Bahia vs Flamengo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A
Result
1:0
05/10/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 27
  • Referee: Pereira R. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball
ecuadorEcuadorEl Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
israelIsraelSport 4
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones
surinameSurinameSCCN
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.500.44
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
118
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
31
Passes
88% (423/480)89% (405/453)
Yellow Cards
34
Red Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
0.500.44
xG on target (xGOT)
0.690.37
Total shots
118
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
22
Blocked Shots
53
Shots inside the Box
44
Shots outside the Box
74
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
31
Touches in opposition box
1317
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1422
Passes
88% (423/480)89% (405/453)
Long passes
67% (32/48)61% (30/49)
Passes in final third
79% (130/164)78% (66/85)
Crosses
7% (1/15)0% (0/7)
Expected assists (xA)
0.360.54
Throw-ins
1712
Fouls
2214
Tackles
71% (15/21)68% (17/25)
Duels won
5557
Clearances
1523
Interceptions
610
Errors leading to shot
03
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
0.370.69
Goals prevented
0.37-0.31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 13', Danilo 🟥,
  • 16', Pedro ↓, Cleiton ↑,
  • 21', Willian Jose 🟨,
  • 21', de la Cruz N. 🟨,
  • 45', 1 - 0, Willian Jose ⚽,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', de la Cruz N. ↓, Luiz Araujo ↑,
  • 46', Samuel Lino ↓, Bruno Henrique ↑,
  • 46', Carrascal J. ↓, Plata G. ↑,
  • 57', Ademir ↓, Kayky ↑,
  • 57', Tiago ↓, Michel Araujo ↑,
  • 67', Willian Jose ↓, Cauly ↑,
  • 68', de Arrascaeta G. ↓, Wallace Yan ↑,
  • 72', Gilberto 🟨,
  • 75', Wallace Yan 🟨,
  • 78', Wallace Yan 🟨,
  • 87', Everton Ribeiro ↓, Kaue Junior ↑,
  • 89', Kayky 🟨,
  • 90+1', Jorginho 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Bahia
18.3%		Draw
26.5%		Flamengo
55.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
20.7% 27.4% 51.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.3% 26.9% 52.8%

Bahia - Flamengo Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 5.12 ↑
(4.5)		 3.59 ↑
(3.4)		 1.72 ↓
(1.8)		 5.6%
(7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Bahia - Flamengo?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Bahia will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Flamengo will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Flamengo: 45% – 100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Flamengo (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bahia won 0.
    • Recent form of Bahia has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Flamengo is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Flamengo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Flamengo is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Bahia: Arias S. (Yellow Cards) Caio Alexandre (Hamstring Injury) Erick (Hamstring Injury) Erick Pulga (Hamstring Injury) Gabriel Xavier (Yellow Cards) Joao Paulo (Knee Injury) Kanu (Muscle Injury) Luciano Juba (Yellow Cards) Rodrigo (Yellow Cards) Ruan Pablo (Inactive) Sanabria M. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Flamengo: Alex Sandro (Yellow Cards) Leo Pereira (Yellow Cards) Pulgar E. (Foot Injury)
    • There are questionable in Bahia: Luciano Juba (Injury) Ramos S. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Flamengo: Michael (Inactive)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bahia won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 18:42. (average 0.9:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bahia won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:18. (average 1.1:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bahia - Flamengo were as follows:
    10.05.2025 Flamengo - Bahia 1:0
    05.10.2024 Bahia - Flamengo 0:2
    12.09.2024 Flamengo - Bahia 1:0
    28.08.2024 Bahia - Flamengo 0:1
    20.06.2024 Flamengo - Bahia 2:1
    Latest results of Bahia
    01.10.2025 Botafogo RJ - Bahia 2:1 ✺
    28.09.2025 Bahia - Palmeiras 1:0 ✺
    24.09.2025 Vasco da Gama - Bahia 3:1 ✺
    20.09.2025 Ceará - Bahia 1:1 ✺
    15.09.2025 Bahia - Cruzeiro 1:2 ✺
    Latest results of Flamengo
    02.10.2025 Flamengo - Cruzeiro 0:0 ✺
    28.09.2025 Corinthians - Flamengo 1:2 ✺
    25.09.2025 Estudiantes La Plata - Flamengo 1:1 ✺
    21.09.2025 Flamengo - Vasco da Gama 1:1 ✺
    18.09.2025 Flamengo - Estudiantes La Plata 2:1 ✺
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bragantino00000:000
    2Internacional00000:000
    3Vasco00000:000
    4Gremio00000:000
    5Botafogo RJ00000:000
    6Santos00000:000
    7Sao Paulo00000:000
    8Coritiba00000:000
    9Cruzeiro00000:000
    10Vitoria00000:000
    11Atletico-MG00000:000
    12Fluminense00000:000
    13Flamengo RJ00000:000
    14Palmeiras00000:000
    15Athletico-PR00000:000
    16Bahia00000:000
    17Corinthians00000:000
    18Mirassol00000:000
    19Remo00000:000
    20Chapecoense-SC00000:000

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet

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