Result
3:2
14/03/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 3 - Promotion Group - Round 6
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 10', 1 - 0, Horta Leitao D. ⚽, Morgado T. (A),
- 18', 1 - 1, Oliveira R. ⚽,
- 31', Chicao 🟨,
- 40', 2 - 1, Duda ⚽, Afonso A. (A),
- 45+1', Afonso A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 54', Chicao ↓, Rego R. ↑,
- 54', Gomes A. ↓, Chamito ↑,
- 67', 2 - 2, Talocha ⚽,
- 69', Duda ↓, Sambu M. ↑,
- 69', Horta Leitao D. ↓, Bruninho ↑,
- 75', Bandarra M. ↓, Machado J. ↑,
- 76', Franca F. 🟨,
- 79', Franca F. ↓, Graca H. ↑,
- 79', Gunjo J. ↓, Rebelo M. ↑,
- 84', Afonso A. ↓, Eduardo W. ↑,
- 84', Souza E. ↓, Gastao J. ↑,
- 85', Filipe L. ↓, Pimenta G. ↑,
- 90+4', 🟨,
- 90+5', 3 - 2, Gastao J. ⚽, Sambu M. (A),
Chances of winning
Belenenses
48.2% | Draw
27.5% | Varzim
24.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Belenenses has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)Varzim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belenenses than the current prediction. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varzim than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Belenenses - Varzim Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.91 ↓
(1.92) |
3.34 ↑
(3.26) |
3.77
(3.77) |
8.9%
(9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Belenenses could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Belenenses won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0. (average 0:0).
- Including home match between the teams, Belenenses won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Belenenses won against Varzim?
Belenenses has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Varzim won against Belenenses?
Varzim has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Belenenses - Varzim were as follows:
26.04.2025
Varzim
-
Belenenses
0:0
01.03.2025
Belenenses
-
Varzim
0:0
Latest results of Belenenses
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
Promotion Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Academica | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11:5 | 6 | 15 |
| 2 | Amarante | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 15 |
| 3 | Os Belenenses | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15:9 | 6 | 14 |
| 4 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10:8 | 2 | 10 |
| 5 | Varzim | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 7:9 | -2 | 9 |
| 6 | Santarem | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7:11 | -4 | 6 |
| 7 | Trofense | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 5 |
| 8 | Mafra | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:13 | -8 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2 (Promotion: )
