Avispa Fukuoka vs Shonan Bellmare – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
26/10/2025 at 01:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 35
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.260.77
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
228
Shots on target
62
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
85
Passes
80% (329/412)75% (265/354)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
2.260.77
xG on target (xGOT)
1.360.15
Total shots
228
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
84
Blocked Shots
82
Shots inside the Box
165
Shots outside the Box
63
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
85
Touches in opposition box
3915
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1413
Passes
80% (329/412)75% (265/354)
Long passes
46% (18/39)38% (20/52)
Passes in final third
70% (104/149)62% (61/98)
Crosses
33% (6/18)13% (2/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.440.57
Throw-ins
2920
Fouls
1314
Tackles
65% (15/23)73% (16/22)
Duels won
5851
Clearances
2630
Interceptions
712
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
0.151.36
Goals prevented
0.150.36

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 39', Nakano S. 🟨,
  • 41', Nara T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Oda Y. , Nitta R. ,
  • 46', Hiraoka T. , Ishii H. ,
  • 59', Nago S. , Wellington ,
  • 59', Konno K. , Shigemi M. ,
  • 60', Okuno K. , Ze Ricardo ,
  • 76', Ze Ricardo 🟨,
  • 80', Fujimoto K. , Hashimoto Y. ,
  • 80', Ikeda J. , Kamijima T. ,
  • 85', Onose K. , Tamura S. ,
  • 90+1', Tachi K. , Oiwa K. ,
  • 90+3', 1 - 0, Miki T. (Pen),
  • 90+8', Usui S. , Yuzawa M. ,
  • 90+8', Matsuoka D. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Avispa Fukuoka
51.2%
Draw
27.6%
Shonan Bellmare
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.4% 27.6% 21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6% 26.1% 22.3%

Avispa Fukuoka - Shonan Bellmare Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.84
(1.84)
3.42
(3.43)
4.52
(4.49)
5.8%
(5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Avispa Fukuoka - Shonan Bellmare?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Avispa Fukuoka will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Avispa Fukuoka: 40%93.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Avispa Fukuoka (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Avispa Fukuoka (1.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 0.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.75 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.25 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 0.75 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Avispa Fukuoka (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 14 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avispa Fukuoka won 2.
    • Avispa Fukuoka is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Shonan Bellmare is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Avispa Fukuoka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Avispa Fukuoka is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Shonan Bellmare: Kamifukumoto N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Nagai T. (Calf Injury) Tamura S. (Broken ankle)
    • There are questionable in Avispa Fukuoka: Yuzawa M. (Injury)
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Avispa Fukuoka won 9 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 22:13. (average 1.2:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Avispa Fukuoka won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:6. (average 1.4:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Avispa Fukuoka - Shonan Bellmare were as follows:
    29.04.2025 Shonan Bellmare - Avispa Fukuoka 0:0
    07.08.2024 Shonan Bellmare - Avispa Fukuoka 1:1
    09.03.2024 Avispa Fukuoka - Shonan Bellmare 1:1
    30.08.2023 Avispa Fukuoka - Shonan Bellmare 3:1
    16.07.2023 Shonan Bellmare - Avispa Fukuoka 0:1
    Latest results of Avispa Fukuoka
    Latest results of Shonan Bellmare
    Japan J1 League Table
    2026

    East
    PlWWLLPts
    1Kawasaki Frontale110005:33
    2Verdy110003:13
    3Urawa Reds110002:03
    4Machida110003:23
    5FC Tokyo101002:12
    6Kashima Antlers100101:21
    7Yokohama F. Marinos100012:30
    8Kashiwa Reysol100013:50
    9Mito100011:30
    10Chiba100010:20


    West
    PlWWLLPts
    1Sanfrecce Hiroshima110003:13
    2Nagoya Grampus110001:03
    3Avispa Fukuoka101002:12
    4Vissel Kobe101002:12
    5Gamba Osaka101001:02
    6Kyoto100101:21
    7Okayama100101:21
    8Cerezo Osaka100100:11
    9Shimizu S-Pulse100010:10
    10V-Varen Nagasaki100011:30

          Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)