Result
1:0
10/05/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 8
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.62 | 0.47 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (488/543) | 85% (295/349) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.62 | 0.47 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.30 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (488/543) | 85% (295/349) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 61% (27/44) | 41% (14/34) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 83% (124/150) | 77% (56/73) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (5/26) | 43% (3/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 0.76 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (14/18) | 47% (8/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.30 | 0.59 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.30 | -0.41 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 8', 1 - 0, de Arrascaeta G. ⚽, Michael (A),
- 15', Allan ↓, Luiz Araujo ↑,
- 39', Pulgar E. ↓, Evertton Araujo ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 62', Kayky ↓, Everton Ribeiro ↑,
- 62', Jean Lucas ↓, Cauly ↑,
- 62', Luciano Juba ↓, Erick Pulga ↑,
- 80', Bruno Henrique ↓, Everton ↑,
- 81', de Arrascaeta G. ↓, Pedro ↑,
- 81', Michael ↓, Wallace Yan ↑,
- 81', Rodriguez L. ↓, Willian Jose ↑,
- 81', Rodrigo ↓, Tiago ↑,
- 87', Gerson 🟥,
- 90+4', Ramos S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Flamengo
67% | Draw
21% | Bahia
12% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Flamengo's performance.Bahia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bahia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (-8.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Flamengo that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
Flamengo - Bahia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.41 ↓
(1.67) |
4.52 ↑
(3.6) |
7.91 ↑
(5.44) |
5.6%
(6.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Flamengo - Bahia?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Flamengo will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Bahia will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Flamengo: 54% – 99.8%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Flamengo won 5.
- Flamengo has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Bahia is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Recently, Flamengo has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Flamengo is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Flamengo: Everton
(Calf Injury)
Vina M.
(Knee Injury)
de la Cruz N.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Bahia: Arias S.
(Muscle Injury)
Caio Alexandre
(Yellow Cards)
Erick
(Yellow Cards)
Kanu
(Muscle Injury)
Ronaldo Strada
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Flamengo: Plata G.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Bahia: Gilberto
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Flamengo won 15 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 41:21. (average 2.1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Flamengo won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 23:8. (average 2.3:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Flamengo won against Bahia?
Flamengo has won 6 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bahia won against Flamengo?
Bahia has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Flamengo - Bahia were as follows:
05.10.2024
Bahia
-
Flamengo
0:2
12.09.2024
Flamengo
-
Bahia
1:0
28.08.2024
Bahia
-
Flamengo
0:1
20.06.2024
Flamengo
-
Bahia
2:1
30.09.2023
Flamengo
-
Bahia
1:0
Latest results of Flamengo
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 33:8 | 25 | 40 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 31:13 | 18 | 37 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 23:15 | 8 | 36 |
| 4 | Bahia | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 23:16 | 7 | 30 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 23:10 | 13 | 29 |
| 6 | Mirassol | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 28:18 | 10 | 28 |
| 7 | Sao Paulo | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 22:20 | 2 | 28 |
| 8 | Bragantino | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 22:25 | -3 | 27 |
| 9 | Fluminense | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 21:23 | -2 | 24 |
| 10 | Atletico-MG | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 19:18 | 1 | 24 |
| 11 | Internacional | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 21:23 | -2 | 24 |
| 12 | Ceara | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 18:19 | -1 | 22 |
| 13 | Corinthians | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 18:23 | -5 | 22 |
| 14 | Santos | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 20:23 | -3 | 21 |
| 15 | Gremio | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 16:24 | -8 | 20 |
| 16 | Vitoria | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 16:22 | -6 | 18 |
| 17 | Vasco | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 19:24 | -5 | 16 |
| 18 | Fortaleza | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 18:29 | -11 | 15 |
| 19 | Juventude | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 13:36 | -23 | 14 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 10:25 | -15 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
