Result
2:2
18/09/2025 at 19:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Nacional - Apertura - Round 10
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Honduras | Deportes TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 27', 1 - 0, Baquedano M. ⚽,
- 35', Martinez Hernandez F. E. 🟨,
- 35', Garcia F. 🟨,
- 36', Mejia G. 🟨,
- 37', 1 - 1, Messiniti N. (Pen),
- 39', Garcia R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Ponce J. ↓, Lopez L. ↑,
- 46', Garcia F. ↓, Lopez E. ↑,
- 46', Anderson I. 🟨,
- 53', 2 - 1, Garcia R. (Pen),
- 57', 2 - 2, Messiniti N. (Pen),
- 59', Messiniti N. 🟨,
- 62', Mejia G. ↓, Morales M. ↑,
- 66', Fernandez J. ↓, Ramos O. ↑,
- 71', Baquedano M. ↓, Martinez G. ↑,
- 81', Ramirez D. ↓, Sorto Caballero T. A. ↑,
- 82', Pena K. ↓, Hernandez A. ↑,
- 87', Aguilera J. 🟨,
- 88', Castillo I. ↓, Bueso J. ↑,
- 88', Aguilera J. ↓, Bodden K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Lobos UPNFM
28.8% | Draw
29.7% | CD Marathón
41.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lobos UPNFM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lobos UPNFM's performance.CD Marathón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and CD Marathón might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lobos UPNFM than the current prediction. (-6.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lobos UPNFM that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for CD Marathón than the current prediction. (+8.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that CD Marathón could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Lobos UPNFM - CD Marathón Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.3 ↓
(4.06) |
3.45 ↑
(3.2) |
2.64 ↑
(1.85) |
-2.8%
(9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Triangulares: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lobos UPNFM won 2.
- Lobos UPNFM has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Marathón is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Lobos UPNFM may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Marathón is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lobos UPNFM won 4 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 24:37. (average 1.2:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lobos UPNFM won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1.1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Lobos UPNFM won against CD Marathón?
Lobos UPNFM has won 4 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has CD Marathón won against Lobos UPNFM?
CD Marathón has won 4 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lobos UPNFM - CD Marathón were as follows:
03.05.2025
Lobos UPNFM
-
CD Marathón
0:0
01.03.2025
CD Marathón
-
Lobos UPNFM
3:3
26.10.2024
CD Marathón
-
Lobos UPNFM
1:2
17.08.2024
Lobos UPNFM
-
CD Marathón
2:0
09.03.2024
Lobos UPNFM
-
CD Marathón
0:1
Latest results of Lobos UPNFM
Latest results of CD Marathón
Honduras Liga Nacional Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 28:14 | 14 | 27 |
| 2 | Marathon | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 26:11 | 15 | 23 |
| 3 | Olancho | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 26:17 | 9 | 21 |
| 4 | Real Espana | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:14 | 4 | 18 |
| 5 | Motagua | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 21:19 | 2 | 18 |
| 6 | UPNFM | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 19:21 | -2 | 16 |
| 7 | Platense | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 20:15 | 5 | 15 |
| 8 | Juticalpa | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 15:21 | -6 | 13 |
| 9 | Genesis | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 16:22 | -6 | 9 |
| 10 | Choloma | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 12:32 | -20 | 7 |
| 11 | Victoria | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 12:27 | -15 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Triangulares: )
