Result
3:1
19/01/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal - Round 18
- Referee: Carvalho H. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Finland | Veikkaus TV |
Portugal | Sport TV2 |
Romania | AntenaPLAY |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 7 |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.90 | 1.55 |
Ball Possession |
---|
49% | 51% |
Goal Attempts |
---|
17 | 13 |
Shots on Goal |
---|
7 | 3 |
Shots off Goal |
---|
6 | 9 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 6 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
13 | 7 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
3 | 1 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 4 |
Free Kicks |
---|
14 | 12 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 0 |
Fouls |
---|
12 | 14 |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 4 |
Throw-ins |
---|
25 | 18 |
Touches in the Opposition Box |
---|
24 | 17 |
Passes |
---|
78% (285/364) | 78% (283/362) |
Passes in the final third |
---|
65% (55/84) | 62% (64/103) |
Crosses |
---|
43% (6/14) | 29% (7/24) |
Tackles |
---|
67% (12/18) | 50% (6/12) |
Clearances Total |
---|
27 | 7 |
Interceptions |
---|
4 | 10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 19', Roux B. 🟨,
- 20', 1 - 0, Bruno Costa (Pen),
- 34', 2 - 0, Dudu ⚽, Esteves L. (A),
- 45+3', 2 - 1, Ribeiro R. ⚽, Lucas Piazon (A),
- 45+6', 3 - 1, Soumare D. ⚽, Jose Gomes (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Roux B. ↓, Tunde Akinsola ↑,
- 46', Isaac ↓, Joel ↑,
- 46', Grau J. ↓, Nene ↑,
- 69', Dudu ↓, Macedo R. ↑,
- 69', Daniel Penha ↓, Matheus Dias ↑,
- 70', Soumare D. 🟨,
- 75', Kiki ↓, Rodrigues R. ↑,
- 76', Lucas Piazon 🟨,
- 79', Assuncao G. A. 🟨,
- 84', Nene (Pen),
- 86', Ze Vitor 🟨,
- 87', Soumare D. ↓, Leo Santos ↑,
- 87', Esteves L. ↓, Sousa A. ↑,
- 88', Mercado J. ↓, Ze Luis ↑,
- 90+3', Mena Y. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Nacional 46% | Draw 28.7% | AVS 25.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nacional's performance.AVS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional than the current prediction. (-5.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nacional that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for AVS than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
Nacional - AVS Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.06 ↓ (2.38) |
3.29 ↑ (3.13) |
3.72 ↑ (3.13) |
6% (6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Nacional - AVS?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Nacional will win (votes: 8 - 44.4%). AVS will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 38.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nacional: 21.4% – 67.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 and 16 in the zone Liga Portugal (Relegation)).
- Both teams are now playing unstable.
- AVS could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Nacional will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in AVS: Lucas Moura
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Nacional: Baeza M.
(Muscle Injury)
Macedo R.
(Injury)
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Nacional won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:2 (average 1.3:0.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams Nacional won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional won against AVS?
Nacional has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AVS won against Nacional?
AVS has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional - AVS were as follows:
10.08.2024
AVS
-
Nacional
1:1
06.04.2024
Nacional
-
AVS
2:1
19.11.2023
AVS
-
Nacional
0:1
Latest results of Nacional
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Estrela | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Estoril | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Gil Vicente | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Rio Ave | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Santa Clara | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Moreirense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | FC Porto | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Sporting CP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Benfica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Braga | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Nacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Arouca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Casa Pia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Tondela | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Alverca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Famalicao | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | AFS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2