistella T.
(Knee Injury)
Bellich M.
(Overload)
Ciammaglichella A.
(Overload)
Morachioli G.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Catanzaro won 5 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:21. (average 1.1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Catanzaro won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 0.9:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Catanzaro won against Juve Stabia?
Catanzaro has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Juve Stabia won against Catanzaro?
Juve Stabia has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Catanzaro - Juve Stabia were as follows:
01.05.2025
Juve Stabia
-
Catanzaro
2:0
25.08.2024
Catanzaro
-
Juve Stabia
0:0
25.02.2023
Juve Stabia
-
Catanzaro
1:4
22.10.2022
Catanzaro
-
Juve Stabia
2:0
Latest results of Catanzaro
Latest results of Juve Stabia
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Frosinone | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10:3 | 7 | 11 |
| 2 | Palermo | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 11 |
| 3 | Cesena | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9:5 | 4 | 11 |
| 4 | Modena | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9:2 | 7 | 10 |
| 5 | Avellino | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 10 |
| 6 | Sudtirol | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 8 |
| 7 | Venezia | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 8 |
| 8 | Juve Stabia | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 7 |
| 9 | Monza | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 | Padova | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 7 |
| 11 | Carrarese | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 5 |
| 12 | Catanzaro | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6:6 | 0 | 5 |
| 13 | Reggiana | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 | Entella | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 | Pescara | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 4 |
| 16 | Empoli | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:9 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 | Mantova | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:11 | -7 | 3 |
| 18 | Bari | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3:9 | -6 | 2 |
| 19 | Spezia | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2:8 | -6 | 2 |
| 20 | Sampdoria | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3:9 | -6 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
