Result
3:0
05/10/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 7
- Referee: Tremolada P. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 1.07 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 35% | 65% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (225/298) | 88% (484/548) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 1.07 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.93 | 0.23 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (225/298) | 88% (484/548) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (38/65) | 58% (25/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (32/59) | 71% (91/128) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 42% (5/12) | 18% (4/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.34 | 0.76 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 85% (11/13) | 83% (5/6) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.23 | 1.93 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.23 | -1.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 10', 1 - 0, Schiavi N. (Pen),
- 25', Maistro F. 🟨,
- 38', Bouah D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Reale F. ↓, Piscopo K. ↑,
- 52', Bouah D. ↓, Zanon S. ↑,
- 52', Sekulov N. ↓, Finotto M. ↑,
- 57', Mosti N. 🟨,
- 61', Imperiale M. 🟨,
- 67', Ruggero M. ↓, Stabile G. ↑,
- 67', Carissoni L. ↓, Duca E. ↑,
- 68', Calabrese N. ↓, Bozhanaj K. ↑,
- 68', Zuelli E. ↓, Oliana F. ↑,
- 75', Maistro F. ↓, De Pieri G. ↑,
- 76', 2 - 0, Hasa L. ⚽, Finotto M. (A),
- 79', Mosti N. ↓, Zuccon F. ↑,
- 83', Abiuso F. ↓, Torregrossa E. ↑,
- 86', 3 - 0, Zanon S. ⚽, Hasa L. (A),
- 90+1', De Pieri G. 🟨,
- 90+3', Leone G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Carrarese
41.9% | Draw
30.9% | Juve Stabia
27.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carrarese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)Juve Stabia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juve Stabia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (-3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juve Stabia than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juve Stabia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Carrarese - Juve Stabia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.35 ↓
(2.49) |
3.22
(3.22) |
3.78 ↑
(2.82) |
0.2%
(6.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Carrarese - Juve Stabia?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Carrarese will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Juve Stabia will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.2% – 92%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Recent performances by Carrarese have been up and down (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Juve Stabia is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Juve Stabia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Carrarese: Mazzini S.
(Shoulder Injury)
- There will not play in Juve Stabia: Battistella T.
(Knee Injury)
Ciammaglichella A.
(Overload)
Mannini M.
(International duty)
Morachioli G.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
- There are questionable in Juve Stabia: Candellone L.
(Injury)
Gabrielloni A.
(Injury)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Carrarese won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Carrarese won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Carrarese won against Juve Stabia?
Carrarese has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Juve Stabia won against Carrarese?
Juve Stabia has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Carrarese - Juve Stabia were as follows:
25.01.2025
Juve Stabia
-
Carrarese
2:1
02.11.2024
Carrarese
-
Juve Stabia
0:0
Latest results of Carrarese
Latest results of Juve Stabia
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Modena | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 14:4 | 10 | 18 |
| 2 | Palermo | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 16 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:8 | 5 | 14 |
| 4 | Cesena | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:11 | 2 | 14 |
| 5 | Monza | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 14 |
| 6 | Venezia | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 11:6 | 5 | 13 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 13 |
| 8 | Reggiana | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:11 | 2 | 12 |
| 9 | Avellino | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:11 | 0 | 12 |
| 10 | Carrarese | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 13:9 | 4 | 11 |
| 11 | Sudtirol | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12:11 | 1 | 10 |
| 12 | Empoli | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 11:14 | -3 | 10 |
| 13 | Entella | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 9 |
| 14 | Padova | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 8 |
| 15 | Catanzaro | 7 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 7:8 | -1 | 6 |
| 16 | Pescara | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 13:16 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Bari | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:15 | -7 | 6 |
| 18 | Sampdoria | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8:13 | -5 | 5 |
| 19 | Mantova | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6:14 | -8 | 5 |
| 20 | Spezia | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5:13 | -8 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
