Catanzaro vs Juve Stabia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie B Catanzaro - Juve Stabia
Result
2:2
26/09/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B - Round 5
  • Referee: Sacchi J. L. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.751.20
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
194
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
70
Passes
87% (380/437)81% (252/311)
Yellow Cards
26
Red Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
1.751.20
xG on target (xGOT)
1.681.49
Total shots
194
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
71
Blocked Shots
81
Shots inside the Box
143
Shots outside the Box
51
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
70
Touches in opposition box
4111
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
25
Free Kicks
1712
Passes
87% (380/437)81% (252/311)
Long passes
47% (15/32)32% (16/50)
Passes in final third
74% (108/145)60% (42/70)
Crosses
37% (16/43)50% (2/4)
Expected assists (xA)
1.310.18
Throw-ins
229
Fouls
1217
Tackles
50% (5/10)80% (4/5)
Duels won
4435
Clearances
1344
Interceptions
35
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
01
xGOT faced
1.491.68
Goals prevented
-0.51-0.32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 19', Bettella D. 🟨,
  • 21', 0 - 1, Gabrielloni A. (Pen),
  • 25', Cacciamani A. 🟨,
  • 30', Matias Antonini 🟨,
  • 36', Pierobon C. 🟨,
  • 44', 0 - 2, Carissoni L. , Gabrielloni A. (A),
  • 45+1', Cacciamani A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Bettella D. , Verrengia B. ,
  • 46', Matias Antonini , Petriccione J. ,
  • 46', Rispoli F. , Di Francesco F. ,
  • 46', Pierobon C. , Reale F. ,
  • 46', Maistro F. , Mosti N. ,
  • 53', 1 - 2, Verrengia B. , Pontisso S. (A),
  • 63', Gabrielloni A. , Burnete R. ,
  • 64', Burnete R. 🟨,
  • 68', Pandolfi L. , Pittarello F. ,
  • 71', 2 - 2, Iemmello P. , Pittarello F. (A),
  • 72', Carissoni L. 🟨,
  • 73', Maistro F. 🟥,
  • 76', Stabile G. , Bellich M. ,
  • 76', Carissoni L. , Piscopo K. ,
  • 84', Pontisso S. , Oudin R. ,
  • 90+4', Piscopo K. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Catanzaro
26.2%
Draw
31.8%
Juve Stabia
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.1% 29.7% 36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9% 29.5% 36.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Catanzaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Catanzaro's form might have worsened.
  • Juve Stabia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Juve Stabia's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Catanzaro than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Catanzaro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juve Stabia than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Juve Stabia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Catanzaro - Juve Stabia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.04
    (2.7)
    3.23
    (3.1)
    2.35
    (2.55)
    -1.6%
    (8.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Catanzaro - Juve Stabia?
  • Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Catanzaro will win (votes: 6 - 20%). Juve Stabia will win (votes: 13 - 43.3%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 36.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Juve Stabia: 25.6%61%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Catanzaro (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Juve Stabia (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Catanzaro won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Catanzaro: Di Francesco F. (Inactive) Pompetti M. (Shin Injury)
    • There will not play in Juve Stabia: Battistella T. (Knee Injury) Bellich M. (Overload) Ciammaglichella A. (Overload) Morachioli G. (Lacking Match Fitness)
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Catanzaro won 5 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:21. (average 1.1:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Catanzaro won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 0.9:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Catanzaro - Juve Stabia were as follows:
    01.05.2025 Juve Stabia - Catanzaro 2:0
    25.08.2024 Catanzaro - Juve Stabia 0:0
    25.02.2023 Juve Stabia - Catanzaro 1:4
    22.10.2022 Catanzaro - Juve Stabia 2:0
    Latest results of Catanzaro
    20.09.2025 Reggiana - Catanzaro 2:2
    13.09.2025 Catanzaro - Carrarese 1:1
    30.08.2025 Spezia - Catanzaro 0:0
    15.08.2025 Sassuolo - Catanzaro 1:0
    Latest results of Juve Stabia
    20.09.2025 Spezia - Juve Stabia 1:3
    13.09.2025 Juve Stabia - Reggiana 0:0
    30.08.2025 Juve Stabia - Venezia 0:0
    15.08.2025 Lecce - Juve Stabia 2:0
    Italian Serie B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Frosinone532010:3711
    2Palermo53207:2511
    3Cesena53209:5411
    4Modena43109:2710
    5Avellino53119:7210
    6Sudtirol52219:728
    7Venezia52217:528
    8Juve Stabia51406:427
    9Monza52124:407
    10Padova52124:5-17
    11Carrarese41216:515
    12Catanzaro50506:605
    13Reggiana51227:8-15
    14Entella51224:6-25
    15Pescara41128:714
    16Empoli41125:9-44
    17Mantova51044:11-73
    18Bari50233:9-62
    19Spezia50232:8-62
    20Sampdoria50143:9-61

          Promotion ~ Serie A
          Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Serie B (Play Out: )
          Relegation