Result
2:3
20/12/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 15
Chances of winning
Derio
42% | Draw
30.3% | Alavés C
27.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Derio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)Alavés C has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derio than the current prediction. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alavés C than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Derio - Alavés C Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.17 ↓
(2.21) |
3
(3) |
3.29 ↑
(3.23) |
9.8%
(9.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: ) and 11).
- Derio has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Alavés C is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Derio could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Derio won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Derio won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Derio won against Alavés C?
Derio has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alavés C won against Derio?
Alavés C has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Derio - Alavés C were as follows:
10.05.2025
Alavés C
-
Derio
1:1
11.01.2025
Derio
-
Alavés C
2:0
14.01.2024
Alavés C
-
Derio
1:0
Latest results of Alavés C
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Portugalete | 27 | 21 | 4 | 2 | 58:17 | 41 | 67 |
| 2 | Leioa | 27 | 16 | 4 | 7 | 40:25 | 15 | 52 |
| 3 | Touring KE | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 36:26 | 10 | 47 |
| 4 | Lagun Onak | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 41:26 | 15 | 46 |
| 5 | Derio | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 45:31 | 14 | 46 |
| 6 | Aurrera de Vitoria | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 35:31 | 4 | 46 |
| 7 | Alaves C | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 44:31 | 13 | 42 |
| 8 | San Ignacio | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 27:20 | 7 | 42 |
| 9 | UD Aretxabaleta | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 44:44 | 0 | 38 |
| 10 | Durango | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 29:28 | 1 | 36 |
| 11 | Real Sociedad C | 27 | 11 | 3 | 13 | 29:35 | -6 | 36 |
| 12 | Santurtzi | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 27:35 | -8 | 31 |
| 13 | Pasaia | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 20:32 | -12 | 28 |
| 14 | Eibar C | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 30:43 | -13 | 27 |
| 15 | Anorga | 27 | 8 | 3 | 16 | 26:49 | -23 | 27 |
| 16 | Zamudio | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 28:43 | -15 | 26 |
| 17 | Zarautz KE | 27 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 22:50 | -28 | 22 |
| 18 | SD Deusto | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 18:33 | -15 | 21 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
