Result
1:0
05/10/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 27
- Referee: Pereira R. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Ecuador | El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Israel | Sport 4 |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1 |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones |
 Suriname | SCCN |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 0.44 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (423/480) | 89% (405/453) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 0.44 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 0.37 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 22 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (423/480) | 89% (405/453) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 67% (32/48) | 61% (30/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (130/164) | 78% (66/85) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 7% (1/15) | 0% (0/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.36 | 0.54 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 22 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (15/21) | 68% (17/25) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.37 | 0.69 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.37 | -0.31 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 13', Danilo 🟥,
- 16', Pedro ↓, Cleiton ↑,
- 21', Willian Jose 🟨,
- 21', de la Cruz N. 🟨,
- 45', 1 - 0, Willian Jose ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', de la Cruz N. ↓, Luiz Araujo ↑,
- 46', Samuel Lino ↓, Bruno Henrique ↑,
- 46', Carrascal J. ↓, Plata G. ↑,
- 57', Ademir ↓, Kayky ↑,
- 57', Tiago ↓, Michel Araujo ↑,
- 67', Willian Jose ↓, Cauly ↑,
- 68', de Arrascaeta G. ↓, Wallace Yan ↑,
- 72', Gilberto 🟨,
- 75', Wallace Yan 🟨,
- 78', Wallace Yan 🟨,
- 87', Everton Ribeiro ↓, Kaue Junior ↑,
- 89', Kayky 🟨,
- 90+1', Jorginho 🟨,
Chances of winning
Bahia
18.3% | Draw
26.5% | Flamengo
55.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bahia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (+2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Bahia - Flamengo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.12 ↑
(4.5) |
3.59 ↑
(3.4) |
1.72 ↓
(1.8) |
5.6%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Bahia - Flamengo?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Bahia will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Flamengo will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Flamengo: 45% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Flamengo (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.75 - Flamengo (1.89) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Flamengo (votes: 4 - 80%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bahia won 0.
- Recent form of Bahia has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Flamengo is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Flamengo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Flamengo is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Bahia: Arias S.
(Yellow Cards)
Caio Alexandre
(Hamstring Injury)
Erick
(Hamstring Injury)
Erick Pulga
(Hamstring Injury)
Gabriel Xavier
(Yellow Cards)
Joao Paulo
(Knee Injury)
Kanu
(Muscle Injury)
Luciano Juba
(Yellow Cards)
Rodrigo
(Yellow Cards)
Ruan Pablo
(Inactive)
Sanabria M.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Flamengo: Alex Sandro
(Yellow Cards)
Leo Pereira
(Yellow Cards)
Pulgar E.
(Foot Injury)
- There are questionable in Bahia: Luciano Juba
(Injury)
Ramos S.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Flamengo: Michael
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bahia won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 18:42. (average 0.9:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bahia won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:18. (average 1.1:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Bahia won against Flamengo?
Bahia has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Flamengo won against Bahia?
Flamengo has won 7 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bahia - Flamengo were as follows:
10.05.2025
Flamengo
-
Bahia
1:0
05.10.2024
Bahia
-
Flamengo
0:2
12.09.2024
Flamengo
-
Bahia
1:0
28.08.2024
Bahia
-
Flamengo
0:1
20.06.2024
Flamengo
-
Bahia
2:1
Latest results of Flamengo
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sao Paulo | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 10 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 7 |
| 3 | Corinthians | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Bahia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
| 6 | Athletico-PR | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 7 |
| 7 | Bragantino | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 7 |
| 8 | Chapecoense-SC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8:6 | 2 | 5 |
| 9 | Mirassol | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:5 | 1 | 5 |
| 10 | Flamengo RJ | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | Coritiba | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 4 |
| 12 | Botafogo RJ | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 3 |
| 13 | Gremio | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 3 |
| 14 | Vitoria | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 |
| 15 | Remo | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6:8 | -2 | 3 |
| 16 | Atletico-MG | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 2 |
| 17 | Internacional | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 2 |
| 18 | Cruzeiro | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:9 | -5 | 2 |
| 19 | Vasco | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 |
| 20 | Santos | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
