Shonan Bellmare vs Avispa Fukuoka – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

29/04/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Lemon Gas Stadium (Hiratsuka).

J1 League - Round 13
Where to Watch on TV:


China	QQ Sports
Japan	DAZN Japan

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.37	1.02
Ball Possession
50%	50%
Total shots
7	20
Shots on target
2	4
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
1	4
Passes
82% (383/467)	83% (385/465)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.37	1.02
xG on target (xGOT)
0.27	0.34
Total shots
7	20
Shots on target
2	4
Shots off target
2	12
Blocked Shots
3	4
Shots inside the Box
6	9
Shots outside the Box
1	11
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
1	4
Touches in opposition box
18	26
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	0
Free Kicks
9	6
Passes
82% (383/467)	83% (385/465)
Long passes
46% (26/57)	40% (23/58)
Passes in final third
70% (103/147)	78% (80/102)
Crosses
8% (1/13)	30% (6/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.37	0.60
Throw-ins
24	18
Fouls
6	9
Tackles
60% (6/10)	45% (5/11)
Duels won
46	40
Clearances
27	19
Interceptions
10	5
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	2
xGOT faced
0.34	0.27
Goals prevented
0.27	0.27

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Nemoto R. ↓, Suzuki A. ↑,
46', Ikeda M. ↓, Onose K. ↑,
62', Wellington ↓, Zahedi S. ↑,
62', Nago S. ↓, Konno K. ↑,
62', Oda Y. ↓, Fukuda S. ↑,
75', Akino H. ↓, Shigemi M. ↑,
75', Miki T. ↓, Sato S. ↑,
77', Okuno K. ↓, Barada A. ↑,
84', Fujii T. ↓, Suzuki Y. ↑,
89', Zahedi S. ↓, Kanamori T. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Shonan Bellmare
34.7%

Draw
31.6%

Avispa Fukuoka
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

30.4%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

31.3%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shonan Bellmare has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Avispa Fukuoka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shonan Bellmare than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (+1%)

Shonan Bellmare - Avispa Fukuoka Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↓ (2.78)	2.97 ↓ (3.08)	2.78 ↑ (2.63)	6.4% (6.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

What is the prediction for Shonan Bellmare - Avispa Fukuoka?

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Shonan Bellmare will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Avispa Fukuoka will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Avispa Fukuoka: 25.1% – 83.9%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Shonan Bellmare (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 12 and 5).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Shonan Bellmare won 0.
Recent matches Shonan Bellmare is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Avispa Fukuoka is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Shonan Bellmare could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
There will not play in Shonan Bellmare: Hiraoka T. (Hamstring Injury) Ishibashi S. (Ankle Injury) Matsumoto K. (Knee Injury) Nagai T. (Calf Injury) Tamura S. (Thigh Injury) Ze Ricardo (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Avispa Fukuoka: Hisashi J. (Knee Injury) Nara T. (Knee Injury) Oda I. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Avispa Fukuoka: Fujimoto K. (Injury)
Last 17 head-to-head matches Shonan Bellmare won 2 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 13:22 (average 0.8:1.3).
Including matches at home between the teams Shonan Bellmare won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7:9 (average 0.9:1.1).

How many head-to-head matches has Shonan Bellmare won against Avispa Fukuoka?

Shonan Bellmare has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Avispa Fukuoka won against Shonan Bellmare?

Avispa Fukuoka has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Shonan Bellmare - Avispa Fukuoka were as follows:

07.08.2024 Shonan Bellmare - Avispa Fukuoka 1:1

09.03.2024 Avispa Fukuoka - Shonan Bellmare 1:1

30.08.2023 Avispa Fukuoka - Shonan Bellmare 3:1

16.07.2023 Shonan Bellmare - Avispa Fukuoka 0:1

19.03.2023 Avispa Fukuoka - Shonan Bellmare 2:1

Latest results of Shonan Bellmare

25.04.2025 Machida Zelvia - Shonan Bellmare 0:1 ✺

20.04.2025 Shonan Bellmare - Kashiwa Reysol 0:1 ✺

12.04.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Shonan Bellmare 2:0 ✺

09.04.2025 V-Varen Nagasaki - Shonan Bellmare 1:2 ✺

06.04.2025 Shonan Bellmare - Nagoya Grampus 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Avispa Fukuoka

25.04.2025 Avispa Fukuoka - Fagiano Okayama 1:1 ✺

20.04.2025 Shimizu S-Pulse - Avispa Fukuoka 3:1 ✺

16.04.2025 Tochigi - Avispa Fukuoka 1:2 ✺

12.04.2025 Avispa Fukuoka - Yokohama F. Marinos 2:1 ✺

06.04.2025 Avispa Fukuoka - Urawa Red Diamonds 1:0 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	24	14	4	6	34:22	12	46
2	Kashima Antlers	24	14	2	8	36:24	12	44
3	Kashiwa Reysol	24	12	8	4	33:23	10	44
4	Kyoto	24	12	6	6	40:29	11	42
5	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	24	13	3	8	29:18	11	42
6	Machida	24	12	4	8	34:25	9	40
7	Kawasaki Frontale	24	10	8	6	38:26	12	38
8	Urawa Reds	23	10	7	6	32:24	8	37
9	Cerezo Osaka	24	9	7	8	37:33	4	34
10	Gamba Osaka	24	10	4	10	29:31	-2	34
11	Avispa Fukuoka	23	8	7	8	21:23	-2	31
12	Okayama	24	8	6	10	20:22	-2	30
13	Shimizu S-Pulse	24	8	6	10	29:32	-3	30
14	FC Tokyo	24	8	5	11	27:34	-7	29
15	Nagoya Grampus	24	7	7	10	28:33	-5	28
16	Verdy	24	7	7	10	15:24	-9	28
17	Shonan Bellmare	24	6	6	12	20:37	-17	24
18	Yokohama F. Marinos	24	5	6	13	23:32	-9	21
19	Yokohama FC	24	5	4	15	14:30	-16	19
20	Albirex Niigata	24	4	7	13	24:41	-17	19

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ J2 League