Leyton Orient vs Bolton Wanderers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League One Leyton Orient - Bolton Wanderers
Result
1:1
13/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 8
  • Referee: Rock D. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.850.63
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
69
Shots on target
13
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
36
Passes
65% (145/222)73% (251/344)
Yellow Cards
42
Expected Goals (xG)
0.850.63
xG on target (xGOT)
0.490.83
Total shots
69
Shots on target
13
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
45
Shots outside the Box
23
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
36
Touches in opposition box
1221
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
14
Free Kicks
68
Passes
65% (145/222)73% (251/344)
Long passes
28% (14/50)37% (24/65)
Passes in final third
62% (42/68)66% (76/116)
Crosses
8% (1/13)21% (4/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.340.69
Throw-ins
1834
Fouls
106
Tackles
57% (13/23)64% (14/22)
Duels won
4157
Clearances
3222
Interceptions
108
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
20
xGOT faced
0.830.49
Goals prevented
0.83-0.51

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 11', Happe D. , Beckles O. ,
  • 28', Dacres-Cogley J. 🟨,
  • 29', Mitchell D. 🟨,
  • 39', Simpson J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 64', Craig M. , James T. ,
  • 69', 1 - 0, Simpson J. ,
  • 71', Moorhouse J. , Clare S. ,
  • 71', Koroma J. , Abdulai A. ,
  • 73', Morley A. , Erhahon E. ,
  • 74', Randall J. , Forss M. ,
  • 78', Burstow M. , Dalby S. ,
  • 81', Gale T. , Cissoko I. ,
  • 81', Dacres-Cogley J. , Sheehan J. ,
  • 87', Johnston G. 🟨,
  • 89', James T. 🟨,
  • 90+4', 1 - 1, Cozier-Duberry A. ,
  • 90+8', 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Leyton Orient
28.5%
Draw
27%
Bolton Wanderers
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34% 28.2% 37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8% 28.1% 38%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leyton Orient has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leyton Orient's form might have worsened.
  • Bolton Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bolton Wanderers's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leyton Orient than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leyton Orient, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bolton Wanderers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Leyton Orient - Bolton Wanderers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.3
    (2.73)
    3.42
    (3.3)
    2.15
    (2.46)
    5.9%
    (7.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Leyton Orient - Bolton Wanderers?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Leyton Orient will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Bolton will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Leyton Orient: 26.7%80.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Bolton (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leyton Orient won 1.
    • Recent performances by Leyton Orient have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Bolton is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, Leyton Orient has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Bolton has had a series of home games.
    • Bolton is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Leyton Orient: Archibald T. (Knee Injury) Graham J. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Bolton: Adeboyejo V. (Knee Injury) Dempsey K. (Knee Injury) Forrester W. (Hamstring Injury) Osei-Tutu J. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Leyton Orient: Obiero Z. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Bolton: Burstow M. (Injury)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Leyton Orient won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.5:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Leyton Orient won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Leyton Orient - Bolton Wanderers were as follows:
    22.02.2025 Bolton Wanderers - Leyton Orient 2:1
    10.08.2024 Leyton Orient - Bolton Wanderers 1:2
    20.01.2024 Leyton Orient - Bolton Wanderers 1:0
    23.12.2023 Bolton Wanderers - Leyton Orient 3:2
    Latest results of Leyton Orient
    Latest results of Bolton Wanderers
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cardiff1282221:101126
    2Stevenage1181217:9825
    3Bradford City1274122:15725
    4Stockport County1374219:14525
    5AFC Wimbledon1381419:14525
    6Lincoln1273218:10824
    7Bolton1355318:15320
    8Huddersfield1261518:15319
    9Mansfield1253418:14418
    10Barnsley1153318:16218
    11Northampton1352610:12-217
    12Doncaster1352612:18-617
    13Wigan1344516:17-116
    14Luton1251614:15-116
    15Leyton Orient1342720:23-314
    16Reading1335514:18-414
    17Rotherham1242612:16-414
    18Wycombe1334615:16-113
    19Port Vale1334611:12-113
    20Exeter1341812:14-213
    21Plymouth1241717:21-413
    22Burton1233610:16-612
    23Peterborough123189:20-1110
    24Blackpool1323811:21-109

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two