Result
1:0
28/05/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 6
- Referee: Ramirez M. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Africa | Sporty TV, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium |
Argentina | Disney+, FOX Sports 2 |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD |
Australia | beIN Sports 3 |
Belarus | Okko Sport |
Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
Chile | ESPN Premium |
Colombia | ESPN |
Croatia | MAXtv To Go |
Indonesia | Mola TV |
Israel | Sport 3 |
Italy | Como TV |
Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
New-zealand | beIN Connect |
Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
South-america | ESPN South |
Spain | LaLiga+ app |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.65 | 1.14 |
Ball Possession |
---|
38% | 62% |
Total shots |
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9 | 15 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 9 |
Passes |
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70% (218/312) | 83% (430/518) |
Yellow Cards |
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3 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.65 | 1.14 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.22 | 0.82 |
Total shots |
---|
9 | 15 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 3 |
Shots off target |
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3 | 8 |
Blocked Shots |
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2 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
5 | 8 |
Shots outside the Box |
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4 | 7 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
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1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 9 |
Touches in opposition box |
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20 | 24 |
Accurate through passes |
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1 | 0 |
Offsides |
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4 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
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11 | 11 |
Passes |
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70% (218/312) | 83% (430/518) |
Long passes |
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24% (15/62) | 55% (30/55) |
Passes in final third |
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52% (43/82) | 70% (93/132) |
Crosses |
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20% (4/20) | 29% (4/14) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.09 | 1.05 |
Throw-ins |
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16 | 21 |
Fouls |
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11 | 11 |
Tackles |
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72% (18/25) | 67% (16/24) |
Duels won |
---|
57 | 64 |
Clearances |
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28 | 17 |
Interceptions |
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7 | 9 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.82 | 1.22 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.82 | 0.22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 3', Baez Corradi G. 🟨,
- 31', Calione P. 🟨,
- 43', Morales L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Arias J. J. 🟨,
- 66', Otero R. ↓, Mereles E. ↑,
- 67', Eduardo Vargas ↓, Petit G. ↑,
- 74', Morales L. ↓, Ancheta E. ↑,
- 77', Viveros K. 🟨,
- 77', Arce B. ↓, Sarmiento A. ↑,
- 82', Zapata J. ↓, Toscano Bassa K. D. ↑,
- 82', Hinestroza M. ↓, Morelos A. ↑,
- 88', 1 - 0, Oliva C. ⚽, Ancheta E. (A),
- 90', Boggio L. ↓, Arady B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Nacional Montevideo 37.6% | Draw 28.3% | Atlético Nacional 34.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nacional Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)Atlético Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Montevideo than the current prediction. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Nacional Montevideo - Atlético Nacional Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.52 ↑ (2.44) |
3.33 ↑ (3.29) |
2.76 ↓ (2.91) |
6% (5.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Nacional Montevideo - Atlético Nacional?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Nacional will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Atlético Nacional will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Atlético Nacional is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
- Nacional is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Atlético Nacional has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Nacional may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Nacional: Mereles E.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Nacional: Coates S.
(Injury)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 1.2:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nacional won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 2:2.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Montevideo won against Atlético Nacional?
Nacional Montevideo has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Nacional won against Nacional Montevideo?
Atlético Nacional has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional Montevideo - Atlético Nacional were as follows:
02.04.2025
Atlético Nacional
-
Nacional Montevideo
3:0
Latest results of Nacional Montevideo
Latest results of Atlético Nacional
Copa Libertadores Table
Group StageGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Estudiantes L.P | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11:5 | 6 | 12 |
2 | Botafogo RJ | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 12 |
3 | U. De Chile | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 10 |
4 | Carabobo | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2:13 | -11 | 1 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | River Plate | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 13:7 | 6 | 12 |
2 | U. de Deportes | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 8 |
3 | Ind. del Valle | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:11 | -3 | 8 |
4 | Barcelona SC | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | LDU Quito | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 11 |
2 | Flamengo RJ | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 11 |
3 | Central Cordoba | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 11 |
4 | Dep. Tachira | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4:11 | -7 | 0 |
Group D | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Sao Paulo | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 14 |
2 | Libertad Asuncion | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 9 |
3 | Alianza Lima | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 5 |
4 | Talleres Cordoba | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:8 | -3 | 4 |
Group E | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Racing Club | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14:3 | 11 | 13 |
2 | Fortaleza | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 8 |
3 | Bucaramanga | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:10 | -4 | 6 |
4 | Colo Colo | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:15 | -10 | 5 |
Group F | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Internacional | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 11 |
2 | Atl. Nacional | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:6 | 1 | 9 |
3 | Bahia | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 7 |
4 | Nacional | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 7 |
Group G | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Palmeiras | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 17:4 | 13 | 18 |
2 | Cerro Porteno | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 7 |
3 | Bolivar | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12:11 | 1 | 6 |
4 | Sporting Cristal | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:16 | -10 | 4 |
Group H | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Velez Sarsfield | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:4 | 7 | 11 |
2 | Penarol | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 11 |
3 | SA Bulo Bulo | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:15 | -10 | 6 |
4 | Olimpia Asuncion | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)