Result
0:1
24/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 26
- Referee: Joyce R. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.20 | 1.30 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 56% (148/264) | 65% (210/321) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.20 | 1.30 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.12 | 0.58 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 9 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 0 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 5 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 56% (148/264) | 65% (210/321) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 21% (18/85) | 24% (19/79) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 44% (39/88) | 57% (85/148) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 0% (0/16) | 17% (2/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.12 | 0.60 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 27 | 37 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (8/13) | 58% (11/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 69 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 57 | 39 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.58 | 0.12 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.42 | 0.12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 36', Conneely S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Popoola A. ↓, Martin D. ↑,
- 63', Howland J. ↓, Jaiyesimi D. ↑,
- 66', Smith J. ↓, Hall C. ↑,
- 75', Brown C. ↓, Abimbola D. ↑,
- 81', 0 - 1, Tshimanga K. ⚽, Kanu I. (A),
- 90+3', Tshimanga K. ↓, Hawkins O. ↑,
- 90+3', Crichlow-Noble R. ↓, Chinedu P. ↑,
Chances of winning
Accrington Stanley 24% | Draw 27.1% | Barnet 48.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Accrington Stanley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)Barnet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barnet than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Accrington Stanley - Barnet Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.84 ↓ (4) |
3.42 ↑ (3.3) |
1.92 ↑ (1.87) |
7.4% (8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Accrington Stanley - Barnet?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Accrington will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%). Barnet will win (votes: 10 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Barnet: 32.6% – 78.6%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.25 - Accrington (2.09) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Accrington Stanley will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Accrington (votes: 4 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 14 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Accrington won 3.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Barnet will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Accrington: Hall C.
(Inactive)
Mooney K.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Accrington: Bauress J.
(Inactive)
Grant C.
(Inactive)
Madden P.
(Inactive)
Walton T.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Barnet: Glover R.
(Inactive)
Osadebe E.
(Inactive)
Stead C.
(Inactive)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Accrington won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.5:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Accrington won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:5. (average 2.2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Accrington Stanley won against Barnet?
Accrington Stanley has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Barnet won against Accrington Stanley?
Barnet has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Accrington Stanley - Barnet were as follows:
04.10.2025
Barnet
-
Accrington Stanley
2:0
26.11.2022
Accrington Stanley
-
Barnet
1:0
Latest results of Accrington Stanley
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 39 | 22 | 13 | 4 | 62:36 | 26 | 79 |
| 2 | MK Dons | 39 | 21 | 11 | 7 | 76:40 | 36 | 74 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 38 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 56:28 | 28 | 72 |
| 4 | Notts Co | 38 | 21 | 7 | 10 | 65:39 | 26 | 70 |
| 5 | Swindon | 39 | 21 | 6 | 12 | 63:45 | 18 | 69 |
| 6 | Salford | 39 | 21 | 4 | 14 | 54:48 | 6 | 67 |
| 7 | Grimsby | 38 | 17 | 11 | 10 | 56:40 | 16 | 62 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 39 | 16 | 14 | 9 | 61:52 | 9 | 62 |
| 9 | Crewe | 39 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 58:47 | 11 | 60 |
| 10 | Walsall | 39 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 48:41 | 7 | 60 |
| 11 | Oldham | 37 | 15 | 13 | 9 | 44:31 | 13 | 58 |
| 12 | Barnet | 39 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 49:43 | 6 | 57 |
| 13 | Fleetwood | 39 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 48:46 | 2 | 54 |
| 14 | Colchester | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 50:41 | 9 | 53 |
| 15 | Accrington | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 38:42 | -4 | 48 |
| 16 | Gillingham | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 44:56 | -12 | 45 |
| 17 | Bristol Rovers | 39 | 13 | 4 | 22 | 40:60 | -20 | 43 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 43:65 | -22 | 42 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 39 | 11 | 8 | 20 | 37:63 | -26 | 41 |
| 20 | Tranmere | 39 | 9 | 9 | 21 | 48:69 | -21 | 36 |
| 21 | Crawley | 39 | 6 | 13 | 20 | 36:60 | -24 | 31 |
| 22 | Newport | 39 | 8 | 7 | 24 | 39:67 | -28 | 31 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 39 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 29:58 | -29 | 30 |
| 24 | Barrow | 38 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 36:63 | -27 | 29 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League