Result
0:0
03/05/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 18
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Honduras | Deportes TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 30', Garcia R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Sevilla C. ↓, Miranda J. ↑,
- 46', Tejeda A. ↓, Zuniga Bernardez C. J. ↑,
- 46', Dolmo ↓, Flores R. ↑,
- 46', Garcia R. ↓, Ponce J. ↑,
- 62', Elvir S. 🟨,
- 63', Castillo I. ↓, Sacaza C. ↑,
- 63', Aguilera J. ↓, Bodden K. ↑,
- 64', Rochez C. ↓, Aceituno M. ↑,
- 77', Aguila R. ↓, Bueso J. ↑,
- 77', Vasquez E. 🟨,
- 78', Bueso J. 🟨,
- 90', Rodas Andrino G. J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Lobos UPNFM
27.4% | Draw
29.2% | CD Marathón
43.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lobos UPNFM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)CD Marathón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lobos UPNFM than the current prediction. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for CD Marathón than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that CD Marathón could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Lobos UPNFM - CD Marathón Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.34 ↓
(3.48) |
3.13 ↓
(3.46) |
2.11 ↑
(1.95) |
9.4%
(9.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 8 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lobos UPNFM won 2.
- In recent matches, Lobos UPNFM has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Marathón is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Marathón might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lobos UPNFM won 4 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 28:41. (average 1.4:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lobos UPNFM won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1.2:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Lobos UPNFM won against CD Marathón?
Lobos UPNFM has won 4 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has CD Marathón won against Lobos UPNFM?
CD Marathón has won 4 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lobos UPNFM - CD Marathón were as follows:
01.03.2025
CD Marathón
-
Lobos UPNFM
3:3
26.10.2024
CD Marathón
-
Lobos UPNFM
1:2
17.08.2024
Lobos UPNFM
-
CD Marathón
2:0
09.03.2024
Lobos UPNFM
-
CD Marathón
0:1
20.01.2024
CD Marathón
-
Lobos UPNFM
3:1
Latest results of Lobos UPNFM
Latest results of CD Marathón
Honduras Liga Nacional Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11:2 | 9 | 9 |
| 2 | Marathon | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10:1 | 9 | 6 |
| 3 | Platense | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | 4 | 6 |
| 4 | Real Espana | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | Olancho | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 6 | UPNFM | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 4 |
| 7 | Juticalpa | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:8 | -6 | 4 |
| 8 | Genesis | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Choloma | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4:9 | -5 | 1 |
| 10 | Motagua | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
| 11 | Victoria | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:10 | -10 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
