Avispa Fukuoka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
27/09/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 32
  • Where to Watch on TV:
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.722.57
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
2017
Shots on target
85
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
46
Passes
82% (323/396)84% (497/592)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.722.57
xG on target (xGOT)
2.141.46
Total shots
2017
Shots on target
85
Shots off target
97
Blocked Shots
35
Shots inside the Box
1413
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
46
Touches in opposition box
2732
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
87
Passes
82% (323/396)84% (497/592)
Long passes
50% (22/44)36% (24/66)
Passes in final third
72% (70/97)74% (133/179)
Crosses
33% (5/15)30% (7/23)
Expected assists (xA)
1.191.49
Throw-ins
2218
Fouls
78
Tackles
64% (7/11)65% (13/20)
Duels won
4849
Clearances
3119
Interceptions
515
Errors leading to shot
31
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
36
xGOT faced
1.462.14
Goals prevented
-0.541.14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 17', 0 - 1, Germain V. , Kato M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Arai N. , Nakano S. ,
  • 62', Germain V. , Kinoshita K. ,
  • 62', Maeda N. , Shiotani T. ,
  • 71', Yuzawa M. , Iwasaki Y. ,
  • 71', Ben Khalifa N. , Zahedi S. ,
  • 71', Suga D. , Higashi S. ,
  • 78', Kato M. , Arslan T. ,
  • 86', 0 - 2, Tanaka S. , Kinoshita K. (A),
  • 88', Tashiro M. , Sani Brown A. ,
  • 90+2', 1 - 2, Sani Brown A. , Hashimoto Y. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Avispa Fukuoka
27.3%
Draw
28.5%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
44.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23.5% 27.8% 48.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.6% 28% 48.4%

Avispa Fukuoka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.49
(4)
3.29
(3.39)
2.16
(1.93)
5.5%
(6.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Avispa Fukuoka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.5 - Hiroshima (2.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Hiroshima (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Sanfrecce Hiroshima will win (17 of 20 users predict this - 85%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 69.35%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sanfrecce Hiroshima will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Hiroshima (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 6).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avispa Fukuoka won 1.
    • Avispa Fukuoka is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Hiroshima has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Avispa Fukuoka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Hiroshima is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Avispa Fukuoka: Wellington (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Hiroshima: Germain R. (Yellow Cards) Nakajima Y. (International duty)
    • There are questionable in Avispa Fukuoka: Ben Khalifa N. (Injury)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Avispa Fukuoka won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 12:27. (average 0.8:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Avispa Fukuoka won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 0.9:1.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Avispa Fukuoka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima were as follows:
    08.06.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Avispa Fukuoka 2:1
    04.06.2025 Avispa Fukuoka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1:0
    03.05.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Avispa Fukuoka 2:1
    14.07.2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Avispa Fukuoka 1:0
    13.04.2024 Avispa Fukuoka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1:1
    Latest results of Avispa Fukuoka
    Latest results of Sanfrecce Hiroshima
    Japan J1 League Table
    2026

    East
    PlWWLLPts
    1Mito000000:00
    2Verdy000000:00
    3Yokohama F. Marinos000000:00
    4Kawasaki Frontale000000:00
    5Kashiwa Reysol000000:00
    6Chiba000000:00
    7Urawa Reds000000:00
    8FC Tokyo000000:00
    9Kashima Antlers000000:00
    10Machida000000:00


    West
    PlWWLLPts
    1Avispa Fukuoka000000:00
    2Cerezo Osaka000000:00
    3Kyoto000000:00
    4Nagoya Grampus000000:00
    5Shimizu S-Pulse000000:00
    6Vissel Kobe000000:00
    7Sanfrecce Hiroshima000000:00
    8Gamba Osaka000000:00
    9Okayama000000:00
    10V-Varen Nagasaki000000:00

          Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)