Result
1:2 penalties
18/03/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 7
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 0.71 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (301/407) | 71% (253/354) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 0.71 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 0.44 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (301/407) | 71% (253/354) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (31/73) | 29% (19/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (107/174) | 50% (67/134) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (5/18) | 24% (5/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 0.79 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 31 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 92% (12/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 45 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.44 | 1.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.56 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 14', Kozuka K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Sato S. ↓, Maeda K. ↑,
- 55', Kozuka K. ↓, Matsuzaki K. ↑,
- 58', Kitajima Y. ↓, Nago S. ↑,
- 58', Ben Khalifa N. ↓, Sani Brown A. ↑,
- 59', 0 - 1, Kitazume K. ⚽, Kitagawa K. (A),
- 67', Sani Brown A. 🟨,
- 71', Shigemi M. ↓, Fujimoto K. ↑,
- 73', Kitazume K. ↓, Takagi S. ↑,
- 80', Maejima Y. ↓, Zahedi S. ↑,
- 86', 1 - 1, Zahedi S. ⚽, Nago S. (A),
- 86', Honda Y. ↓, Ohata R. ↑,
- 86', Kitagawa K. ↓, Chiba K. ↑,
- 86', Oh Se-Hun ↓, Takahashi T. ↑,
- 90+7', Nara T. 🟨,
- Penalties (4 - 5)
- 1, Uno Z. (Penalty Awarded),
- 1, Nago S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Matheus Bueno (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Hashimoto Y. (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Chiba K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Miki T. (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Capixaba (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Maeda K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 5, Takahashi T. (Penalty Awarded),
- 5, Zahedi S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 6, Takagi S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 6, Tsujioka Y. (Penalty Awarded),
- 7, Matsuzaki K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 7, Fujimoto K. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Avispa Fukuoka
32.5% | Draw
28.7% | Shimizu S-Pulse
38.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Avispa Fukuoka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Avispa Fukuoka's form might have worsened.Shimizu S-Pulse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shimizu S-Pulse's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (+5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shimizu S-Pulse than the current prediction. (-6.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shimizu S-Pulse, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Avispa Fukuoka - Shimizu S-Pulse Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.87 ↑
(2.42) |
3.27 ↑
(3.16) |
2.44 ↓
(3.05) |
6.4%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Avispa Fukuoka - Shimizu S-Pulse?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Avispa Fukuoka will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Shimizu will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Avispa Fukuoka: 11.9% – 76.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Avispa Fukuoka (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Shimizu (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Avispa Fukuoka (votes: 1 - 50%). Shimizu (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 19th place) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 17th place)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avispa Fukuoka won 1.
- Avispa Fukuoka is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Shimizu's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Avispa Fukuoka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Shimizu: Takahashi Y.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Shimizu: Park Seung-Wook
(Injury)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Avispa Fukuoka won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 1.1:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Avispa Fukuoka won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Avispa Fukuoka won against Shimizu S-Pulse?
Avispa Fukuoka has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shimizu S-Pulse won against Avispa Fukuoka?
Shimizu S-Pulse has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Avispa Fukuoka - Shimizu S-Pulse were as follows:
23.08.2025
Avispa Fukuoka
-
Shimizu S-Pulse
0:0
20.04.2025
Shimizu S-Pulse
-
Avispa Fukuoka
3:1
17.09.2022
Avispa Fukuoka
-
Shimizu S-Pulse
3:2
Latest results of Avispa Fukuoka
Latest results of Shimizu S-Pulse
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15:5 | 22 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13:8 | 16 |
| 3 | Machida | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13:12 | 15 |
| 4 | Verdy | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12:11 | 13 |
| 5 | Urawa Reds | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 11:10 | 11 |
| 6 | Kawasaki Frontale | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 7 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12:12 | 9 |
| 8 | Kashiwa Reysol | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 12:13 | 8 |
| 9 | Mito | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 10 | Chiba | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6:14 | 5 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kyoto | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12:9 | 14 |
| 2 | Gamba Osaka | 8 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 3 | Vissel Kobe | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 12:8 | 13 |
| 4 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 8 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 11:10 | 13 |
| 5 | Nagoya Grampus | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12:12 | 13 |
| 6 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 7 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12:10 | 11 |
| 8 | Cerezo Osaka | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 9 | Okayama | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9:11 | 11 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8:17 | 5 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
