Avispa Fukuoka vs Kyoto Sanga – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

21/07/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Best Denki Stadium (Fukuoka).

J1 League - Round 24
Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Optus Sport
China	K-Ball
India	FanCode, FanCode
Japan	DAZN Japan

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.85	1.83
Ball Possession
58%	42%
Total shots
17	9
Shots on target
7	3
Big Chances
3	2
Corner Kicks
7	3
Passes
84% (307/367)	74% (204/276)
Yellow Cards
0	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.85	1.83
xG on target (xGOT)
2.02	1.50
Total shots
17	9
Shots on target
7	3
Shots off target
7	3
Blocked Shots
3	3
Shots inside the Box
13	6
Shots outside the Box
4	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
3	2
Corner Kicks
7	3
Touches in opposition box
28	22
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	1
Free Kicks
13	8
Passes
84% (307/367)	74% (204/276)
Long passes
63% (26/41)	36% (21/58)
Passes in final third
75% (99/132)	65% (62/96)
Crosses
35% (11/31)	25% (3/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.38	0.90
Throw-ins
20	16
Fouls
8	13
Tackles
77% (10/13)	88% (7/8)
Duels won
63	34
Clearances
21	33
Interceptions
0	9
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	5
xGOT faced
1.50	2.02
Goals prevented
0.50	0.02

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Leo Gomes 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Sugai H. ↓, Sato K. ↑,
46', Appiah Tawiah H. ↓, Miyamoto Y. ↑,
52', Fukuoka S. 🟨,
54', 0 - 1, Kamijima T. (Own goal),
55', Fujimoto K. ↓, Yuzawa M. ↑,
55', Usui S. ↓, Wellington ↑,
58', 0 - 2, Hara T. (Pen),
65', Nagasawa S. ↓, Rafael Elias ↑,
67', Akino H. ↓, Shigemi M. ↑,
67', Nara T. ↓, Hashimoto Y. ↑,
74', Leo Gomes ↓, Takeda S. ↑,
84', Nago S. ↓, Ben Khalifa N. ↑,
86', Hirato T. ↓, Patrick William ↑,
90+4', 1 - 2, Wellington ⚽, Shigemi M. (A),
90+6', 2 - 2, Shigemi M. ⚽,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Avispa Fukuoka
33.7%

Draw
30.4%

Kyoto Sanga
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

31.1%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2%

31.9%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avispa Fukuoka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Kyoto Sanga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kyoto Sanga than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Avispa Fukuoka - Kyoto Sanga Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↓ (2.85)	3.09 ↑ (3.04)	2.63 ↓ (2.66)	6.3% (5.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Avispa Fukuoka - Kyoto Sanga?

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Avispa Fukuoka will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%). Kyoto will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 25.5% – 74.5%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Avispa Fukuoka (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 5).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avispa Fukuoka won 3.
In recent matches, both teams have secured multiple victories.
Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Avispa Fukuoka: Ikeda J. (Knee Injury) Tashiro M. (Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Kyoto: Yonemoto T. (Injury)
There are questionable in Avispa Fukuoka: Shichi T. (Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Avispa Fukuoka won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:24. (average 1.2:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Avispa Fukuoka won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.3:1.1).

How many head-to-head matches has Avispa Fukuoka won against Kyoto Sanga?

Avispa Fukuoka has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Kyoto Sanga won against Avispa Fukuoka?

Kyoto Sanga has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Avispa Fukuoka - Kyoto Sanga were as follows:

09.03.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Avispa Fukuoka 0:1

07.07.2024 Avispa Fukuoka - Kyoto Sanga 1:2

11.05.2024 Kyoto Sanga - Avispa Fukuoka 2:3

26.08.2023 Kyoto Sanga - Avispa Fukuoka 2:0

09.04.2023 Avispa Fukuoka - Kyoto Sanga 2:1

Latest results of Avispa Fukuoka

16.07.2025 Avispa Fukuoka - Giravanz Kitakyushu 1:0 ✺

21.06.2025 Avispa Fukuoka - Albirex Niigata 3:2 ✺

15.06.2025 Fagiano Okayama - Avispa Fukuoka 0:1 ✺

11.06.2025 Avispa Fukuoka - Okinawa SV 2:0 ✺

08.06.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Avispa Fukuoka 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Kyoto Sanga

16.07.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Yokohama FC 4:3 ✺

05.07.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Albirex Niigata 2:1 ✺

21.06.2025 Kashiwa Reysol - Kyoto Sanga 3:3 ✺

11.06.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Nara Club 1:0 ✺

31.05.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Tokyo 3:0 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kashima Antlers	33	20	5	8	52:28	24	65
2	Kyoto	33	17	9	7	57:35	22	60
3	Kashiwa Reysol	33	16	12	5	48:33	15	60
4	Vissel Kobe	33	18	6	9	43:28	15	60
5	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	33	17	7	9	39:23	16	58
6	Machida	33	16	7	10	49:35	14	55
7	Kawasaki Frontale	33	14	11	8	60:45	15	53
8	Urawa Reds	33	14	10	9	40:32	8	52
9	Gamba Osaka	33	15	5	13	46:47	-1	50
10	Cerezo Osaka	33	11	10	12	50:49	1	43
11	Shimizu S-Pulse	33	10	11	12	35:39	-4	41
12	Okayama	33	11	8	14	29:35	-6	41
13	FC Tokyo	33	11	8	14	36:46	-10	41
14	Avispa Fukuoka	33	10	10	13	32:37	-5	40
15	Nagoya Grampus	33	10	9	14	40:48	-8	39
16	Verdy	33	10	9	14	21:35	-14	39
17	Yokohama F. Marinos	33	8	7	18	32:44	-12	31
18	Yokohama FC	33	8	7	18	21:37	-16	31
19	Shonan Bellmare	33	6	7	20	28:57	-29	25
20	Albirex Niigata	33	4	10	19	30:55	-25	22

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