Result
3:2
01/01/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: League Two - Round 24
- Referee: Mather S. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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2.18 | 0.62 |
Ball Possession |
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42% | 58% |
Goal Attempts |
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18 | 13 |
Shots on Goal |
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9 | 6 |
Shots off Goal |
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4 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
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5 | 4 |
Big Chances |
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4 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
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7 | 8 |
Shots inside the Box |
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12 | 7 |
Shots outside the Box |
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5 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
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2 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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4 | 6 |
Free Kicks |
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11 | 12 |
Offsides |
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2 | 1 |
Fouls |
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12 | 11 |
Yellow Cards |
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3 | 4 |
Throw-ins |
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20 | 15 |
Touches in the Opposition Box |
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26 | 18 |
Passes |
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59% (158/270) | 69% (256/372) |
Passes in the final third |
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59% (55/94) | 52% (65/124) |
Crosses |
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35% (7/20) | 25% (6/24) |
Tackles |
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33% (4/12) | 44% (7/16) |
Clearances Total |
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39 | 39 |
Interceptions |
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9 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 8', Lavelle S. 🟨,
- 21', 0 - 1, Ellis J. ⚽, Biggins H. (A),
- 32', 1 - 1, Long Ch. ⚽, Holicek M. (A),
- 35', Williams Z. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Williams Z. ↓, Connolly J. ↑,
- 54', Neal H. 🟨,
- 58', Harper C. ↓, Harris K. ↑,
- 58', Ellis J. ↓, Jones J. ↑,
- 67', Tracey S. ↓, Lankester J. ↑,
- 71', Cooney R. ↓, Finney C. ↑,
- 72', Long Ch. ↓, Bogle O. ↑,
- 79', 1 - 2, Harris K. ⚽, Armstrong L. (A),
- 82', Sadi D. ↓, Burey T. ↑,
- 82', Adu Adjei D. ↓, Charters T. ↑,
- 83', Tabiner J. ↓, Powell J. ↑,
- 84', Breeze G. 🟨,
- 87', Knight-Lebel J. 🟨,
- 90+2', Conway M. 🟨,
- 90+4', 2 - 2, Bogle O. ⚽,
- 90+6', 🟨,
- 90+9', 3 - 2, Lankester J. ⚽, Conway M. (A),
Chances of winning
Crewe Alexandra 50.6% | Draw 27.2% | Carlisle United 22.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crewe Alexandra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)Carlisle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (-8.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Crewe Alexandra that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carlisle United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Crewe Alexandra - Carlisle United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.86 ↓ (2.02) |
3.43 ↑ (3.4) |
4.28 ↑ (3.54) |
6.3% (7.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Crewe Alexandra - Carlisle United?
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Crewe will win (votes: 14 - 66.7%). Carlisle will win (votes: 2 - 9.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 23.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Crewe: 46.5% – 86.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Crewe won 2.
- Both teams are now playing unstable.
- Recently Crewe have a series of guest games.
- Recently Carlisle have a series of home games.
- In this match Crewe is a favorite.
- Last 16 head-to-head matches Crewe won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 18:20 (average 1.1:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Crewe won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:13 (average 1.3:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Crewe Alexandra won against Carlisle United?
Crewe Alexandra has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Carlisle United won against Crewe Alexandra?
Carlisle United has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Crewe Alexandra - Carlisle United were as follows:
30.11.2024
Carlisle United
-
Crewe Alexandra
1:1
29.12.2022
Crewe Alexandra
-
Carlisle United
0:3
01.10.2022
Carlisle United
-
Crewe Alexandra
0:0
Latest results of Crewe Alexandra
Latest results of Carlisle United
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Colchester | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Bristol Rovers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Cheltenham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Crewe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Gillingham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Oldham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Swindon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Tranmere | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Walsall | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Accrington | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Barnet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Chesterfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Grimsby | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | MK Dons | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Notts Co | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Shrewsbury | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Cambridge Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Crawley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
19 | Barrow | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
20 | Bromley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
21 | Newport | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
22 | Harrogate | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
23 | Fleetwood | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
24 | Salford | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ League Two
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League