Crewe Alexandra vs Carlisle United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
01/01/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: League Two - Round 24
  • Referee: Mather S. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.180.62
Ball Possession
42%58%
Goal Attempts
1813
Shots on Goal
96
Shots off Goal
43
Blocked Shots
54
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
78
Shots inside the Box
127
Shots outside the Box
56
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
21
Goalkeeper Saves
46
Free Kicks
1112
Offsides
21
Fouls
1211
Yellow Cards
34
Throw-ins
2015
Touches in the Opposition Box
2618
Passes
59% (158/270)69% (256/372)
Passes in the final third
59% (55/94)52% (65/124)
Crosses
35% (7/20)25% (6/24)
Tackles
33% (4/12)44% (7/16)
Clearances Total
3939
Interceptions
98

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 8', Lavelle S. 🟨,
  • 21', 0 - 1, Ellis J. , Biggins H. (A),
  • 32', 1 - 1, Long Ch. , Holicek M. (A),
  • 35', Williams Z. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Williams Z. , Connolly J. ,
  • 54', Neal H. 🟨,
  • 58', Harper C. , Harris K. ,
  • 58', Ellis J. , Jones J. ,
  • 67', Tracey S. , Lankester J. ,
  • 71', Cooney R. , Finney C. ,
  • 72', Long Ch. , Bogle O. ,
  • 79', 1 - 2, Harris K. , Armstrong L. (A),
  • 82', Sadi D. , Burey T. ,
  • 82', Adu Adjei D. , Charters T. ,
  • 83', Tabiner J. , Powell J. ,
  • 84', Breeze G. 🟨,
  • 87', Knight-Lebel J. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Conway M. 🟨,
  • 90+4', 2 - 2, Bogle O. ,
  • 90+6', 🟨,
  • 90+9', 3 - 2, Lankester J. , Conway M. (A),

Chances of winning


Crewe Alexandra
50.6%
Draw
27.2%
Carlisle United
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.2% 27.4% 26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2% 25% 28.9%

Crewe Alexandra - Carlisle United Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.86
(2.02)
3.43
(3.4)
4.28
(3.54)
6.3%
(7.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Crewe Alexandra - Carlisle United?
  • Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Crewe will win (votes: 14 - 66.7%). Carlisle will win (votes: 2 - 9.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 23.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Crewe: 46.5%86.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Crewe won 2.
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • Recently Crewe have a series of guest games.
    • Recently Carlisle have a series of home games.
    • In this match Crewe is a favorite.
    • Last 16 head-to-head matches Crewe won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 18:20 (average 1.1:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Crewe won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:13 (average 1.3:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Crewe Alexandra - Carlisle United were as follows:
    30.11.2024 Carlisle United - Crewe Alexandra 1:1
    29.12.2022 Crewe Alexandra - Carlisle United 0:3
    01.10.2022 Carlisle United - Crewe Alexandra 0:0
    Latest results of Crewe Alexandra
    Latest results of Carlisle United
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley26157444:271752
    2Swindon25144741:291246
    3Walsall25144735:241146
    4Salford25144738:33546
    5MK Dons26128648:282044
    6Cambridge Utd25128530:201044
    7Notts Co25126738:271142
    8Chesterfield261011542:35741
    9Colchester25109639:281139
    10Crewe26116942:34839
    11Grimsby25107836:30637
    12Oldham25811626:20635
    13Barnet2598832:27535
    14Gillingham25811634:30435
    15Fleetwood2597933:32134
    16Accrington25961027:28-133
    17Tranmere26881040:42-232
    18Cheltenham26931426:43-1730
    19Barrow25661327:38-1124
    20Shrewsbury25571322:41-1922
    21Bristol Rovers25631621:45-2421
    22Crawley26471529:47-1819
    23Harrogate26461619:41-2218
    24Newport25451626:46-2017

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League