Flamengo vs Bahia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A Flamengo - Bahia
Result
1:0
10/05/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 8
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.620.47
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
146
Shots on target
52
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
82
Passes
90% (488/543)85% (295/349)
Yellow Cards
01
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.620.47
xG on target (xGOT)
0.590.30
Total shots
146
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
60
Shots inside the Box
134
Shots outside the Box
12
Hit the Woodwork
20
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
82
Touches in opposition box
2712
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
911
Passes
90% (488/543)85% (295/349)
Long passes
61% (27/44)41% (14/34)
Passes in final third
83% (124/150)77% (56/73)
Crosses
19% (5/26)43% (3/7)
Expected assists (xA)
0.980.76
Throw-ins
1914
Fouls
119
Tackles
78% (14/18)47% (8/17)
Duels won
4442
Clearances
1224
Interceptions
54
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
0.300.59
Goals prevented
0.30-0.41

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 8', 1 - 0, de Arrascaeta G. , Michael (A),
  • 15', Allan , Luiz Araujo ,
  • 39', Pulgar E. , Evertton Araujo ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 62', Kayky , Everton Ribeiro ,
  • 62', Jean Lucas , Cauly ,
  • 62', Luciano Juba , Erick Pulga ,
  • 80', Bruno Henrique , Everton ,
  • 81', de Arrascaeta G. , Pedro ,
  • 81', Michael , Wallace Yan ,
  • 81', Rodriguez L. , Willian Jose ,
  • 81', Rodrigo , Tiago ,
  • 87', Gerson 🟥,
  • 90+4', Ramos S. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Flamengo
67%
Draw
21%
Bahia
12%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.4% 26.2% 17.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.5% 25.3% 16.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Flamengo's performance.
  • Bahia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bahia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (-8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Flamengo that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • Flamengo - Bahia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.41
    (1.67)
    4.52
    (3.6)
    7.91
    (5.44)
    5.6%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Flamengo - Bahia?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Flamengo will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Bahia will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Flamengo: 54%99.8%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Flamengo won 5.
    • Flamengo has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Bahia is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Recently, Flamengo has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Flamengo is the undisputed favorite.
    • There will not play in Flamengo: Everton (Calf Injury) Vina M. (Knee Injury) de la Cruz N. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Bahia: Arias S. (Muscle Injury) Caio Alexandre (Yellow Cards) Erick (Yellow Cards) Kanu (Muscle Injury) Ronaldo Strada (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Flamengo: Plata G. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Bahia: Gilberto (Inactive)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Flamengo won 15 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 41:21. (average 2.1:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Flamengo won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 23:8. (average 2.3:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Flamengo - Bahia were as follows:
    05.10.2024 Bahia - Flamengo 0:2
    12.09.2024 Flamengo - Bahia 1:0
    28.08.2024 Bahia - Flamengo 0:1
    20.06.2024 Flamengo - Bahia 2:1
    30.09.2023 Flamengo - Bahia 1:0
    Latest results of Flamengo
    04.05.2025 Cruzeiro - Flamengo 2:1
    01.05.2025 Botafogo PB - Flamengo 0:1
    27.04.2025 Flamengo - Corinthians 4:0
    22.04.2025 LDU Quito - Flamengo 0:0
    Latest results of Bahia
    03.05.2025 Bahia - Botafogo RJ 1:0
    30.04.2025 Paysandu - Bahia 0:1
    27.04.2025 Palmeiras - Bahia 0:1
    24.04.2025 Bahia - Atlético Nacional 1:0
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ21145245:103547
    2Cruzeiro22135435:152044
    3Palmeiras20134328:161243
    4Bahia20106428:22636
    5Botafogo RJ20105530:131735
    6Mirassol2098335:201535
    7Sao Paulo2288626:23332
    8Bragantino22931027:32-530
    9Fluminense2084825:28-328
    10Internacional2176825:29-427
    11Ceara2175919:20-126
    12Corinthians2268823:28-526
    13Gremio2167820:26-625
    14Atletico-MG2066820:24-424
    15Vasco21641130:31-122
    16Santos21641120:31-1122
    17Vitoria22410819:32-1322
    18Juventude21631219:41-2221
    19Fortaleza21361220:34-1415
    20Sport Recife20171214:33-1910

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet