Crewe Alexandra vs Carlisle United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Two Crewe Alexandra - Carlisle United
Result
3:2
01/01/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: League Two - Round 24
  • Referee: Mather S. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.180.62
Ball Possession
42%58%
Goal Attempts
1813
Shots on Goal
96
Shots off Goal
43
Blocked Shots
54
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
78
Shots inside the Box
127
Shots outside the Box
56
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
21
Goalkeeper Saves
46
Free Kicks
1112
Offsides
21
Fouls
1211
Yellow Cards
34
Throw-ins
2015
Touches in the Opposition Box
2618
Passes
59% (158/270)69% (256/372)
Passes in the final third
59% (55/94)52% (65/124)
Crosses
35% (7/20)25% (6/24)
Tackles
33% (4/12)44% (7/16)
Clearances Total
3939
Interceptions
98

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 8', Lavelle S. 🟨,
  • 21', 0 - 1, Ellis J. , Biggins H. (A),
  • 32', 1 - 1, Long Ch. , Holicek M. (A),
  • 35', Williams Z. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Williams Z. , Connolly J. ,
  • 54', Neal H. 🟨,
  • 58', Harper C. , Harris K. ,
  • 58', Ellis J. , Jones J. ,
  • 67', Tracey S. , Lankester J. ,
  • 71', Cooney R. , Finney C. ,
  • 72', Long Ch. , Bogle O. ,
  • 79', 1 - 2, Harris K. , Armstrong L. (A),
  • 82', Sadi D. , Burey T. ,
  • 82', Adu Adjei D. , Charters T. ,
  • 83', Tabiner J. , Powell J. ,
  • 84', Breeze G. 🟨,
  • 87', Knight-Lebel J. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Conway M. 🟨,
  • 90+4', 2 - 2, Bogle O. ,
  • 90+6', 🟨,
  • 90+9', 3 - 2, Lankester J. , Conway M. (A),

Chances of winning


Crewe Alexandra
50.6%
Draw
27.2%
Carlisle United
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.2% 27.4% 26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2% 25% 28.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Crewe Alexandra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • Carlisle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (-8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Crewe Alexandra that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carlisle United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Crewe Alexandra - Carlisle United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.86
    (2.02)
    3.43
    (3.4)
    4.28
    (3.54)
    6.3%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Crewe Alexandra - Carlisle United?
  • Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Crewe will win (votes: 14 - 66.7%). Carlisle will win (votes: 2 - 9.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 23.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Crewe: 46.5%86.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Crewe won 2.
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • Recently Crewe have a series of guest games.
    • Recently Carlisle have a series of home games.
    • In this match Crewe is a favorite.
    • Last 16 head-to-head matches Crewe won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 18:20 (average 1.1:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Crewe won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:13 (average 1.3:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Crewe Alexandra - Carlisle United were as follows:
    30.11.2024 Carlisle United - Crewe Alexandra 1:1
    29.12.2022 Crewe Alexandra - Carlisle United 0:3
    01.10.2022 Carlisle United - Crewe Alexandra 0:0
    Latest results of Crewe Alexandra
    Latest results of Carlisle United
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Walsall1382319:12726
    2Swindon1381424:19525
    3MK Dons1373326:131324
    4Grimsby1373325:151024
    5Gillingham1364318:12622
    6Chesterfield1364323:20322
    7Salford1371518:17122
    8Notts Co1363423:15821
    9Cambridge Utd1363416:13321
    10Barnet1362516:13320
    11Crewe1361617:16119
    12Fleetwood1354419:19019
    13Bromley1346319:17218
    14Colchester1345421:18317
    15Barrow1352611:13-217
    16Bristol Rovers1352614:21-717
    17Oldham1336410:10015
    18Tranmere1235420:18214
    19Harrogate1342715:20-514
    20Accrington1233611:14-312
    21Shrewsbury1333710:20-1012
    22Cheltenham133289:25-1611
    23Crawley1323810:22-129
    24Newport1322911:23-128

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League