Result
1:3
03/10/2025 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Nacional - Apertura - Round 13
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Honduras | Deportes TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 13', Anderson I. 🟨,
- 19', 0 - 1, Messiniti N. ⚽,
- 34', 0 - 2, Messiniti N. (Pen),
- 45+1', Medrano Y. ↓, Lacayo J. ↑,
- 45+1', Matute K. ↓, Canales M. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', 0 - 3, Messiniti N. ⚽,
- 46', Hurtado L. 🟨,
- 54', Garcia A. 🟨,
- 65', Messiniti N. ↓, Castillo R. ↑,
- 66', Sacaza C. 🟨,
- 68', 1 - 3, Villafranca J. ⚽,
- 68', Hurtado L. ↓, Fernandez C. ↑,
- 69', Altamirano C. ↓, Gaboriell N. ↑,
- 70', Fernandez C. 🟨,
- 73', Samudio C. 🟨,
- 75', Sacaza C. ↓, Sevilla C. ↑,
- 78', Villafranca J. 🟨,
- 88', Fernandez J. ↓, Bodden K. ↑,
- 89', Villafranca J. ↓, Mendoza O. ↑,
- 90', Canales M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Juticalpa
19.2% | Draw
30% | CD Marathón
50.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Juticalpa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Juticalpa's form might have worsened.CD Marathón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting CD Marathón's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juticalpa than the current prediction. (+10.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Juticalpa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for CD Marathón than the current prediction. (-7.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for CD Marathón, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Juticalpa - CD Marathón Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.68 ↑
(2.99) |
3.05 ↓
(3.37) |
1.8 ↓
(2.11) |
9.8%
(10.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Juticalpa - CD Marathón?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Marathón will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Triangulares: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juticalpa won 0.
- Recent performances by Juticalpa have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Marathón is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Marathón may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Marathón will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Juticalpa won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 22:41. (average 1.1:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Juticalpa won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Juticalpa won against CD Marathón?
Juticalpa has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has CD Marathón won against Juticalpa?
CD Marathón has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Juticalpa - CD Marathón were as follows:
27.07.2025
CD Marathón
-
Juticalpa
7:0
06.03.2025
CD Marathón
-
Juticalpa
4:0
19.01.2025
Juticalpa
-
CD Marathón
0:0
20.10.2024
Juticalpa
-
CD Marathón
1:1
10.08.2024
CD Marathón
-
Juticalpa
4:1
Latest results of Juticalpa
Latest results of CD Marathón
Honduras Liga Nacional Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 28:14 | 14 | 27 |
| 2 | Marathon | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 26:11 | 15 | 23 |
| 3 | Olancho | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 26:17 | 9 | 21 |
| 4 | Real Espana | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:14 | 4 | 18 |
| 5 | Motagua | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 21:19 | 2 | 18 |
| 6 | UPNFM | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 19:21 | -2 | 16 |
| 7 | Platense | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 20:15 | 5 | 15 |
| 8 | Juticalpa | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 15:21 | -6 | 13 |
| 9 | Genesis | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 16:22 | -6 | 9 |
| 10 | Choloma | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 12:32 | -20 | 7 |
| 11 | Victoria | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 12:27 | -15 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Triangulares: )
