Nacional Montevideo vs Atlético Nacional – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Copa Libertadores
Football Copa Libertadores Nacional Montevideo - Atlético Nacional
Result
1:0
28/05/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 6
  • Referee: Ramirez M. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSporty TV, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, FOX Sports 2
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Sports 3
belarusBelarusOkko Sport
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
chileChileESPN Premium
colombiaColombiaESPN
croatiaCroatiaMAXtv To Go
indonesiaIndonesiaMola TV
israelIsraelSport 3
italyItalyComo TV
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 2
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South
spainSpainLaLiga+ app
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.651.14
Ball Possession
38%62%
Total shots
915
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
69
Passes
70% (218/312)83% (430/518)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
0.651.14
xG on target (xGOT)
1.220.82
Total shots
915
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
38
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
58
Shots outside the Box
47
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
69
Touches in opposition box
2024
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
42
Free Kicks
1111
Passes
70% (218/312)83% (430/518)
Long passes
24% (15/62)55% (30/55)
Passes in final third
52% (43/82)70% (93/132)
Crosses
20% (4/20)29% (4/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.091.05
Throw-ins
1621
Fouls
1111
Tackles
72% (18/25)67% (16/24)
Duels won
5764
Clearances
2817
Interceptions
79
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
0.821.22
Goals prevented
0.820.22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 3', Baez Corradi G. 🟨,
  • 31', Calione P. 🟨,
  • 43', Morales L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Arias J. J. 🟨,
  • 66', Otero R. ↓, Mereles E. ↑,
  • 67', Eduardo Vargas ↓, Petit G. ↑,
  • 74', Morales L. ↓, Ancheta E. ↑,
  • 77', Viveros K. 🟨,
  • 77', Arce B. ↓, Sarmiento A. ↑,
  • 82', Zapata J. ↓, Toscano Bassa K. D. ↑,
  • 82', Hinestroza M. ↓, Morelos A. ↑,
  • 88', 1 - 0, Oliva C. ⚽, Ancheta E. (A),
  • 90', Boggio L. ↓, Arady B. ↑,

Chances of winning


Nacional Montevideo
37.6%		Draw
28.3%		Atlético Nacional
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.8% 28.8% 32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7% 29.6% 33.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nacional Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • Atlético Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Montevideo than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
    •

    Nacional Montevideo - Atlético Nacional Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.52 ↑
    (2.44)    		 3.33 ↑
    (3.29)    		 2.76 ↓
    (2.91)    		 6%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    •
    What is the prediction for Nacional Montevideo - Atlético Nacional?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Nacional will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Atlético Nacional will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Atlético Nacional is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • Nacional is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Atlético Nacional has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Nacional may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Nacional: Mereles E. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Nacional: Coates S. (Injury)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 1.2:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nacional won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 2:2.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional Montevideo - Atlético Nacional were as follows:
    02.04.2025 Atlético Nacional - Nacional Montevideo 3:0
    Latest results of Nacional Montevideo
    23.05.2025 Nacional Montevideo - Progreso 1:0
    18.05.2025 Nacional Montevideo - Defensor Sporting 2:1
    15.05.2025 Nacional Montevideo - Internacional RS 0:2 ✺
    07.05.2025 Bahia - Nacional Montevideo 1:3 ✺
    03.05.2025 Nacional Montevideo - Cerro 4:0 ✺
    Latest results of Atlético Nacional
    25.05.2025 Atlético Nacional - Junior Barranquilla 2:3
    18.05.2025 Rionegro Águilas - Atlético Nacional 2:1 ✺
    14.05.2025 Atlético Nacional - Bahia 1:0 ✺
    11.05.2025 Atlético Nacional - Llaneros SA 2:1
    08.05.2025 Atlético Nacional - Internacional RS 3:1 ✺
    Copa Libertadores Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P640211:5612
    2Botafogo RJ64028:5312
    3U. De Chile63128:6210
    4Carabobo60152:13-111


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1River Plate633013:7612
    2U. de Deportes62224:408
    3Ind. del Valle62228:11-38
    4Barcelona SC61144:7-34


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1LDU Quito63218:4411
    2Flamengo RJ63216:3311
    3Central Cordoba63217:7011
    4Dep. Tachira60064:11-70


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sao Paulo642010:4614
    2Libertad Asuncion62316:519
    3Alianza Lima61237:11-45
    4Talleres Cordoba61145:8-34


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Club641114:31113
    2Fortaleza62228:538
    3Bucaramanga61326:10-46
    4Colo Colo61235:15-105


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Internacional632112:8411
    2Atl. Nacional63037:619
    3Bahia62135:7-27
    4Nacional62137:10-37


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Palmeiras660017:41318
    2Cerro Porteno62137:11-47
    3Bolivar620412:1116
    4Sporting Cristal61146:16-104


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield632111:4711
    2Penarol63219:4511
    3SA Bulo Bulo62045:15-106
    4Olimpia Asuncion61239:11-25

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    © Copyright 2025 | Powered by WordPress

    Impressum - Cookies Policy - Terms and Conditions - Privacy Policy