Result
1:0
01/05/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 37
- Referee: La Penna F. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 4 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 4 |
 Slovakia | Sport TV2 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.62 | 0.21 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (211/302) | 77% (322/419) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.62 | 0.21 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.82 | 0.68 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 1 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 33 | 4 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 22 | 21 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (211/302) | 77% (322/419) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (20/51) | 37% (27/73) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (58/107) | 71% (74/104) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (8/21) | 14% (2/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 0.25 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 21 | 22 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (7/12) | 56% (9/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 68 | 62 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.68 | 3.82 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.68 | 2.82 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Biasci T. ↓, Russo R. ↑,
- 46', Haas N. 🟨,
- 54', Nasti M. ↓, Popov B. ↑,
- 57', Sounas D. 🟨,
- 58', 1 - 0, Lovato M. ⚽, Yepes G. (A),
- 65', Sounas D. ↓, Insigne R. ↑,
- 65', Cancellotti T. ↓, Missori F. ↑,
- 69', Ceesay J. ↓, Elia S. ↑,
- 69', Haas N. ↓, Degli Innocenti D. ↑,
- 72', Shpendi S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 73', Besaggio M. ↓, Pandolfi L. ↑,
- 77', Elia S. 🟨,
- 83', Patierno C. ↓, Le Borgne A. ↑,
- 83', Yepes G. 🟨,
- 84', Yepes G. ↓, Ghion A. ↑,
- 84', Shpendi S. ↓, Bianchi F. ↑,
- 90+7', Fontanarosa A. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Empoli
45.4% | Draw
29.2% | Avellino
25.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Empoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)Avellino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Empoli than the current prediction. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avellino than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
Empoli - Avellino Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.09 ↓
(2.19) |
3.21 ↑
(3.17) |
3.66 ↑
(3.33) |
6.2%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Empoli - Avellino?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Empoli will win (votes: 7 - 38.9%). Avellino will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 26.9% – 73.1%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DC - Avellino (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Avellino (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 3 - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Empoli is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Avellino has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Empoli will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Empoli: Pellegri P.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Avellino: Milani A.
(Inactive)
Reale F.
(Muscle Injury)
Simic L.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Empoli: Ghion A.
(Inactive)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Empoli won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Empoli won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Empoli won against Avellino?
Empoli has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Avellino won against Empoli?
Avellino has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Empoli - Avellino were as follows:
22.11.2025
Avellino
-
Empoli
0:3
Latest results of Avellino
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia ✔ | 37 | 23 | 10 | 4 | 75:31 | 44 | 79 |
| 2 | Frosinone | 37 | 22 | 12 | 3 | 71:34 | 37 | 78 |
| 3 | Monza | 37 | 22 | 9 | 6 | 59:30 | 29 | 75 |
| 4 | Palermo | 37 | 20 | 12 | 5 | 61:31 | 30 | 72 |
| 5 | Catanzaro ✔ | 37 | 15 | 14 | 8 | 60:48 | 12 | 59 |
| 6 | Modena ✔ | 37 | 15 | 10 | 12 | 49:35 | 14 | 55 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia ✔ | 37 | 11 | 17 | 9 | 43:44 | -1 | 50 |
| 8 | Avellino | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 42:55 | -13 | 46 |
| 9 | Cesena | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 42:52 | -10 | 46 |
| 10 | Mantova | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 45:52 | -7 | 46 |
| 11 | Carrarese | 37 | 10 | 14 | 13 | 46:50 | -4 | 44 |
| 12 | Sampdoria | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 35:47 | -12 | 44 |
| 13 | Padova | 37 | 11 | 10 | 16 | 35:46 | -11 | 43 |
| 14 | Empoli | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 45:52 | -7 | 40 |
| 15 | Sudtirol | 37 | 8 | 16 | 13 | 37:47 | -10 | 40 |
| 16 | Entella | 37 | 9 | 12 | 16 | 34:50 | -16 | 39 |
| 17 | Bari | 37 | 9 | 10 | 18 | 35:58 | -23 | 37 |
| 18 | Pescara | 37 | 7 | 13 | 17 | 50:65 | -15 | 34 |
| 19 | Spezia | 37 | 8 | 10 | 19 | 42:58 | -16 | 34 |
| 20 | Reggiana | 37 | 8 | 10 | 19 | 35:56 | -21 | 34 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Venezia is Qualified for Serie A
Catanzaro is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Modena is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Juve Stabia is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
