Result
3:2
03/08/2025 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 3
- Referee: Kukulyak E. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | Q Sport Asia |
 Belarus | Belarus 5 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 4 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.57 | 1.05 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 61% (129/213) | 72% (246/341) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.57 | 1.05 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.01 | 1.14 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 23 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 61% (129/213) | 72% (246/341) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (18/59) | 30% (19/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 49% (39/80) | 51% (40/79) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 10% (1/10) | 29% (2/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 0.54 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 31 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 23 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 86% (12/14) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.14 | 3.01 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.86 | -0.05 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 20', Petrov I. (Pen),
- 22', 1 - 0, Gil B. (Pen),
- 32', Titkov N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 46', Titkov N. ↓, Yenne T. ↑,
- 46', Oganesyan S. ↓, Gurluk E. ↑,
- 46', Petrov I. 🟨,
- 48', 2 - 0, Petrov M. ⚽, Petrov I. (A),
- 56', Kamilov V. ↓, Bolotov E. ↑,
- 56', Zotov G. ↓, Koserik N. ↑,
- 57', 2 - 1, Bolotov E. ⚽,
- 61', Gil B. ↓, Offor C. ↑,
- 61', Petrov I. ↓, Mourid A. ↑,
- 64', 3 - 1, Offor C. ⚽, Mourid A. (A),
- 69', 3 - 2, Gurluk E. ⚽,
- 72', Savelyev M. ↓, Guzina G. ↑,
- 77', Kvekveskiri I. 🟨,
- 77', Offor C. 🟨,
- 77', Bolotov E. 🟨,
- 80', Tataev A. 🟨,
- 82', 🟨,
- 83', Kvekveskiri I. ↓, Bubanja V. ↑,
- 85', Petrov M. ↓, Belikov I. ↑,
- 89', Tataev A. 🟨,
- 90', Yenne T. 🟨,
- 90+2', Saus V. ↓, Kovalev Y. ↑,
Chances of winning
Baltika Kaliningrad
57.6% | Draw
24.4% | Orenburg
18% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Baltika Kaliningrad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Baltika Kaliningrad's performance.Orenburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Orenburg might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
Baltika Kaliningrad - Orenburg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.73 ↓
(2.18) |
4.08 ↑
(3.42) |
5.54 ↑
(3.77) |
0.3%
(1.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Baltika Kaliningrad - Orenburg?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Baltika will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is .
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Baltika won 1.
- Baltika may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Baltika is considered a favorite.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Baltika won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 14:17. (average 0.9:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Baltika won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1.3:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Baltika Kaliningrad won against Orenburg?
Baltika Kaliningrad has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Orenburg won against Baltika Kaliningrad?
Orenburg has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Baltika Kaliningrad - Orenburg were as follows:
10.03.2024
Orenburg
-
Baltika Kaliningrad
1:0
07.10.2023
Baltika Kaliningrad
-
Orenburg
1:0
Latest results of Baltika Kaliningrad
Latest results of Orenburg
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Krasnodar | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 25:7 | 18 | 29 |
| 2 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 13 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 30:17 | 13 | 27 |
| 3 | CSKA Moscow | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 23:13 | 10 | 27 |
| 4 | Zenit | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 26:11 | 15 | 26 |
| 5 | Baltika | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 18:6 | 12 | 24 |
| 6 | Spartak Moscow | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 21:18 | 3 | 22 |
| 7 | Rubin Kazan | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15:19 | -4 | 18 |
| 8 | Akhmat Grozny | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 16:15 | 1 | 16 |
| 9 | Dynamo Moscow | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 21:21 | 0 | 16 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 15 |
| 11 | Krylya Sovetov | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 17:23 | -6 | 13 |
| 12 | Akron Togliatti | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 15:19 | -4 | 12 |
| 13 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 6:16 | -10 | 11 |
| 14 | Orenburg | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 14:24 | -10 | 8 |
| 15 | Pari NN | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9:23 | -14 | 7 |
| 16 | Sochi | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7:28 | -21 | 5 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
