Barracas Central vs Sarmiento de Junín – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
02/04/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 13
  • Referee: Penel A. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN Premium
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.480.88
Ball possession
47%53%
Total shots
1413
Shots on target
33
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
51
Passes
85% (357/421)85% (412/486)
Yellow cards
03
Expected goals (xG)
1.480.88
xG on target (xGOT)
1.401.48
Total shots
1413
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
88
Blocked shots
32
Shots inside the box
107
Shots outside the box
46
Hit the woodwork
10
Headed goals
01
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
51
Touches in opposition box
2021
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free kicks
1412
Passes
85% (357/421)85% (412/486)
Long passes
53% (25/47)51% (36/70)
Passes in final third
75% (100/133)72% (93/130)
Crosses
40% (8/20)43% (6/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.740.64
Throw ins
914
Fouls
1214
Tackles
73% (8/11)58% (11/19)
Duels won
3849
Clearances
1216
Interceptions
92
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper saves
12
xGOT faced
1.481.40
Goals prevented
-0.520.40

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 24', 0 - 1, Marabel J. , Santamaria T. (A),
  • 33', Santamaria T. 🟨,
  • 40', 0 - 2, Villalba C. , Marabel J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Martinez D. , Candia J. ,
  • 46', Gamba L. , Morales G. ,
  • 46', Bruera F. , Porra T. ,
  • 61', Tapia I. , Briasco N. ,
  • 69', 1 - 2, Insua R. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 71', Santamaria T. , Suarez L. ,
  • 76', Maroni G. , Duarte M. ,
  • 81', Martinez M. , Alaggia F. ,
  • 81', Villalba C. , Gomez J. ,
  • 82', Marabel J. , Gonzalez A. ,
  • 87', Burrai J. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Contrera J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Barracas Central
39.5%
Draw
34.3%
Sarmiento de Junín
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.5% 31.6% 29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9% 31.3% 29.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Barracas Central has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • Sarmiento de Junín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barracas Central than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarmiento de Junín than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • Barracas Central - Sarmiento de Junín Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.41
    (2.42)
    2.77
    (2.95)
    3.61
    (3.11)
    5.4%
    (7.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
    What is the prediction for Barracas Central - Sarmiento de Junín?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Barracas Central will win (votes: 7 - 43.8%). Sarmiento will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 25.5%74.5%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barracas Central won 0.
    • Barracas Central is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Sarmiento's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, Sarmiento has had a series of home games.
    • Barracas Central might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Sarmiento: Godoy J. (Knee Injury) Gonzalez G. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Barracas Central won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:9. (average 1.4:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Barracas Central won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Barracas Central - Sarmiento de Junín were as follows:
    20.09.2025 Barracas Central - Sarmiento de Junín 0:1
    08.03.2025 Sarmiento de Junín - Barracas Central 1:1
    19.05.2024 Barracas Central - Sarmiento de Junín 1:1
    24.02.2024 Sarmiento de Junín - Barracas Central 0:0
    02.10.2023 Barracas Central - Sarmiento de Junín 1:1
    Latest results of Sarmiento de Junín
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P1373316:7924
    2Velez Sarsfield1264214:9522
    3Boca Juniors1356215:8721
    4Union de Santa Fe1354419:14519
    5Defensa y Justicia1247115:10519
    6Lanus1254317:14319
    7Independiente1346319:16318
    8Talleres Cordoba1253412:11118
    9San Lorenzo1346312:12018
    10Instituto1352614:15-117
    11Platense133737:8-116
    12Gimnasia Mendoza1334610:16-613
    13Central Cordoba123366:15-912
    14Newells Old Boys1324710:23-1310
    15Dep. Riestra130763:10-77


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia ✔ 1392223:131029
    2River Plate1382319:91026
    3Argentinos Jrs1365214:10423
    4Belgrano1364313:12122
    5Rosario Central1363415:13221
    6Huracan1355315:10520
    7Barracas Central1354413:12119
    8Tigre1346316:12418
    9Racing Club1353515:13218
    10Sarmiento Junin1251610:12-216
    11Gimnasia L.P1242613:18-514
    12Banfield1241714:16-213
    13Atl. Tucuman1324713:18-510
    14Aldosivi130673:14-116
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto1312104:19-155

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)