Result
0:1
05/04/2026 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 9
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Canal GOAT |
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | AbemaTV, DAZN Japan |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.78 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 75% | 25% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (591/673) | 64% (143/223) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.78 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 0.34 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (591/673) | 64% (143/223) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (24/45) | 23% (14/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (145/189) | 57% (70/122) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 34% (10/29) | 44% (4/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.61 | 0.63 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 27 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (3/6) | 50% (6/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 40 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.34 | 0.40 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.66 | -0.60 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 16', 0 - 1, Hashimoto Y. ⚽, Tsujioka Y. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Nakano S. ↓, Higashi S. ↑,
- 50', Usui S. 🟨,
- 57', Nakajima Y. ↓, Arslan T. ↑,
- 58', Kinoshita K. ↓, Kato M. ↑,
- 63', Shigemi M. ↓, Kitajima Y. ↑,
- 63', Shiihashi K. ↓, Okuno K. ↑,
- 63', Tashiro M. 🟨,
- 66', Suzuki A. ↓, Germain R. ↑,
- 71', Nago S. ↓, Fujimoto K. ↑,
- 71', Usui S. ↓, Michiwaki Y. ↑,
- 73', Arslan T. 🟨,
- 79', Tsujioka Y. ↓, Miya D. ↑,
- 82', Kawabe H. ↓, Maeda N. ↑,
- 90+3', Fujita K. 🟨,
- 90+4', Arai N. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
64.3% | Draw
22.4% | Avispa Fukuoka
13.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sanfrecce Hiroshima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)Avispa Fukuoka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sanfrecce Hiroshima than the current prediction. (-12.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sanfrecce Hiroshima that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Avispa Fukuoka Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.46 ↓
(1.52) |
4.19 ↑
(4.13) |
6.94 ↑
(6.31) |
6.9%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Avispa Fukuoka?
Users Predictions:
Sanfrecce Hiroshima will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 13th place) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 19th place)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hiroshima won 4.
- Recent performances by Hiroshima have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Avispa Fukuoka has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Avispa Fukuoka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Hiroshima is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Hiroshima: Germain R.
(Inactive)
Kim Ju-Sung
(International duty)
Osako K.
(International duty)
Suga D.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Hiroshima: Kim Ju-Sung
(Injury)
Shiotani T.
(Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Hiroshima won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 29:13. (average 1.8:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hiroshima won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 14:6. (average 1.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Sanfrecce Hiroshima won against Avispa Fukuoka?
Sanfrecce Hiroshima has won 7 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Avispa Fukuoka won against Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Avispa Fukuoka has won 1 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Avispa Fukuoka were as follows:
27.09.2025
Avispa Fukuoka
-
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1:2
08.06.2025
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
-
Avispa Fukuoka
2:1
04.06.2025
Avispa Fukuoka
-
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1:0
03.05.2025
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
-
Avispa Fukuoka
2:1
14.07.2024
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
-
Avispa Fukuoka
1:0
Latest results of Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Latest results of Avispa Fukuoka
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 16:7 | 23 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 10 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 16:9 | 20 |
| 3 | Machida | 10 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 16:16 | 19 |
| 4 | Kawasaki Frontale | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 16:17 | 14 |
| 5 | Verdy | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14:14 | 13 |
| 6 | Kashiwa Reysol | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 15:13 | 11 |
| 7 | Urawa Reds | 9 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 13:13 | 11 |
| 8 | Mito | 9 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:18 | 10 |
| 9 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12:15 | 9 |
| 10 | Chiba | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9:16 | 8 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 10 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 20:10 | 22 |
| 2 | Gamba Osaka | 9 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 16:13 | 17 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 9 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 15:12 | 16 |
| 4 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 10 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 14:12 | 16 |
| 5 | Kyoto | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12:11 | 14 |
| 6 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10:14 | 12 |
| 7 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 13:13 | 11 |
| 8 | Cerezo Osaka | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:11 | 11 |
| 9 | Okayama | 9 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10:15 | 11 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9:17 | 8 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
