Result
0:0
23/08/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 27
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Brazil | Canal GOAT |
China | K-Ball |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.78 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (390/452) | 79% (263/331) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.78 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 0.25 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (390/452) | 79% (263/331) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (21/40) | 20% (10/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (114/148) | 65% (60/93) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (8/24) | 11% (3/27) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (10/13) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.25 | 0.66 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.25 | 0.66 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 55', Kim Min-Tae 🟨,
- 59', Matsuoka D. 🟨,
- 60', Matsuzaki K. ↓, Kitagawa K. ↑,
- 61', Shimamoto Y. ↓, Yajima S. ↑,
- 61', Capixaba ↓, Inui T. ↑,
- 61', Ben Khalifa N. ↓, Zahedi S. ↑,
- 61', Iwasaki Y. ↓, Hashimoto Y. ↑,
- 76', Brunetti M. 🟨,
- 76', Miki T. ↓, Shigemi M. ↑,
- 76', Fujimoto K. ↓, Yuzawa M. ↑,
- 82', Brunetti M. 🟨,
- 84', Takahashi T. ↓, Sumiyoshi J. ↑,
- 85', Matsuoka D. ↓, Wellington ↑,
- 88', Yamahara R. ↓, Yoshida Y. ↑,
Chances of winning
Avispa Fukuoka 42.4% | Draw 29% | Shimizu S-Pulse 28.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Avispa Fukuoka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)Shimizu S-Pulse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shimizu S-Pulse than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Avispa Fukuoka - Shimizu S-Pulse Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.24 ↓ (2.37) |
3.26 ↑ (3.14) |
3.28 ↑ (3.11) |
5.9% (6.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Avispa Fukuoka - Shimizu S-Pulse?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Avispa Fukuoka will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Shimizu will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Avispa Fukuoka: 30.4% – 86.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Avispa Fukuoka (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avispa Fukuoka won 1.
- Avispa Fukuoka has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Shimizu is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Shimizu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Avispa Fukuoka has had a series of away games.
- Avispa Fukuoka might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Avispa Fukuoka: Hisashi J.
(Knee Injury)
Ikeda J.
(Knee Injury)
Oda I.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Shimizu: Takahashi Y.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Avispa Fukuoka won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 1.3:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Avispa Fukuoka won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Avispa Fukuoka won against Shimizu S-Pulse?
Avispa Fukuoka has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shimizu S-Pulse won against Avispa Fukuoka?
Shimizu S-Pulse has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Avispa Fukuoka - Shimizu S-Pulse were as follows:
20.04.2025
Shimizu S-Pulse
-
Avispa Fukuoka
3:1
17.09.2022
Avispa Fukuoka
-
Shimizu S-Pulse
3:2
Latest results of Avispa Fukuoka
Latest results of Shimizu S-Pulse
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 35 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 53:29 | 24 | 67 |
| 2 | Kashiwa Reysol | 35 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 55:33 | 22 | 66 |
| 3 | Kyoto | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 59:37 | 22 | 62 |
| 4 | Vissel Kobe | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 43:28 | 15 | 61 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 35 | 17 | 8 | 10 | 39:26 | 13 | 59 |
| 6 | Machida | 35 | 16 | 9 | 10 | 49:35 | 14 | 57 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 35 | 15 | 11 | 9 | 65:50 | 15 | 56 |
| 8 | Urawa Reds | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 40:36 | 4 | 53 |
| 9 | Gamba Osaka | 35 | 16 | 5 | 14 | 48:52 | -4 | 53 |
| 10 | Cerezo Osaka | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 54:50 | 4 | 49 |
| 11 | FC Tokyo | 35 | 12 | 9 | 14 | 39:47 | -8 | 45 |
| 12 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 35 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 39:44 | -5 | 44 |
| 13 | Verdy | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 22:36 | -14 | 42 |
| 14 | Avispa Fukuoka | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 32:37 | -5 | 41 |
| 15 | Okayama | 35 | 11 | 8 | 16 | 31:40 | -9 | 41 |
| 16 | Nagoya Grampus | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 42:52 | -10 | 40 |
| 17 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 39:44 | -5 | 37 |
| 18 | Yokohama FC | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 23:41 | -18 | 32 |
| 19 | Shonan Bellmare | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 29:58 | -29 | 26 |
| 20 | Albirex Niigata | 34 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 30:56 | -26 | 22 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League