Result
1:0
08/03/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 36
- Referee: Bell E. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 2 |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 6, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool |
 Hong-kong | myTV SUPER |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Ireland | NOW |
 Malaysia | Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 8 |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1x2 |
 Slovakia | Nova Sport 6, Voyo |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool |
 United-kingdom | NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 0.57 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 61% (204/332) | 50% (142/284) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 0.57 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 0.56 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 61% (204/332) | 50% (142/284) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 25% (19/75) | 16% (13/81) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (69/123) | 40% (41/102) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (7/34) | 16% (3/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 0.85 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 32 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 53% (10/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 62 | 76 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 42 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.56 | 1.17 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.56 | 0.17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 10', 1 - 0, Maycock C. ⚽, Browne M. (A),
- 31', Fornah T. ↓, Dyche M. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Burroughs J. ↓, Guinness-Walker N. ↑,
- 46', Perkins J. ↓, Hoskins S. ↑,
- 55', Eaves T. ↓, Vale J. ↑,
- 66', Tilley J. ↓, Lewis J. ↑,
- 72', Hippolyte M. ↓, Nelson Z. ↑,
- 72', Stevens M. ↓, Bugiel O. ↑,
- 80', Dyche M. 🟨,
- 86', Taylor T. ↓, Jacobs M. ↑,
- 86', Browne M. ↓, Hackford A. ↑,
- 87', Maycock C. ↓, Reeves J. ↑,
Chances of winning
AFC Wimbledon
47.9% | Draw
27.4% | Northampton Town
24.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AFC Wimbledon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)Northampton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (-8.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with AFC Wimbledon that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Northampton Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
AFC Wimbledon - Northampton Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.96 ↓
(2.01) |
3.41 ↑
(3.34) |
3.76 ↑
(3.66) |
6.9%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for AFC Wimbledon - Northampton Town?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Wimbledon will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Northampton will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wimbledon: 46.4% – 99%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Wimbledon (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 14 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wimbledon won 1.
- Recent performances by Wimbledon have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Northampton is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Wimbledon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Wimbledon will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Wimbledon: McCoy-Splatt D.
(Inactive)
Sasu A.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Northampton: Edwards K.
(Injury)
Guthrie J.
(Inactive)
Shaw L.
(Knee Injury)
Wormleighton J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Wimbledon: Lewis J.
(Inactive)
Stewart L.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Northampton: Guinness-Walker N.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wimbledon won 3 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 15:26. (average 0.8:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Wimbledon won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:14. (average 0.8:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has AFC Wimbledon won against Northampton Town?
AFC Wimbledon has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Northampton Town won against AFC Wimbledon?
Northampton Town has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AFC Wimbledon - Northampton Town were as follows:
10.02.2026
AFC Wimbledon
-
Northampton Town
1:2
19.12.2025
Northampton Town
-
AFC Wimbledon
3:1
14.02.2023
Northampton Town
-
AFC Wimbledon
0:0
13.09.2022
AFC Wimbledon
-
Northampton Town
0:2
Latest results of AFC Wimbledon
Latest results of Northampton Town
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln | 38 | 24 | 9 | 5 | 71:34 | 37 | 81 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 38 | 23 | 7 | 8 | 73:41 | 32 | 76 |
| 3 | Bolton | 38 | 17 | 15 | 6 | 55:38 | 17 | 66 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 48:42 | 6 | 65 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 36 | 17 | 8 | 11 | 50:47 | 3 | 59 |
| 6 | Reading | 38 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 57:50 | 7 | 58 |
| 7 | Huddersfield | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 58:48 | 10 | 57 |
| 8 | Stevenage | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 40:38 | 2 | 57 |
| 9 | Wycombe | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 55:41 | 14 | 56 |
| 10 | Plymouth | 38 | 17 | 5 | 16 | 57:53 | 4 | 56 |
| 11 | Luton | 38 | 15 | 9 | 14 | 51:48 | 3 | 54 |
| 12 | Barnsley | 36 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 59:59 | 0 | 50 |
| 13 | Peterborough | 37 | 15 | 4 | 18 | 56:51 | 5 | 49 |
| 14 | AFC Wimbledon | 37 | 14 | 7 | 16 | 48:54 | -6 | 49 |
| 15 | Mansfield | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43:40 | 3 | 46 |
| 16 | Leyton Orient | 37 | 13 | 6 | 18 | 53:62 | -9 | 45 |
| 17 | Doncaster | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 40:59 | -19 | 44 |
| 18 | Burton | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 42:53 | -11 | 43 |
| 19 | Exeter | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 42:50 | -8 | 42 |
| 20 | Wigan | 37 | 10 | 12 | 15 | 39:51 | -12 | 42 |
| 21 | Blackpool | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 46:63 | -17 | 41 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 37 | 9 | 9 | 19 | 35:55 | -20 | 36 |
| 23 | Northampton | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 32:52 | -20 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 35 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 28:49 | -21 | 28 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
