Nacional vs AVS – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Liga Portugal Nacional - AVS
Result
3:1
19/01/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal - Round 18
  • Referee: Carvalho H. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
portugalPortugalSport TV2
romaniaRomaniaAntenaPLAY
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 7

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.901.55
Ball Possession
49%51%
Goal Attempts
1713
Shots on Goal
73
Shots off Goal
69
Blocked Shots
41
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
46
Shots inside the Box
137
Shots outside the Box
46
Hit the Woodwork
31
Headed Goals
01
Goalkeeper Saves
24
Free Kicks
1412
Offsides
10
Fouls
1214
Yellow Cards
24
Throw-ins
2518
Touches in the Opposition Box
2417
Passes
78% (285/364)78% (283/362)
Passes in the final third
65% (55/84)62% (64/103)
Crosses
43% (6/14)29% (7/24)
Tackles
67% (12/18)50% (6/12)
Clearances Total
277
Interceptions
410

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 1)
  • 19', Roux B. 🟨,
  • 20', 1 - 0, Bruno Costa (Pen),
  • 34', 2 - 0, Dudu , Esteves L. (A),
  • 45+3', 2 - 1, Ribeiro R. , Lucas Piazon (A),
  • 45+6', 3 - 1, Soumare D. , Jose Gomes (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Roux B. , Tunde Akinsola ,
  • 46', Isaac , Joel ,
  • 46', Grau J. , Nene ,
  • 69', Dudu , Macedo R. ,
  • 69', Daniel Penha , Matheus Dias ,
  • 70', Soumare D. 🟨,
  • 75', Kiki , Rodrigues R. ,
  • 76', Lucas Piazon 🟨,
  • 79', Assuncao G. A. 🟨,
  • 84', Nene (Pen),
  • 86', Ze Vitor 🟨,
  • 87', Soumare D. , Leo Santos ,
  • 87', Esteves L. , Sousa A. ,
  • 88', Mercado J. , Ze Luis ,
  • 90+3', Mena Y. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Nacional
46%
Draw
28.7%
AVS
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.7% 30.2% 30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1% 30.5% 29.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nacional's performance.
  • AVS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nacional that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for AVS than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • Nacional - AVS Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.06
    (2.38)
    3.29
    (3.13)
    3.72
    (3.13)
    6%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Nacional - AVS?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Nacional will win (votes: 8 - 44.4%). AVS will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 38.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Nacional: 21.4%67.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 and 16 in the zone Liga Portugal (Relegation)).
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • AVS could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Nacional will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in AVS: Lucas Moura (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Nacional: Baeza M. (Muscle Injury) Macedo R. (Injury)
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Nacional won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:2 (average 1.3:0.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Nacional won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional - AVS were as follows:
    10.08.2024 AVS - Nacional 1:1
    06.04.2024 Nacional - AVS 2:1
    19.11.2023 AVS - Nacional 0:1
    Latest results of Nacional
    12.01.2025 Nacional - Porto 2:0
    29.12.2024 Rio Ave - Nacional 2:1
    19.12.2024 Nacional - Benfica 0:2
    14.12.2024 Nacional - Moreirense 1:0
    Latest results of AVS
    04.01.2025 Moreirense - AVS 1:1
    28.12.2024 AVS - Estrela da Amadora 1:1
    21.12.2024 Boavista - AVS 0:0
    15.12.2024 AVS - Benfica 1:1
    08.12.2024 Casa Pia - AVS 1:1
    Liga Portugal Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estrela00000:000
    2Vitoria Guimaraes00000:000
    3Estoril00000:000
    4Gil Vicente00000:000
    5Rio Ave00000:000
    6Santa Clara00000:000
    7Moreirense00000:000
    8FC Porto00000:000
    9Sporting CP00000:000
    10Benfica00000:000
    11Braga00000:000
    12Nacional00000:000
    13Arouca00000:000
    14Casa Pia00000:000
    15Tondela00000:000
    16Alverca00000:000
    17Famalicao00000:000
    18AFS00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
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          Liga Portugal (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2