Avispa Fukuoka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

27/09/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Best Denki Stadium (Fukuoka).

J1 League - Round 32
Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.72	2.57
Ball Possession
40%	60%
Total shots
20	17
Shots on target
8	5
Big Chances
1	4
Corner Kicks
4	6
Passes
82% (323/396)	84% (497/592)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.72	2.57
xG on target (xGOT)
2.14	1.46
Total shots
20	17
Shots on target
8	5
Shots off target
9	7
Blocked Shots
3	5
Shots inside the Box
14	13
Shots outside the Box
6	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
1	4
Corner Kicks
4	6
Touches in opposition box
27	32
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
2	1
Free Kicks
8	7
Passes
82% (323/396)	84% (497/592)
Long passes
50% (22/44)	36% (24/66)
Passes in final third
72% (70/97)	74% (133/179)
Crosses
33% (5/15)	30% (7/23)
Expected assists (xA)
1.19	1.49
Throw-ins
22	18
Fouls
7	8
Tackles
64% (7/11)	65% (13/20)
Duels won
48	49
Clearances
31	19
Interceptions
5	15
Errors leading to shot
3	1
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
3	6
xGOT faced
1.46	2.14
Goals prevented
-0.54	1.14

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Germain V. ⚽, Kato M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Arai N. ↓, Nakano S. ↑,
62', Germain V. ↓, Kinoshita K. ↑,
62', Maeda N. ↓, Shiotani T. ↑,
71', Yuzawa M. ↓, Iwasaki Y. ↑,
71', Ben Khalifa N. ↓, Zahedi S. ↑,
71', Suga D. ↓, Higashi S. ↑,
78', Kato M. ↓, Arslan T. ↑,
86', 0 - 2, Tanaka S. ⚽, Kinoshita K. (A),
88', Tashiro M. ↓, Sani Brown A. ↑,
90+2', 1 - 2, Sani Brown A. ⚽, Hashimoto Y. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning

Avispa Fukuoka
27.3%

Draw
28.5%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
44.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.5%

27.8%

48.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.6%

28%

48.4%

Avispa Fukuoka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.49 ↓ (4)	3.29 ↓ (3.39)	2.16 ↑ (1.93)	5.5% (6.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Avispa Fukuoka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Users Predictions: Sanfrecce Hiroshima will win (17 of 20 users predict this - 85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.35% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sanfrecce Hiroshima will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 6).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avispa Fukuoka won 1.
Avispa Fukuoka is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Hiroshima has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Avispa Fukuoka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Hiroshima is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Avispa Fukuoka: Wellington (Red Card)
There will not play in Hiroshima: Germain R. (Yellow Cards) Nakajima Y. (International duty)
There are questionable in Avispa Fukuoka: Ben Khalifa N. (Injury)
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Avispa Fukuoka won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 12:27. (average 0.8:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Avispa Fukuoka won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 0.9:1.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Avispa Fukuoka won against Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Avispa Fukuoka has won 1 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Sanfrecce Hiroshima won against Avispa Fukuoka?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima has won 6 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Avispa Fukuoka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima were as follows:

08.06.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Avispa Fukuoka 2:1

04.06.2025 Avispa Fukuoka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1:0

03.05.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Avispa Fukuoka 2:1

14.07.2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Avispa Fukuoka 1:0

13.04.2024 Avispa Fukuoka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1:1

Latest results of Avispa Fukuoka

23.09.2025 Tokyo - Avispa Fukuoka 1:0 ✺

20.09.2025 Yokohama F. Marinos - Avispa Fukuoka 2:0 ✺

13.09.2025 Avispa Fukuoka - Cerezo Osaka 2:4 ✺

31.08.2025 Kashiwa Reysol - Avispa Fukuoka 2:1 ✺

23.08.2025 Avispa Fukuoka - Shimizu S-Pulse 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Sanfrecce Hiroshima

23.09.2025 Kashiwa Reysol - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0:0 ✺

16.09.2025 Melbourne City - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0:2 ✺

12.09.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Kyoto Sanga 1:1 ✺

07.09.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Shonan Bellmare 4:1 ✺

03.09.2025 Shonan Bellmare - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3:2 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kashima Antlers	38	23	7	8	58:31	27	76
2	Kashiwa Reysol	38	21	12	5	60:34	26	75
3	Kyoto	38	19	11	8	62:40	22	68
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	38	20	8	10	46:28	18	68
5	Vissel Kobe	38	18	10	10	46:33	13	64
6	Machida	38	17	9	12	52:38	14	60
7	Urawa Reds	38	16	11	11	45:39	6	59
8	Kawasaki Frontale	38	15	12	11	67:57	10	57
9	Gamba Osaka	38	17	6	15	53:55	-2	57
10	Cerezo Osaka	38	14	10	14	60:57	3	52
11	FC Tokyo	38	13	11	14	41:48	-7	50
12	Avispa Fukuoka	38	12	12	14	34:38	-4	48
13	Okayama	38	12	9	17	34:43	-9	45
14	Shimizu S-Pulse	38	11	11	16	41:51	-10	44
15	Yokohama F. Marinos	38	12	7	19	46:47	-1	43
16	Nagoya Grampus	38	11	10	17	44:56	-12	43
17	Verdy	38	11	10	17	23:41	-18	43
18	Yokohama FC	38	9	8	21	27:45	-18	35
19	Shonan Bellmare	38	8	8	22	36:63	-27	32
20	Albirex Niigata	38	4	12	22	36:67	-31	24

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