Result
1:2
27/09/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 32
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.72 | 2.57 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (323/396) | 84% (497/592) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.72 | 2.57 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.14 | 1.46 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 32 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (323/396) | 84% (497/592) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (22/44) | 36% (24/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (70/97) | 74% (133/179) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (5/15) | 30% (7/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 1.49 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 65% (13/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.46 | 2.14 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.54 | 1.14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 17', 0 - 1, Germain V. ⚽, Kato M. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Arai N. ↓, Nakano S. ↑,
- 62', Germain V. ↓, Kinoshita K. ↑,
- 62', Maeda N. ↓, Shiotani T. ↑,
- 71', Yuzawa M. ↓, Iwasaki Y. ↑,
- 71', Ben Khalifa N. ↓, Zahedi S. ↑,
- 71', Suga D. ↓, Higashi S. ↑,
- 78', Kato M. ↓, Arslan T. ↑,
- 86', 0 - 2, Tanaka S. ⚽, Kinoshita K. (A),
- 88', Tashiro M. ↓, Sani Brown A. ↑,
- 90+2', 1 - 2, Sani Brown A. ⚽, Hashimoto Y. (A),
Chances of winning
Avispa Fukuoka
27.3% | Draw
28.5% | Sanfrecce Hiroshima
44.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Avispa Fukuoka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)Sanfrecce Hiroshima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sanfrecce Hiroshima than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
Avispa Fukuoka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.49 ↓
(4) |
3.29 ↓
(3.39) |
2.16 ↑
(1.93) |
5.5%
(6.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Avispa Fukuoka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.5 - Hiroshima (2.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Hiroshima (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Sanfrecce Hiroshima will win
(17 of 20 users predict this - 85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.35% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sanfrecce Hiroshima will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Hiroshima (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avispa Fukuoka won 1.
- Avispa Fukuoka is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Hiroshima has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Avispa Fukuoka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Hiroshima is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Avispa Fukuoka: Wellington
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Hiroshima: Germain R.
(Yellow Cards)
Nakajima Y.
(International duty)
- There are questionable in Avispa Fukuoka: Ben Khalifa N.
(Injury)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Avispa Fukuoka won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 12:27. (average 0.8:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Avispa Fukuoka won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 0.9:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Avispa Fukuoka won against Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Avispa Fukuoka has won 1 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sanfrecce Hiroshima won against Avispa Fukuoka?
Sanfrecce Hiroshima has won 6 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Avispa Fukuoka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima were as follows:
08.06.2025
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
-
Avispa Fukuoka
2:1
04.06.2025
Avispa Fukuoka
-
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1:0
03.05.2025
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
-
Avispa Fukuoka
2:1
14.07.2024
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
-
Avispa Fukuoka
1:0
13.04.2024
Avispa Fukuoka
-
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1:1
Latest results of Avispa Fukuoka
Latest results of Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13:4 | 19 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13:7 | 15 |
| 3 | Machida | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11:11 | 12 |
| 4 | Urawa Reds | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10:8 | 11 |
| 5 | Verdy | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11:11 | 11 |
| 6 | Kawasaki Frontale | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12:8 | 10 |
| 7 | Mito | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9:14 | 8 |
| 8 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7:12 | 6 |
| 9 | Kashiwa Reysol | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9:13 | 5 |
| 10 | Chiba | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5:12 | 5 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Gamba Osaka | 7 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12:10 | 13 |
| 2 | Vissel Kobe | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11:6 | 12 |
| 3 | Kyoto | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10:8 | 12 |
| 4 | Nagoya Grampus | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11:10 | 12 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11:7 | 11 |
| 6 | Okayama | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9:10 | 11 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 7 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:9 | 10 |
| 8 | Cerezo Osaka | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7:7 | 9 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:15 | 3 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
