Avispa Fukuoka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

27/09/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Best Denki Stadium (Fukuoka).

J1 League - Round 32
Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.72	2.57
Ball Possession
40%	60%
Total shots
20	17
Shots on target
8	5
Big Chances
1	4
Corner Kicks
4	6
Passes
82% (323/396)	84% (497/592)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.72	2.57
xG on target (xGOT)
2.14	1.46
Total shots
20	17
Shots on target
8	5
Shots off target
9	7
Blocked Shots
3	5
Shots inside the Box
14	13
Shots outside the Box
6	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
1	4
Corner Kicks
4	6
Touches in opposition box
27	32
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
2	1
Free Kicks
8	7
Passes
82% (323/396)	84% (497/592)
Long passes
50% (22/44)	36% (24/66)
Passes in final third
72% (70/97)	74% (133/179)
Crosses
33% (5/15)	30% (7/23)
Expected assists (xA)
1.19	1.49
Throw-ins
22	18
Fouls
7	8
Tackles
64% (7/11)	65% (13/20)
Duels won
48	49
Clearances
31	19
Interceptions
5	15
Errors leading to shot
3	1
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
3	6
xGOT faced
1.46	2.14
Goals prevented
-0.54	1.14

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Germain V. ⚽, Kato M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Arai N. ↓, Nakano S. ↑,
62', Germain V. ↓, Kinoshita K. ↑,
62', Maeda N. ↓, Shiotani T. ↑,
71', Yuzawa M. ↓, Iwasaki Y. ↑,
71', Ben Khalifa N. ↓, Zahedi S. ↑,
71', Suga D. ↓, Higashi S. ↑,
78', Kato M. ↓, Arslan T. ↑,
86', 0 - 2, Tanaka S. ⚽, Kinoshita K. (A),
88', Tashiro M. ↓, Sani Brown A. ↑,
90+2', 1 - 2, Sani Brown A. ⚽, Hashimoto Y. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning

Avispa Fukuoka
27.3%

Draw
28.5%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
44.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.5%

27.8%

48.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.6%

28%

48.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avispa Fukuoka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sanfrecce Hiroshima than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Avispa Fukuoka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.49 ↓ (4)	3.29 ↓ (3.39)	2.16 ↑ (1.93)	5.5% (6.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Avispa Fukuoka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Users Predictions: Sanfrecce Hiroshima will win (17 of 20 users predict this - 85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.35% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sanfrecce Hiroshima will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 6).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avispa Fukuoka won 1.
Avispa Fukuoka is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Hiroshima has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Avispa Fukuoka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Hiroshima is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Avispa Fukuoka: Wellington (Red Card)
There will not play in Hiroshima: Germain R. (Yellow Cards) Nakajima Y. (International duty)
There are questionable in Avispa Fukuoka: Ben Khalifa N. (Injury)
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Avispa Fukuoka won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 12:27. (average 0.8:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Avispa Fukuoka won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 0.9:1.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Avispa Fukuoka won against Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Avispa Fukuoka has won 1 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Sanfrecce Hiroshima won against Avispa Fukuoka?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima has won 6 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Avispa Fukuoka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima were as follows:

08.06.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Avispa Fukuoka 2:1

04.06.2025 Avispa Fukuoka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1:0

03.05.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Avispa Fukuoka 2:1

14.07.2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Avispa Fukuoka 1:0

13.04.2024 Avispa Fukuoka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1:1

Latest results of Avispa Fukuoka

23.09.2025 Tokyo - Avispa Fukuoka 1:0 ✺

20.09.2025 Yokohama F. Marinos - Avispa Fukuoka 2:0 ✺

13.09.2025 Avispa Fukuoka - Cerezo Osaka 2:4 ✺

31.08.2025 Kashiwa Reysol - Avispa Fukuoka 2:1 ✺

23.08.2025 Avispa Fukuoka - Shimizu S-Pulse 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Sanfrecce Hiroshima

23.09.2025 Kashiwa Reysol - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0:0 ✺

16.09.2025 Melbourne City - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0:2 ✺

12.09.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Kyoto Sanga 1:1 ✺

07.09.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Shonan Bellmare 4:1 ✺

03.09.2025 Shonan Bellmare - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3:2 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kashima Antlers	34	20	6	8	52:28	24	66
2	Kashiwa Reysol	34	17	12	5	53:33	20	63
3	Kyoto	34	17	10	7	58:36	22	61
4	Vissel Kobe	34	18	7	9	43:28	15	61
5	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	34	17	8	9	39:23	16	59
6	Kawasaki Frontale	34	15	11	8	65:48	17	56
7	Machida	34	16	8	10	49:35	14	56
8	Urawa Reds	34	14	10	10	40:36	4	52
9	Gamba Osaka	34	15	5	14	46:52	-6	50
10	Cerezo Osaka	34	12	10	12	52:50	2	46
11	FC Tokyo	34	11	9	14	36:46	-10	42
12	Verdy	34	11	9	14	22:35	-13	42
13	Avispa Fukuoka	34	10	11	13	32:37	-5	41
14	Shimizu S-Pulse	34	10	11	13	38:44	-6	41
15	Okayama	34	11	8	15	30:37	-7	41
16	Nagoya Grampus	34	10	10	14	42:50	-8	40
17	Yokohama F. Marinos	34	9	7	18	36:44	-8	34
18	Yokohama FC	34	8	8	18	23:39	-16	32
19	Shonan Bellmare	34	6	8	20	29:58	-29	26
20	Albirex Niigata	34	4	10	20	30:56	-26	22

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