Independiente Rivadavia vs Argentinos Juniors – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Liga Profesional Independiente Rivadavia - Argentinos Juniors
Result
2:1
30/08/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 7
  • Referee: Tello F. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN Premium
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaK-Ball
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+, Fanatiz
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.772.47
Ball Possession
28%72%
Total shots
822
Shots on target
38
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
612
Passes
73% (144/197)88% (456/519)
Yellow Cards
71
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.772.47
xG on target (xGOT)
1.402.27
Total shots
822
Shots on target
38
Shots off target
410
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
515
Shots outside the Box
37
Hit the Woodwork
12
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
612
Touches in opposition box
1529
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
33
Free Kicks
88
Passes
73% (144/197)88% (456/519)
Long passes
40% (18/45)45% (19/42)
Passes in final third
62% (37/60)81% (104/129)
Crosses
19% (3/16)29% (10/34)
Expected assists (xA)
0.391.64
Throw-ins
1713
Fouls
108
Tackles
50% (6/12)67% (8/12)
Duels won
4143
Clearances
4311
Interceptions
125
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
71
xGOT faced
2.271.40
Goals prevented
1.27-0.60

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Sartori F. ,
  • 10', 1 - 1, Lopez H. , Gimenez M. (A),
  • 17', 2 - 1, Fernandez M. , Studer S. (A),
  • 23', Studer S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Bottari T. 🟨,
  • 46', Retamar K. , Cardillo M. ,
  • 53', Gomez L. 🟨,
  • 56', Costa L. 🟨,
  • 58', Lescano A. 🟨,
  • 63', Costa L. 🟨,
  • 67', Oroz N. , Giaccone L. ,
  • 67', Sartori F. , Osella A. ,
  • 67', Gomez L. , Souto P. ,
  • 74', Fernandez M. , Bonifacio E. ,
  • 78', Lozano L. , Gho J. ,
  • 78', Cardozo J. , Sosa I. ,
  • 79', Souto P. 🟨,
  • 86', Lescano A. , Porcel D. ,
  • 86', Prieto S. , Viveros E. ,
  • 88', Amarfil M. , Bucca L. ,
  • 90+1', Centurion E. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Independiente Rivadavia
30.6%
Draw
32.2%
Argentinos Juniors
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.8% 29.6% 32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6% 30.2% 31.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Independiente Rivadavia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Independiente Rivadavia's form might have worsened.
  • Argentinos Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Rivadavia than the current prediction. (+8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independiente Rivadavia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Argentinos Juniors than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Argentinos Juniors, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Independiente Rivadavia - Argentinos Juniors Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.09
    (2.5)
    2.89
    (3.2)
    2.55
    (2.9)
    6.2%
    (5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Independiente Rivadavia - Argentinos Juniors?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Argentinos Juniors will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Argentinos Juniors: 29.6%90.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Argentinos Juniors (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 and 9).
    • Independiente R has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Argentinos Juniors is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Independiente R may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Independiente R: Peinipil M. (Injury) Ramis V. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Argentinos Juniors: Sanchez L. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente R won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.2:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Independiente R won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Rivadavia - Argentinos Juniors were as follows:
    24.02.2025 Argentinos Juniors - Independiente Rivadavia 0:0
    02.12.2024 Independiente Rivadavia - Argentinos Juniors 2:1
    20.02.2024 Argentinos Juniors - Independiente Rivadavia 2:1
    Latest results of Argentinos Juniors
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Union de Santa Fe1145215:10517
    2Defensa y Justicia1144312:10216
    3Barracas Central1044212:10216
    4Tigre1144310:8216
    5Estudiantes L.P1051411:11016
    6Huracan114436:8-216
    7Argentinos Jrs1143412:8415
    8Central Cordoba1136212:9315
    9Boca Juniors1035213:8514
    10Banfield114259:14-514
    11Belgrano1034310:8213
    12Racing Club1032510:12-211
    13Ind. Rivadavia1024410:12-210
    14Newells Old Boys102449:12-310
    15Aldosivi111373:14-116


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dep. Riestra1071214:6822
    2Velez Sarsfield1063114:5921
    3Lanus1162311:9220
    4River Plate1053217:9818
    5San Lorenzo114439:8116
    6Rosario Central93609:4515
    7Atl. Tucuman1143413:11215
    8Gimnasia L.P114167:12-513
    9Sarmiento Junin103348:11-312
    10Instituto112635:11-612
    11San Martin S.J112548:11-311
    12Talleres Cordoba102445:9-410
    13Platense1024410:15-510
    14Godoy Cruz101548:13-58
    15Independiente90545:9-45

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