Result
1:1
14/03/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 30
- Referee: Tremolada P. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 1.25 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (351/427) | 74% (249/335) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 1.25 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 1.92 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (351/427) | 74% (249/335) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 30% (16/53) | 36% (22/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (67/96) | 58% (53/91) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (5/20) | 15% (3/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 0.26 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 73% (8/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.92 | 1.34 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.92 | 0.34 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 26', Oliana F. 🟨,
- 33', 1 - 0, Mosti N. ⚽,
- 45+3', Confente A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Melegoni F. ↓, Parlanti G. ↑,
- 66', Finotto M. ↓, Torregrossa E. ↑,
- 68', Burnete R. ↓, Okoro A. ↑,
- 77', 1 - 1, Torregrossa E. (Penalty Awarded),
- 78', Ricciardi M. ↓, Mannini M. ↑,
- 78', Diakite S. ↓, Varnier M. ↑,
- 79', Bellich M. ↓, Dalle Mura C. ↑,
- 80', Gabrielloni A. 🟨,
- 83', Rouhi J. ↓, Bouah D. ↑,
- 88', Mosti N. ↓, Torrasi E. ↑,
- 90', Abiuso F. ↓, Lordkipanidze D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Juve Stabia
46.1% | Draw
29.9% | Carrarese
23.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Juve Stabia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)Carrarese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juve Stabia than the current prediction. (-8.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Juve Stabia that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (+8.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carrarese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Juve Stabia - Carrarese Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.05 ↓
(2.17) |
3.12 ↓
(3.2) |
3.87 ↑
(3.26) |
6.6%
(8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Juve Stabia - Carrarese?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Juve Stabia will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Carrarese will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 64.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 39.2% – 89.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Juve Stabia (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 5 - 83.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12).
- The current form of both teams is below expectations.
- Juve Stabia will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Juve Stabia: Battistella T.
(Knee Injury)
Bellich M.
(Inactive)
Cacciamani A.
(Yellow Cards)
Candellone L.
(Injury)
Confente A.
(Inactive)
Maistro F.
(Inactive)
Morachioli G.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Pierobon C.
(Red Card)
Varnier M.
(Inactive)
Zeroli K.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Carrarese: Salamon B.
(Inactive)
Schiavi N.
(Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Juve Stabia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Juve Stabia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Juve Stabia won against Carrarese?
Juve Stabia has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Carrarese won against Juve Stabia?
Carrarese has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Juve Stabia - Carrarese were as follows:
05.10.2025
Carrarese
-
Juve Stabia
3:0
25.01.2025
Juve Stabia
-
Carrarese
2:1
02.11.2024
Carrarese
-
Juve Stabia
0:0
Latest results of Juve Stabia
Latest results of Carrarese
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 31 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 63:26 | 37 | 67 |
| 2 | Monza | 31 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 49:25 | 24 | 64 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 31 | 17 | 11 | 3 | 59:31 | 28 | 62 |
| 4 | Palermo | 31 | 16 | 10 | 5 | 51:27 | 24 | 58 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 48:35 | 13 | 52 |
| 6 | Modena | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 40:24 | 16 | 47 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 31 | 9 | 15 | 7 | 35:37 | -2 | 42 |
| 8 | Cesena | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38:46 | -8 | 40 |
| 9 | Avellino | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 36:49 | -13 | 39 |
| 10 | Sudtirol | 31 | 8 | 14 | 9 | 33:32 | 1 | 38 |
| 11 | Carrarese | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 38:42 | -4 | 36 |
| 12 | Padova | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 32:42 | -10 | 34 |
| 13 | Mantova | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 35:46 | -11 | 34 |
| 14 | Empoli | 31 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 39:45 | -6 | 33 |
| 15 | Sampdoria | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 29:42 | -13 | 31 |
| 16 | Bari | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 30:47 | -17 | 31 |
| 17 | Entella | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 28:45 | -17 | 31 |
| 18 | Spezia | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 30:43 | -13 | 30 |
| 19 | Reggiana | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 30:46 | -16 | 30 |
| 20 | Pescara | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 41:54 | -13 | 29 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
