Result
0:0
22/11/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 16
- Referee: Saraev I. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | Q Sport Asia |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 3 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 2 |
 Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 0.71 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 59% (145/246) | 68% (206/302) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 0.71 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 0.18 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 37 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 22 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 59% (145/246) | 68% (206/302) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 28% (18/64) | 53% (57/107) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (65/119) | 63% (95/150) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (4/22) | 37% (7/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 2.13 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 32 | 33 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 22 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (13/20) | 84% (16/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 72 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 39 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.18 | 0.96 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.18 | 0.96 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 8', Kasimov A. 🟨,
- 16', Andrade K. 🟨,
- 35', Kvekveskiri I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 47', Guzina G. 🟨,
- 58', Beveev M. ↓, Civic E. ↑,
- 58', Pryakhin S. ↓, Yenne T. ↑,
- 69', Gil B. ↓, Offor C. ↑,
- 69', Titkov N. ↓, Kovalev Y. ↑,
- 83', Rybchinskiy D. ↓, Kamilov V. ↑,
- 84', Belikov I. 🟨,
- 86', Thompson J. ↓, Oganesyan S. ↑,
- 86', Gurluk E. ↓, Poroykov S. ↑,
- 88', Petrov I. ↓, Manelov I. ↑,
- 90+1', Manelov I. 🟨,
- 90+2', Kvekveskiri I. ↓, Bolotov E. ↑,
- 90+3', Du Queiroz ↓, Bubanja V. ↑,
Chances of winning
Orenburg
26.7% | Draw
29.2% | Baltika Kaliningrad
44.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Orenburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Baltika Kaliningrad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orenburg than the current prediction. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baltika Kaliningrad than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Orenburg - Baltika Kaliningrad Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.65 ↑
(3.53) |
3.34 ↓
(3.4) |
2.21 ↑
(2.17) |
2.8%
(3.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Orenburg - Baltika Kaliningrad?
Users Predictions:
Baltika Kaliningrad will win
(7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Baltika Kaliningrad will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Premier League (Relegation) and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orenburg won 2.
- Orenburg has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Baltika has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Baltika might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Baltika: Saus V.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Baltika: Petrov M.
(Leg Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Orenburg won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:17. (average 1.2:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Orenburg won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:4. (average 1.4:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Orenburg won against Baltika Kaliningrad?
Orenburg has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Baltika Kaliningrad won against Orenburg?
Baltika Kaliningrad has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Orenburg - Baltika Kaliningrad were as follows:
03.08.2025
Baltika Kaliningrad
-
Orenburg
3:2
10.03.2024
Orenburg
-
Baltika Kaliningrad
1:0
07.10.2023
Baltika Kaliningrad
-
Orenburg
1:0
Latest results of Orenburg
Latest results of Baltika Kaliningrad
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Krasnodar | 23 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 48:16 | 32 | 52 |
| 2 | Zenit | 23 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 43:16 | 27 | 51 |
| 3 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 23 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 49:32 | 17 | 44 |
| 4 | Baltika | 23 | 11 | 10 | 2 | 32:11 | 21 | 43 |
| 5 | CSKA Moscow | 23 | 13 | 3 | 7 | 36:25 | 11 | 42 |
| 6 | Spartak Moscow | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 37:31 | 6 | 41 |
| 7 | Rubin Kazan | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 23:25 | -2 | 33 |
| 8 | Dynamo Moscow | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 40:33 | 7 | 31 |
| 9 | Akhmat Grozny | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 27:29 | -2 | 30 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 18:25 | -7 | 25 |
| 11 | Akron Togliatti | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 28:40 | -12 | 22 |
| 12 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 14:29 | -15 | 22 |
| 13 | Krylya Sovetov | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 23:42 | -19 | 21 |
| 14 | Pari NN | 23 | 6 | 2 | 15 | 18:37 | -19 | 20 |
| 15 | Orenburg | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 24:36 | -12 | 19 |
| 16 | Sochi | 23 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 20:53 | -33 | 9 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
