Result
1:1
27/12/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 18
- Referee: Zufferli L. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 Russia | Telekanal Futbol |
 Slovenia | Sport TV1 |
 United-kingdom | DCTV |
 Usa | DCTV, Fox Soccer Plus, Fox |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 0.75 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (200/300) | 77% (347/451) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 0.75 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.87 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 32 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 23 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (200/300) | 77% (347/451) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (17/52) | 36% (21/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (63/113) | 67% (99/148) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (5/18) | 17% (5/29) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 0.63 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 30 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 23 | 21 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (14/22) | 70% (14/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 65 | 66 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 40 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.87 | 0.75 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.13 | -0.25 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 5', Cancellotti T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 50', Missori F. 🟨,
- 54', 1 - 0, Dickmann L. ⚽, Maggiore G. (A),
- 59', Milani A. ↓, Russo R. ↑,
- 59', Tutino G. ↓, Patierno C. ↑,
- 66', Braunoder M. 🟨,
- 68', 1 - 1, Biasci T. ⚽,
- 69', Palmiero L. ↓, Palumbo M. ↑,
- 73', Mane M. ↓, Antonucci M. ↑,
- 74', Maggiore G. ↓, Rao E. ↑,
- 85', Verreth M. ↓, Bellomo N. ↑,
- 85', Meroni A. ↓, Kassama S. ↑,
- 87', Biasci T. ↓, Lescano F. ↑,
- 88', Gytkjaer C. ↓, Moncini G. ↑,
- 88', Pucino R. 🟨,
- 90+5', Patierno C. 🟨,
- 90+5', Cerofolini M. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/afhnavms
Chances of winning
Bari
37.6% | Draw
31.6% | Avellino
30.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)Avellino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bari than the current prediction. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avellino than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Bari - Avellino Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.49 ↑
(2.34) |
2.95 ↓
(3.11) |
3 ↓
(3.1) |
7.4%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Bari - Avellino?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Bari will win (votes: 4 - 25%). Avellino will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 38.8% – 86.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Avellino (2.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Avellino (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: ) and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bari won 3.
- Bari is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Avellino has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Bari may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Bari could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Bari: Antonucci M.
(Muscle Injury)
Castrovilli G.
(Muscle Injury)
Darboe E.
(Thigh Injury)
Dorval M.
(International duty)
- There will not play in Avellino: Armellino M.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
D'Andrea L.
(Knee Injury)
De Cristofaro A.
(Knee Injury)
Favilli A.
(Tendon Injury)
Fontanarosa A.
(Yellow Cards)
Insigne R.
(Inactive)
Kumi J.
(Injury)
Marchisano M.
(Inactive)
Pane P.
(Inactive)
Rigione M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Bari won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:21. (average 1.4:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bari won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:9. (average 2.1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Bari won against Avellino?
Bari has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Avellino won against Bari?
Avellino has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bari - Avellino were as follows:
Latest results of Avellino
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 54:25 | 29 | 57 |
| 2 | Monza | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 41:20 | 21 | 57 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 27 | 15 | 9 | 3 | 50:26 | 24 | 54 |
| 4 | Palermo | 27 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 46:21 | 25 | 51 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 39:29 | 10 | 45 |
| 6 | Modena | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 36:22 | 14 | 43 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 27 | 9 | 12 | 6 | 31:31 | 0 | 39 |
| 8 | Cesena | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 35:38 | -3 | 38 |
| 9 | Sudtirol | 27 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 27:28 | -1 | 34 |
| 10 | Padova | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 28:33 | -5 | 33 |
| 11 | Empoli | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 33:37 | -4 | 31 |
| 12 | Carrarese | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 32:37 | -5 | 31 |
| 13 | Avellino | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 30:42 | -12 | 30 |
| 14 | Reggiana | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 29:36 | -7 | 29 |
| 15 | Sampdoria | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 28:36 | -8 | 29 |
| 16 | Mantova | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 27:42 | -15 | 27 |
| 17 | Spezia | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 23:35 | -12 | 25 |
| 18 | Entella | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 24:39 | -15 | 25 |
| 19 | Bari | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 23:39 | -16 | 25 |
| 20 | Pescara | 27 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 32:52 | -20 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
