Result
2:1
24/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 28
- Referee: Stockbridge S. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.04 | 0.52 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (284/392) | 70% (217/312) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.04 | 0.52 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.71 | 0.34 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (284/392) | 70% (217/312) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (25/79) | 32% (19/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (49/91) | 55% (61/111) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 55% (6/11) | 25% (5/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 0.78 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 38 | 38 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 90% (19/21) | 73% (16/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 77 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 42 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.34 | 1.71 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.66 | -0.29 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 13', Osei-Tutu J. 🟨,
- 26', Cozier-Duberry A. ↓, Christie C. ↑,
- 29', Abdulai A. 🟨,
- 33', Christie C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', 1 - 0, Gale T. ⚽, Erhahon E. (A),
- 49', 1 - 1, Archibald T. ⚽, O'Neill O. (A),
- 66', Mitchell D. ↓, Craig M. ↑,
- 70', McAtee J. 🟨,
- 72', James T. ↓, Happe D. ↑,
- 72', Gale T. ↓, Dempsey K. ↑,
- 73', Simons X. ↓, Morley A. ↑,
- 73', Osei-Tutu J. ↓, Forino-Joseph C. ↑,
- 80', Bakinson T. ↓, Matthews A. ↑,
- 86', McAtee J. ↓, Burstow M. ↑,
- 90+1', 2 - 1, Burstow M. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Bolton Wanderers
60.5% | Draw
22.1% | Leyton Orient
17.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bolton Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)Leyton Orient has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leyton Orient than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Bolton Wanderers - Leyton Orient Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.55 ↑
(1.5) |
4.26 ↑
(4.21) |
5.4 ↓
(6.04) |
6.6%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Bolton Wanderers - Leyton Orient?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Bolton will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Leyton Orient will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Leyton Orient (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 16).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bolton won 3.
- Recent performances by Bolton have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Leyton Orient is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Bolton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Bolton is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Bolton: Forss M.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Leyton Orient: Connolly A.
(Injury)
Edmonds-Green R.
(Inactive)
El Mizouni I.
(Injury)
Graham J.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Bolton won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1.4:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bolton won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 2.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Bolton Wanderers won against Leyton Orient?
Bolton Wanderers has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Leyton Orient won against Bolton Wanderers?
Leyton Orient has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bolton Wanderers - Leyton Orient were as follows:
13.09.2025
Leyton Orient
-
Bolton Wanderers
1:1
22.02.2025
Bolton Wanderers
-
Leyton Orient
2:1
10.08.2024
Leyton Orient
-
Bolton Wanderers
1:2
20.01.2024
Leyton Orient
-
Bolton Wanderers
1:0
23.12.2023
Bolton Wanderers
-
Leyton Orient
3:2
Latest results of Bolton Wanderers
Latest results of Leyton Orient
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln | 39 | 25 | 9 | 5 | 74:34 | 40 | 84 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 39 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 73:41 | 32 | 77 |
| 3 | Bolton | 39 | 17 | 15 | 7 | 55:39 | 16 | 66 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 39 | 19 | 8 | 12 | 49:44 | 5 | 65 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 51:48 | 3 | 60 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 41:38 | 3 | 60 |
| 7 | Plymouth | 39 | 18 | 5 | 16 | 60:54 | 6 | 59 |
| 8 | Reading | 39 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 57:51 | 6 | 58 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 39 | 16 | 9 | 14 | 59:51 | 8 | 57 |
| 10 | Wycombe | 39 | 15 | 11 | 13 | 55:43 | 12 | 56 |
| 11 | Luton | 39 | 15 | 10 | 14 | 52:49 | 3 | 55 |
| 12 | Peterborough | 38 | 15 | 5 | 18 | 57:52 | 5 | 50 |
| 13 | Barnsley | 37 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 59:60 | -1 | 50 |
| 14 | AFC Wimbledon | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 49:55 | -6 | 50 |
| 15 | Mansfield | 37 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 47:41 | 6 | 49 |
| 16 | Leyton Orient | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 55:62 | -7 | 48 |
| 17 | Doncaster | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 41:59 | -18 | 47 |
| 18 | Burton | 39 | 12 | 10 | 17 | 44:54 | -10 | 46 |
| 19 | Wigan | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
| 20 | Exeter | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 42:52 | -10 | 42 |
| 21 | Blackpool | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 46:63 | -17 | 42 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 35:58 | -23 | 36 |
| 23 | Northampton | 39 | 9 | 8 | 22 | 33:56 | -23 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 29:49 | -20 | 31 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
