Result
1:2
27/09/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 32
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.72 | 2.57 |
Ball Possession |
---|
40% | 60% |
Total shots |
---|
20 | 17 |
Shots on target |
---|
8 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 6 |
Passes |
---|
82% (323/396) | 84% (497/592) |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.72 | 2.57 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.14 | 1.46 |
Total shots |
---|
20 | 17 |
Shots on target |
---|
8 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
9 | 7 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 5 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
14 | 13 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 6 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
27 | 32 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
8 | 7 |
Passes |
---|
82% (323/396) | 84% (497/592) |
Long passes |
---|
50% (22/44) | 36% (24/66) |
Passes in final third |
---|
72% (70/97) | 74% (133/179) |
Crosses |
---|
33% (5/15) | 30% (7/23) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.19 | 1.49 |
Throw-ins |
---|
22 | 18 |
Fouls |
---|
7 | 8 |
Tackles |
---|
64% (7/11) | 65% (13/20) |
Duels won |
---|
48 | 49 |
Clearances |
---|
31 | 19 |
Interceptions |
---|
5 | 15 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
3 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 6 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.46 | 2.14 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.54 | 1.14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 17', 0 - 1, Germain V. ⚽, Kato M. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Arai N. ↓, Nakano S. ↑,
- 62', Germain V. ↓, Kinoshita K. ↑,
- 62', Maeda N. ↓, Shiotani T. ↑,
- 71', Yuzawa M. ↓, Iwasaki Y. ↑,
- 71', Ben Khalifa N. ↓, Zahedi S. ↑,
- 71', Suga D. ↓, Higashi S. ↑,
- 78', Kato M. ↓, Arslan T. ↑,
- 86', 0 - 2, Tanaka S. ⚽, Kinoshita K. (A),
- 88', Tashiro M. ↓, Sani Brown A. ↑,
- 90+2', 1 - 2, Sani Brown A. ⚽, Hashimoto Y. (A),
Chances of winning
Avispa Fukuoka 27.3% | Draw 28.5% | Sanfrecce Hiroshima 44.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Avispa Fukuoka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)Sanfrecce Hiroshima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sanfrecce Hiroshima than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
Avispa Fukuoka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.49 ↓ (4) |
3.29 ↓ (3.39) |
2.16 ↑ (1.93) |
5.5% (6.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Avispa Fukuoka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Users Predictions:
Sanfrecce Hiroshima will win
(17 of 20 users predict this - 85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.35% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sanfrecce Hiroshima will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avispa Fukuoka won 1.
- Avispa Fukuoka is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Hiroshima has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Avispa Fukuoka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Hiroshima is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Avispa Fukuoka: Wellington
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Hiroshima: Germain R.
(Yellow Cards)
Nakajima Y.
(International duty)
- There are questionable in Avispa Fukuoka: Ben Khalifa N.
(Injury)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Avispa Fukuoka won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 12:27. (average 0.8:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Avispa Fukuoka won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 0.9:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Avispa Fukuoka won against Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Avispa Fukuoka has won 1 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sanfrecce Hiroshima won against Avispa Fukuoka?
Sanfrecce Hiroshima has won 6 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Avispa Fukuoka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima were as follows:
08.06.2025
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
-
Avispa Fukuoka
2:1
04.06.2025
Avispa Fukuoka
-
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1:0
03.05.2025
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
-
Avispa Fukuoka
2:1
14.07.2024
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
-
Avispa Fukuoka
1:0
13.04.2024
Avispa Fukuoka
-
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1:1
Latest results of Avispa Fukuoka
Latest results of Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Kashima Antlers | 32 | 20 | 4 | 8 | 52:28 | 24 | 64 |
2 | Vissel Kobe | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 43:27 | 16 | 60 |
3 | Kyoto | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 54:33 | 21 | 56 |
4 | Kashiwa Reysol | 31 | 15 | 11 | 5 | 43:29 | 14 | 56 |
5 | Machida | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 48:33 | 15 | 55 |
6 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 37:22 | 15 | 55 |
7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 55:40 | 15 | 51 |
8 | Urawa Reds | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 39:32 | 7 | 49 |
9 | Gamba Osaka | 32 | 15 | 4 | 13 | 46:47 | -1 | 49 |
10 | Cerezo Osaka | 31 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 48:45 | 3 | 43 |
11 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 34:38 | -4 | 40 |
12 | Okayama | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 28:34 | -6 | 40 |
13 | FC Tokyo | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 33:42 | -9 | 40 |
14 | Avispa Fukuoka | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 31:37 | -6 | 37 |
15 | Nagoya Grampus | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 38:47 | -9 | 36 |
16 | Verdy | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 20:35 | -15 | 36 |
17 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 29:41 | -12 | 28 |
18 | Yokohama FC | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 20:36 | -16 | 28 |
19 | Shonan Bellmare | 31 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28:55 | -27 | 25 |
20 | Albirex Niigata | 32 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 29:54 | -25 | 21 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League