Crewe Alexandra vs Carlisle United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
01/01/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: League Two - Round 24
  • Referee: Mather S. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.180.62
Ball Possession
42%58%
Goal Attempts
1813
Shots on Goal
96
Shots off Goal
43
Blocked Shots
54
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
78
Shots inside the Box
127
Shots outside the Box
56
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
21
Goalkeeper Saves
46
Free Kicks
1112
Offsides
21
Fouls
1211
Yellow Cards
34
Throw-ins
2015
Touches in the Opposition Box
2618
Passes
59% (158/270)69% (256/372)
Passes in the final third
59% (55/94)52% (65/124)
Crosses
35% (7/20)25% (6/24)
Tackles
33% (4/12)44% (7/16)
Clearances Total
3939
Interceptions
98

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 8', Lavelle S. 🟨,
  • 21', 0 - 1, Ellis J. , Biggins H. (A),
  • 32', 1 - 1, Long Ch. , Holicek M. (A),
  • 35', Williams Z. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Williams Z. , Connolly J. ,
  • 54', Neal H. 🟨,
  • 58', Harper C. , Harris K. ,
  • 58', Ellis J. , Jones J. ,
  • 67', Tracey S. , Lankester J. ,
  • 71', Cooney R. , Finney C. ,
  • 72', Long Ch. , Bogle O. ,
  • 79', 1 - 2, Harris K. , Armstrong L. (A),
  • 82', Sadi D. , Burey T. ,
  • 82', Adu Adjei D. , Charters T. ,
  • 83', Tabiner J. , Powell J. ,
  • 84', Breeze G. 🟨,
  • 87', Knight-Lebel J. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Conway M. 🟨,
  • 90+4', 2 - 2, Bogle O. ,
  • 90+6', 🟨,
  • 90+9', 3 - 2, Lankester J. , Conway M. (A),

Chances of winning


Crewe Alexandra
50.6%
Draw
27.2%
Carlisle United
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.2% 27.4% 26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2% 25% 28.9%

Crewe Alexandra - Carlisle United Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.86
(2.02)
3.43
(3.4)
4.28
(3.54)
6.3%
(7.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Crewe Alexandra - Carlisle United?
  • Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Crewe will win (votes: 14 - 66.7%). Carlisle will win (votes: 2 - 9.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 23.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Crewe: 46.5%86.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Crewe won 2.
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • Recently Crewe have a series of guest games.
    • Recently Carlisle have a series of home games.
    • In this match Crewe is a favorite.
    • Last 16 head-to-head matches Crewe won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 18:20 (average 1.1:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Crewe won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:13 (average 1.3:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Crewe Alexandra - Carlisle United were as follows:
    30.11.2024 Carlisle United - Crewe Alexandra 1:1
    29.12.2022 Crewe Alexandra - Carlisle United 0:3
    01.10.2022 Carlisle United - Crewe Alexandra 0:0
    Latest results of Crewe Alexandra
    Latest results of Carlisle United
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Walsall18112528:181035
    2Swindon18104431:24734
    3MK Dons1895435:201532
    4Notts Co1894530:201031
    5Bromley1886428:22630
    6Gillingham1978426:20629
    7Cambridge Utd1885520:16429
    8Salford1892724:25-129
    9Colchester1977528:21728
    10Chesterfield1877432:29328
    11Crewe1883727:24327
    12Grimsby1875632:25726
    13Fleetwood1875627:26126
    14Barnet1867522:19325
    15Tranmere1858530:27323
    16Oldham1858516:13323
    17Accrington1856721:22-121
    18Barrow1855818:23-520
    19Crawley1845922:30-817
    20Shrewsbury1845918:31-1317
    21Bristol Rovers18521115:31-1617
    22Cheltenham18521114:32-1817
    23Harrogate18441017:28-1116
    24Newport18331218:33-1512

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League