Baltika Kaliningrad vs Orenburg – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Russian Premier League Baltika Kaliningrad - Orenburg
Result
3:2
03/08/2025 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 3
  • Referee: Kukulyak E. (Rus)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaQ Sport Asia
belarusBelarusBelarus 5
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 3
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
russiaRussiaMatch! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 4

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.571.05
Ball Possession
39%61%
Total shots
118
Shots on target
66
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
22
Passes
61% (129/213)72% (246/341)
Yellow Cards
54
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.571.05
xG on target (xGOT)
3.011.14
Total shots
118
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
42
Blocked Shots
10
Shots inside the Box
73
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
22
Touches in opposition box
179
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
41
Free Kicks
823
Passes
61% (129/213)72% (246/341)
Long passes
31% (18/59)30% (19/64)
Passes in final third
49% (39/80)51% (40/79)
Crosses
10% (1/10)29% (2/7)
Expected assists (xA)
0.940.54
Throw-ins
2231
Fouls
238
Tackles
86% (12/14)69% (9/13)
Duels won
4556
Clearances
2334
Interceptions
107
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
1.143.01
Goals prevented
-0.86-0.05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 20', Petrov I. (Pen),
  • 22', 1 - 0, Gil B. (Pen),
  • 32', Titkov N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 46', Titkov N. , Yenne T. ,
  • 46', Oganesyan S. , Gurluk E. ,
  • 46', Petrov I. 🟨,
  • 48', 2 - 0, Petrov M. , Petrov I. (A),
  • 56', Kamilov V. , Bolotov E. ,
  • 56', Zotov G. , Koserik N. ,
  • 57', 2 - 1, Bolotov E. ,
  • 61', Gil B. , Offor C. ,
  • 61', Petrov I. , Mourid A. ,
  • 64', 3 - 1, Offor C. , Mourid A. (A),
  • 69', 3 - 2, Gurluk E. ,
  • 72', Savelyev M. , Guzina G. ,
  • 77', Kvekveskiri I. 🟨,
  • 77', Offor C. 🟨,
  • 77', Bolotov E. 🟨,
  • 80', Tataev A. 🟨,
  • 82', 🟨,
  • 83', Kvekveskiri I. , Bubanja V. ,
  • 85', Petrov M. , Belikov I. ,
  • 89', Tataev A. 🟨,
  • 90', Yenne T. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Saus V. , Kovalev Y. ,

Chances of winning


Baltika Kaliningrad
57.6%
Draw
24.4%
Orenburg
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.1% 28.8% 26.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Baltika Kaliningrad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Baltika Kaliningrad's performance.
  • Orenburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Orenburg might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • Baltika Kaliningrad - Orenburg Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.73
    (2.18)
    4.08
    (3.42)
    5.54
    (3.77)
    0.3%
    (1.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Baltika won 1.
    • Baltika may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Baltika is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Baltika won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 14:17. (average 0.9:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Baltika won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1.3:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Baltika Kaliningrad - Orenburg were as follows:
    10.03.2024 Orenburg - Baltika Kaliningrad 1:0
    07.10.2023 Baltika Kaliningrad - Orenburg 1:0
    Latest results of Baltika Kaliningrad
    Latest results of Orenburg
    31.07.2025 Rubin Kazan - Orenburg 2:0
    21.07.2025 Orenburg - CSKA Moscow 0:0
    20.07.2025 Orenburg - Chelyabinsk 2:3
    24.05.2025 Rubin Kazan - Orenburg 4:2
    Russian Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lokomotiv Moscow33008:359
    2Krylya Sovetov32107:257
    3Baltika32107:347
    4Rubin Kazan32106:337
    5Krasnodar32015:236
    6Akron Togliatti31206:245
    7Zenit31205:415
    8CSKA Moscow31203:215
    9Dynamo Moscow31112:204
    10Dynamo Makhachkala31112:204
    11Spartak Moscow31112:4-24
    12Orenburg30213:4-12
    13Akhmat Grozny30031:5-40
    14FK Rostov30032:7-50
    15Pari NN30032:8-60
    16Sochi30031:9-80

          Premier League (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ FNL