Carrarese vs Juve Stabia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie B Carrarese - Juve Stabia
Result
3:0
05/10/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B - Round 7
  • Referee: Tremolada P. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.461.07
Ball Possession
35%65%
Total shots
1015
Shots on target
62
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
53
Passes
76% (225/298)88% (484/548)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
1.461.07
xG on target (xGOT)
1.930.23
Total shots
1015
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
27
Blocked Shots
26
Shots inside the Box
86
Shots outside the Box
29
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
1922
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
14
Free Kicks
1913
Passes
76% (225/298)88% (484/548)
Long passes
58% (38/65)58% (25/43)
Passes in final third
54% (32/59)71% (91/128)
Crosses
42% (5/12)18% (4/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.340.76
Throw-ins
1727
Fouls
1319
Tackles
85% (11/13)83% (5/6)
Duels won
5240
Clearances
2215
Interceptions
64
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
0.231.93
Goals prevented
0.23-1.07

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 10', 1 - 0, Schiavi N. (Pen),
  • 25', Maistro F. 🟨,
  • 38', Bouah D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Reale F. , Piscopo K. ,
  • 52', Bouah D. , Zanon S. ,
  • 52', Sekulov N. , Finotto M. ,
  • 57', Mosti N. 🟨,
  • 61', Imperiale M. 🟨,
  • 67', Ruggero M. , Stabile G. ,
  • 67', Carissoni L. , Duca E. ,
  • 68', Calabrese N. , Bozhanaj K. ,
  • 68', Zuelli E. , Oliana F. ,
  • 75', Maistro F. , De Pieri G. ,
  • 76', 2 - 0, Hasa L. , Finotto M. (A),
  • 79', Mosti N. , Zuccon F. ,
  • 83', Abiuso F. , Torregrossa E. ,
  • 86', 3 - 0, Zanon S. , Hasa L. (A),
  • 90+1', De Pieri G. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Leone G. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Carrarese
41.9%
Draw
30.9%
Juve Stabia
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.6% 29.1% 33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9% 30.1% 32.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Carrarese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • Juve Stabia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juve Stabia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juve Stabia than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juve Stabia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Carrarese - Juve Stabia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.35
    (2.49)
    3.22
    (3.22)
    3.78
    (2.82)
    0.2%
    (6.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Carrarese - Juve Stabia?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Carrarese will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Juve Stabia will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.2%92%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Recent performances by Carrarese have been up and down (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Juve Stabia is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Juve Stabia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Carrarese: Mazzini S. (Shoulder Injury)
    • There will not play in Juve Stabia: Battistella T. (Knee Injury) Ciammaglichella A. (Overload) Mannini M. (International duty) Morachioli G. (Lacking Match Fitness)
    • There are questionable in Juve Stabia: Candellone L. (Injury) Gabrielloni A. (Injury)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Carrarese won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Carrarese won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Carrarese - Juve Stabia were as follows:
    25.01.2025 Juve Stabia - Carrarese 2:1
    02.11.2024 Carrarese - Juve Stabia 0:0
    Latest results of Carrarese
    01.10.2025 Carrarese - Modena 0:0
    28.09.2025 Empoli - Carrarese 2:2
    21.09.2025 Carrarese - Avellino 3:4
    13.09.2025 Catanzaro - Carrarese 1:1
    31.08.2025 Carrarese - Padova 0:0
    Latest results of Juve Stabia
    30.09.2025 Juve Stabia - Mantova 2:1
    26.09.2025 Catanzaro - Juve Stabia 2:2
    20.09.2025 Spezia - Juve Stabia 1:3
    13.09.2025 Juve Stabia - Reggiana 0:0
    30.08.2025 Juve Stabia - Venezia 0:0
    Italian Serie B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Modena853014:41018
    2Palermo844010:4616
    3Frosinone842213:8514
    4Cesena842213:11214
    5Monza84228:6214
    6Venezia834111:6513
    7Juve Stabia834110:8213
    8Reggiana833213:11212
    9Avellino833211:11012
    10Carrarese825113:9411
    11Sudtirol824212:11110
    12Empoli824211:14-310
    13Entella82339:11-29
    14Padova72237:9-28
    15Catanzaro70617:8-16
    16Pescara813413:16-36
    17Bari81348:15-76
    18Sampdoria81258:13-55
    19Mantova81256:14-85
    20Spezia80355:13-83

          Promotion ~ Serie A
          Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Serie B (Play Out: )
          Relegation