Result
3:1
20/04/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 11
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Optus Sport |
 China | QQ Sports |
 Hong-kong | myTV SUPER |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 1.60 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (181/269) | 76% (327/428) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 1.60 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 1.11 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 25 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (181/269) | 76% (327/428) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 22% (14/65) | 40% (27/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 48% (38/80) | 59% (82/139) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (2/5) | 22% (5/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.86 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 54% (7/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 52 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 40 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.11 | 1.67 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.11 | -1.33 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 3', 1 - 0, Matsuzaki K. ⚽, Capixaba (A),
- 9', 1 - 1, Miki T. (Pen),
- 17', Kitagawa K. 🟨,
- 38', Maejima Y. 🟨,
- 39', Matheus Bueno 🟨,
- 45+2', 2 - 1, Matheus Bueno ⚽, Matsuzaki K. (A),
- 45+5', 3 - 1, Matsuzaki K. ⚽, Kitazume K. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 55', Maejima Y. ↓, Iwasaki Y. ↑,
- 61', Zahedi S. ↓, Wellington ↑,
- 61', Fujimoto K. ↓, Hashimoto Y. ↑,
- 68', Matsuzaki K. ↓, Nakahara H. ↑,
- 68', Capixaba ↓, Nishihara M. ↑,
- 79', Nago S. ↓, Shigemi M. ↑,
- 79', Konno K. ↓, Kamijima T. ↑,
- 81', Kitagawa K. ↓, Haneda K. ↑,
- 82', Oki Y. 🟨,
- 88', Yoshida Y. ↓, Yamahara R. ↑,
- 88', Inui T. ↓, Douglas Tanque ↑,
Chances of winning
Shimizu S-Pulse
35% | Draw
31.2% | Avispa Fukuoka
33.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shimizu S-Pulse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)Avispa Fukuoka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Avispa Fukuoka might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shimizu S-Pulse than the current prediction. (-5.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shimizu S-Pulse that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (+8.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Avispa Fukuoka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Shimizu S-Pulse - Avispa Fukuoka Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.66 ↓
(3.12) |
2.99 ↓
(3.26) |
2.77 ↑
(2.29) |
7.3%
(6.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Shimizu S-Pulse - Avispa Fukuoka?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Shimizu will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Avispa Fukuoka will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 12% – 65%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Shimizu (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
- Shimizu is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Avispa Fukuoka is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Shimizu could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Recently Shimizu have a series of guest games.
- In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
- There will not play in Shimizu: Saito S.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Avispa Fukuoka: Hisashi J.
(Knee Injury)
Ikeda J.
(Knee Injury)
Oda I.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Shimizu: Yamahara R.
(Injury)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Shimizu won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10:7 (average 2:1.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams Shimizu won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:3 (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Shimizu S-Pulse won against Avispa Fukuoka?
Shimizu S-Pulse has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Avispa Fukuoka won against Shimizu S-Pulse?
Avispa Fukuoka has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Shimizu S-Pulse - Avispa Fukuoka were as follows:
17.09.2022
Avispa Fukuoka
-
Shimizu S-Pulse
3:2
Latest results of Shimizu S-Pulse
Latest results of Avispa Fukuoka
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 34:22 | 12 | 46 |
| 2 | Kashima Antlers | 24 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 36:24 | 12 | 44 |
| 3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 33:23 | 10 | 44 |
| 4 | Kyoto | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 40:29 | 11 | 42 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 29:18 | 11 | 42 |
| 6 | Machida | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 34:25 | 9 | 40 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 38:26 | 12 | 38 |
| 8 | Urawa Reds | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 32:24 | 8 | 37 |
| 9 | Cerezo Osaka | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 37:33 | 4 | 34 |
| 10 | Gamba Osaka | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 29:31 | -2 | 34 |
| 11 | Avispa Fukuoka | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 21:23 | -2 | 31 |
| 12 | Okayama | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 20:22 | -2 | 30 |
| 13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29:32 | -3 | 30 |
| 14 | FC Tokyo | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 27:34 | -7 | 29 |
| 15 | Nagoya Grampus | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 28:33 | -5 | 28 |
| 16 | Verdy | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 15:24 | -9 | 28 |
| 17 | Shonan Bellmare | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 20:37 | -17 | 24 |
| 18 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 23:32 | -9 | 21 |
| 19 | Yokohama FC | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 14:30 | -16 | 19 |
| 20 | Albirex Niigata | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 24:41 | -17 | 19 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League
