Crewe Alexandra vs Carlisle United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
01/01/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: League Two - Round 24
  • Referee: Mather S. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.180.62
Ball Possession
42%58%
Goal Attempts
1813
Shots on Goal
96
Shots off Goal
43
Blocked Shots
54
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
78
Shots inside the Box
127
Shots outside the Box
56
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
21
Goalkeeper Saves
46
Free Kicks
1112
Offsides
21
Fouls
1211
Yellow Cards
34
Throw-ins
2015
Touches in the Opposition Box
2618
Passes
59% (158/270)69% (256/372)
Passes in the final third
59% (55/94)52% (65/124)
Crosses
35% (7/20)25% (6/24)
Tackles
33% (4/12)44% (7/16)
Clearances Total
3939
Interceptions
98

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 8', Lavelle S. 🟨,
  • 21', 0 - 1, Ellis J. , Biggins H. (A),
  • 32', 1 - 1, Long Ch. , Holicek M. (A),
  • 35', Williams Z. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Williams Z. , Connolly J. ,
  • 54', Neal H. 🟨,
  • 58', Harper C. , Harris K. ,
  • 58', Ellis J. , Jones J. ,
  • 67', Tracey S. , Lankester J. ,
  • 71', Cooney R. , Finney C. ,
  • 72', Long Ch. , Bogle O. ,
  • 79', 1 - 2, Harris K. , Armstrong L. (A),
  • 82', Sadi D. , Burey T. ,
  • 82', Adu Adjei D. , Charters T. ,
  • 83', Tabiner J. , Powell J. ,
  • 84', Breeze G. 🟨,
  • 87', Knight-Lebel J. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Conway M. 🟨,
  • 90+4', 2 - 2, Bogle O. ,
  • 90+6', 🟨,
  • 90+9', 3 - 2, Lankester J. , Conway M. (A),

Chances of winning


Crewe Alexandra
50.6%
Draw
27.2%
Carlisle United
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.2% 27.4% 26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2% 25% 28.9%

Crewe Alexandra - Carlisle United Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.86
(2.02)
3.43
(3.4)
4.28
(3.54)
6.3%
(7.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Crewe Alexandra - Carlisle United?
  • Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Crewe will win (votes: 14 - 66.7%). Carlisle will win (votes: 2 - 9.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 23.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Crewe: 46.5%86.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Crewe won 2.
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • Recently Crewe have a series of guest games.
    • Recently Carlisle have a series of home games.
    • In this match Crewe is a favorite.
    • Last 16 head-to-head matches Crewe won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 18:20 (average 1.1:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Crewe won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:13 (average 1.3:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Crewe Alexandra - Carlisle United were as follows:
    30.11.2024 Carlisle United - Crewe Alexandra 1:1
    29.12.2022 Crewe Alexandra - Carlisle United 0:3
    01.10.2022 Carlisle United - Crewe Alexandra 0:0
    Latest results of Crewe Alexandra
    Latest results of Carlisle United
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley30188454:322262
    2Swindon31184952:341858
    3Notts Co30176746:301657
    4Cambridge Utd30168642:241856
    5MK Dons30159659:332654
    6Salford29164941:35652
    7Walsall30147938:31749
    8Grimsby30139842:321048
    9Chesterfield301212649:41848
    10Crewe311381047:38947
    11Barnet301210840:31946
    12Colchester29129843:311245
    13Accrington301271135:31443
    14Gillingham291011840:36441
    15Fleetwood291071238:39-137
    16Oldham28811928:29-135
    17Tranmere30881443:51-832
    18Cheltenham29931729:51-2230
    19Bristol Rovers30831928:50-2227
    20Crawley31681732:51-1926
    21Shrewsbury30681625:50-2526
    22Barrow29661730:46-1624
    23Newport30561929:56-2721
    24Harrogate31562022:50-2821

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League