Result
0:1
19/10/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 8
- Referee: Galipo S. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.83 | 1.11 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (355/448) | 71% (248/348) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.83 | 1.11 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 2.09 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (355/448) | 71% (248/348) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (19/45) | 21% (14/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (93/150) | 49% (36/74) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (12/32) | 27% (3/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 0.25 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (5/6) | 68% (17/25) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 66 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 50 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.09 | 0.73 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.09 | 0.73 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 28', Verrengia B. ↓, Di Chiara G. ↑,
- 32', 0 - 1, Perrotta M. ⚽, Barreca A. (A),
- 35', Iemmello P. (Pen),
- 39', Cassandro T. 🟨,
- 45+2', Pontisso S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Oudin R. ↓, Rispoli F. ↑,
- 46', Pontisso S. ↓, Pittarello F. ↑,
- 48', Brighenti N. 🟨,
- 57', Fusi P. 🟨,
- 59', Cassandro T. ↓, Nuamah P. ↑,
- 62', Lasagna K. ↓, Buonaiuto C. ↑,
- 62', Fusi P. ↓, Harder J. ↑,
- 67', Fortin M. 🟨,
- 70', Crisetig L. ↓, Di Maggio L. ↑,
- 72', Buonaiuto C. 🟨,
- 74', Sgarbi F. 🟨,
- 79', Favasuli C. ↓, D'Alessandro M. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/3cpvr3mk
Chances of winning
Catanzaro
34.8% | Draw
31.9% | Padova
33.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Catanzaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Catanzaro's form might have worsened.Padova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Padova's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Catanzaro than the current prediction. (+9.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Catanzaro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Padova than the current prediction. (-7.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Padova, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Catanzaro - Padova Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.96 ↑
(2.09) |
3.1 ↓
(3.17) |
2.89 ↓
(3.66) |
0.6%
(6.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Catanzaro - Padova?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Catanzaro will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Padova will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 64.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 39.2% – 89.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Padova (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 15 and 14).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Catanzaro could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Catanzaro: Pompetti M.
(Shin Injury)
- There will not play in Padova: Bacci J.
(Muscle Injury)
Baselli D.
(Muscle Injury)
Capelli A.
(Red Card)
Papu Gomez
(Suspended)
Pastina C.
(Knock)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Catanzaro won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.5:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Catanzaro won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Catanzaro won against Padova?
Catanzaro has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Padova won against Catanzaro?
Padova has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Catanzaro - Padova were as follows:
Latest results of Catanzaro
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Modena | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 16:5 | 11 | 21 |
| 2 | Monza | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 17 |
| 3 | Cesena | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 14:11 | 3 | 17 |
| 4 | Palermo | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 10:5 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | Frosinone | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 14:9 | 5 | 15 |
| 6 | Carrarese | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 16:11 | 5 | 14 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 12:10 | 2 | 14 |
| 8 | Venezia | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 13 |
| 9 | Reggiana | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:14 | 0 | 12 |
| 10 | Padova | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 12 |
| 11 | Avellino | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11:15 | -4 | 12 |
| 12 | Sudtirol | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 10 |
| 13 | Entella | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 10 |
| 14 | Empoli | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12:16 | -4 | 10 |
| 15 | Catanzaro | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 9 |
| 16 | Bari | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9:15 | -6 | 9 |
| 17 | Pescara | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 14:17 | -3 | 7 |
| 18 | Spezia | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 6 |
| 19 | Sampdoria | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9:14 | -5 | 6 |
| 20 | Mantova | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6:15 | -9 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
