Result
1:2
10/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- EFL Trophy - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
- Referee: Howard P. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.74 | 2.20 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (268/397) | 65% (212/328) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.74 | 2.20 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.94 | 2.80 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (268/397) | 65% (212/328) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (29/92) | 29% (23/79) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 50% (70/140) | 55% (73/132) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (6/20) | 11% (1/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 1.08 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 27 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (10/16) | 62% (13/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 63 | 66 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 43 |
| Interceptions |
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| 6 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.80 | 1.94 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.80 | 0.94 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 38', 0 - 1, Vale J. ⚽, Jacobs M. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 50', 1 - 1, Stevens M. ⚽,
- 51', Lewis J. ↓, Ogundere I. ↑,
- 62', Fornah T. ↓, Campbell D. ↑,
- 62', Vale J. ↓, Eaves T. ↑,
- 62', Evans J. ↓, Swyer K. ↑,
- 69', Hackford A. ↓, Foyo O. ↑,
- 69', Asiimwe N. ↓, Tilley J. ↑,
- 73', 1 - 2, Eaves T. ⚽, McAdam K. (A),
- 75', McAdam K. 🟨,
- 80', Maycock C. ↓, Bugiel O. ↑,
- 80', Willis J. ↓, Hoskins S. ↑,
- 90', Perkins J. ↓, Hammond B. ↑,
- 90+4', Eaves T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
AFC Wimbledon
37.8% | Draw
30% | Northampton Town
32.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AFC Wimbledon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)Northampton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AFC Wimbledon, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
AFC Wimbledon - Northampton Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.87 ↑
(2.15) |
3.46 ↑
(3.24) |
3.13 ↑
(3.1) |
-4.3%
(9.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for AFC Wimbledon - Northampton Town?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Wimbledon will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- DC - Wimbledon (1.28) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Wimbledon (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Northampton (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wimbledon won 2.
- In recent matches, Wimbledon has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Northampton has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Wimbledon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Wimbledon might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Wimbledon won 3 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 14:24. (average 0.7:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Wimbledon won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:12. (average 0.8:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has AFC Wimbledon won against Northampton Town?
AFC Wimbledon has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Northampton Town won against AFC Wimbledon?
Northampton Town has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AFC Wimbledon - Northampton Town were as follows:
19.12.2025
Northampton Town
-
AFC Wimbledon
3:1
14.02.2023
Northampton Town
-
AFC Wimbledon
0:0
13.09.2022
AFC Wimbledon
-
Northampton Town
0:2
Latest results of AFC Wimbledon
Latest results of Northampton Town
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Lincoln | Huddersfield | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Salford | Rotherham | 2 : 7 |
| 3 | Doncaster | Chesterfield | 5 : 1 |
| 4 | Tranmere | Fleetwood | 0 : 3 |
| 5 | Bolton | Bradford City | 3 : 0 |
| 6 | Port Vale | Barnsley | 5 : 0 |
| 7 | Crewe | Stockport County | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Harrogate | Blackpool | 4 : 2 |
| 9 | Luton | Exeter | 4 : 0 |
| 10 | Swindon | Peterborough | 1 : 0 |
| 11 | Bristol Rovers | Cambridge Utd | 3 : 2 |
| 12 | Leyton Orient | Plymouth | 0 : 1 |
| 13 | Cardiff | AFC Wimbledon | 1 : 5 |
| 14 | Colchester | West Ham U21 | 0 : 1 |
| 15 | Northampton | Wycombe | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Stevenage | Walsall | 1 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Huddersfield | Rotherham | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Doncaster | Fleetwood | 3 : 1 |
| 3 | Bolton | Port Vale | 0 : 1 |
| 4 | Stockport County | Harrogate | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Luton | Swindon | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Bristol Rovers | Plymouth | 3 : 4 |
| 7 | AFC Wimbledon | West Ham U21 | 4 : 2 |
| 8 | Northampton | Walsall | 4 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Huddersfield | Doncaster | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Port Vale | Stockport County | 0 : 4 |
| 3 | Luton | Plymouth | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | AFC Wimbledon | Northampton | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Doncaster | Stockport County | |
| 2 | Luton | Northampton | |
Final
