Avispa Fukuoka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J1 League Avispa Fukuoka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Result
1:2
27/09/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 32
  • Where to Watch on TV:
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.722.57
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
2017
Shots on target
85
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
46
Passes
82% (323/396)84% (497/592)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.722.57
xG on target (xGOT)
2.141.46
Total shots
2017
Shots on target
85
Shots off target
97
Blocked Shots
35
Shots inside the Box
1413
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
46
Touches in opposition box
2732
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
87
Passes
82% (323/396)84% (497/592)
Long passes
50% (22/44)36% (24/66)
Passes in final third
72% (70/97)74% (133/179)
Crosses
33% (5/15)30% (7/23)
Expected assists (xA)
1.191.49
Throw-ins
2218
Fouls
78
Tackles
64% (7/11)65% (13/20)
Duels won
4849
Clearances
3119
Interceptions
515
Errors leading to shot
31
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
36
xGOT faced
1.462.14
Goals prevented
-0.541.14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 17', 0 - 1, Germain V. , Kato M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Arai N. , Nakano S. ,
  • 62', Germain V. , Kinoshita K. ,
  • 62', Maeda N. , Shiotani T. ,
  • 71', Yuzawa M. , Iwasaki Y. ,
  • 71', Ben Khalifa N. , Zahedi S. ,
  • 71', Suga D. , Higashi S. ,
  • 78', Kato M. , Arslan T. ,
  • 86', 0 - 2, Tanaka S. , Kinoshita K. (A),
  • 88', Tashiro M. , Sani Brown A. ,
  • 90+2', 1 - 2, Sani Brown A. , Hashimoto Y. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Avispa Fukuoka
27.3%
Draw
28.5%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
44.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23.5% 27.8% 48.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.6% 28% 48.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Avispa Fukuoka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sanfrecce Hiroshima than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
  • Avispa Fukuoka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.49
    (4)
    3.29
    (3.39)
    2.16
    (1.93)
    5.5%
    (6.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Avispa Fukuoka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
  • Users Predictions: Sanfrecce Hiroshima will win (17 of 20 users predict this - 85%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 69.35%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sanfrecce Hiroshima will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 6).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avispa Fukuoka won 1.
    • Avispa Fukuoka is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Hiroshima has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Avispa Fukuoka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Hiroshima is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Avispa Fukuoka: Wellington (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Hiroshima: Germain R. (Yellow Cards) Nakajima Y. (International duty)
    • There are questionable in Avispa Fukuoka: Ben Khalifa N. (Injury)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Avispa Fukuoka won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 12:27. (average 0.8:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Avispa Fukuoka won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 0.9:1.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Avispa Fukuoka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima were as follows:
    08.06.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Avispa Fukuoka 2:1
    04.06.2025 Avispa Fukuoka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1:0
    03.05.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Avispa Fukuoka 2:1
    14.07.2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Avispa Fukuoka 1:0
    13.04.2024 Avispa Fukuoka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1:1
    Latest results of Avispa Fukuoka
    Latest results of Sanfrecce Hiroshima
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers32204852:282464
    2Vissel Kobe32186843:271660
    3Kyoto31168754:332156
    4Kashiwa Reysol311511543:291456
    5Machida32167948:331555
    6Sanfrecce Hiroshima32167937:221555
    7Kawasaki Frontale31149855:401551
    8Urawa Reds321310939:32749
    9Gamba Osaka321541346:47-149
    10Cerezo Osaka3111101048:45343
    11Shimizu S-Pulse3210101234:38-440
    12Okayama321171428:34-640
    13FC Tokyo311171333:42-940
    14Avispa Fukuoka329101331:37-637
    15Nagoya Grampus32991438:47-936
    16Verdy32991420:35-1536
    17Yokohama F. Marinos31771729:41-1228
    18Yokohama FC31771720:36-1628
    19Shonan Bellmare31671828:55-2725
    20Albirex Niigata32491929:54-2521

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