Independiente Rivadavia vs Argentinos Juniors – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Liga Profesional Independiente Rivadavia - Argentinos Juniors
Result
2:1
30/08/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 7
  • Referee: Tello F. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN Premium
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaK-Ball
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+, Fanatiz
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.772.47
Ball Possession
28%72%
Total shots
822
Shots on target
38
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
612
Passes
73% (144/197)88% (456/519)
Yellow Cards
71
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.772.47
xG on target (xGOT)
1.402.27
Total shots
822
Shots on target
38
Shots off target
410
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
515
Shots outside the Box
37
Hit the Woodwork
12
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
612
Touches in opposition box
1529
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
33
Free Kicks
88
Passes
73% (144/197)88% (456/519)
Long passes
40% (18/45)45% (19/42)
Passes in final third
62% (37/60)81% (104/129)
Crosses
19% (3/16)29% (10/34)
Expected assists (xA)
0.391.64
Throw-ins
1713
Fouls
108
Tackles
50% (6/12)67% (8/12)
Duels won
4143
Clearances
4311
Interceptions
125
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
71
xGOT faced
2.271.40
Goals prevented
1.27-0.60

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Sartori F. ,
  • 10', 1 - 1, Lopez H. , Gimenez M. (A),
  • 17', 2 - 1, Fernandez M. , Studer S. (A),
  • 23', Studer S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Bottari T. 🟨,
  • 46', Retamar K. , Cardillo M. ,
  • 53', Gomez L. 🟨,
  • 56', Costa L. 🟨,
  • 58', Lescano A. 🟨,
  • 63', Costa L. 🟨,
  • 67', Oroz N. , Giaccone L. ,
  • 67', Sartori F. , Osella A. ,
  • 67', Gomez L. , Souto P. ,
  • 74', Fernandez M. , Bonifacio E. ,
  • 78', Lozano L. , Gho J. ,
  • 78', Cardozo J. , Sosa I. ,
  • 79', Souto P. 🟨,
  • 86', Lescano A. , Porcel D. ,
  • 86', Prieto S. , Viveros E. ,
  • 88', Amarfil M. , Bucca L. ,
  • 90+1', Centurion E. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Independiente Rivadavia
30.6%
Draw
32.2%
Argentinos Juniors
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.8% 29.6% 32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6% 30.2% 31.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Independiente Rivadavia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Independiente Rivadavia's form might have worsened.
  • Argentinos Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Rivadavia than the current prediction. (+8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independiente Rivadavia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Argentinos Juniors than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Argentinos Juniors, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Independiente Rivadavia - Argentinos Juniors Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.09
    (2.5)
    2.89
    (3.2)
    2.55
    (2.9)
    6.2%
    (5.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Independiente Rivadavia - Argentinos Juniors?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Argentinos Juniors will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Argentinos Juniors: 29.6%90.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Argentinos Juniors (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 and 9).
    • Independiente R has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Argentinos Juniors is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Independiente R may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Independiente R: Peinipil M. (Injury) Ramis V. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Argentinos Juniors: Sanchez L. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente R won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.2:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Independiente R won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Rivadavia - Argentinos Juniors were as follows:
    24.02.2025 Argentinos Juniors - Independiente Rivadavia 0:0
    02.12.2024 Independiente Rivadavia - Argentinos Juniors 2:1
    20.02.2024 Argentinos Juniors - Independiente Rivadavia 2:1
    Latest results of Argentinos Juniors
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Central Cordoba1356216:10621
    2Estudiantes L.P1363415:13221
    3Union de Santa Fe1355319:13620
    4Defensa y Justicia1354413:13019
    5Argentinos Jrs1353515:10518
    6Belgrano1346313:10318
    7Barracas Central1246215:13218
    8Tigre1346313:11218
    9Racing Club1353514:13118
    10Boca Juniors1245319:10917
    11Banfield1352612:18-617
    12Huracan134456:11-516
    13Ind. Rivadavia1326511:14-312
    14Newells Old Boys1325611:21-1011
    15Aldosivi132385:15-109


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dep. Riestra1383218:9927
    2Rosario Central1376015:6927
    3Lanus1382315:9626
    4Velez Sarsfield1374219:91025
    5River Plate1363420:12821
    6San Lorenzo1354411:10119
    7San Martin S.J1345410:11-117
    8Atl. Tucuman1343614:15-115
    9Sarmiento Junin134369:14-515
    10Instituto133647:12-515
    11Talleres Cordoba133557:12-514
    12Gimnasia L.P134188:16-813
    13Platense1325611:20-911
    14Godoy Cruz131759:16-710
    15Independiente131669:13-49

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