Result
 
                    2:2
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        18/09/2025 at  19:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Liga Nacional - Apertura - Round 10
- Where to Watch on TV: 
                    
|  |  | 
|---|
|  Honduras | Deportes TV | 
 
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
|  |  | 
|---|
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 47% | 53% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 12 | 10 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 6 | 7 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 5 | 0 | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 3 | 4 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 12 | 10 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 6 | 7 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 6 | 3 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 5 | 0 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 27', 1 - 0, Baquedano M. ⚽, 
- 35', Martinez Hernandez F. E. 🟨, 
- 35', Garcia F. 🟨, 
- 36', Mejia G. 🟨, 
- 37', 1 - 1, Messiniti N. (Pen), 
- 39', Garcia R. 🟨, 
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Ponce J. ↓, Lopez L. ↑, 
- 46', Garcia F. ↓, Lopez E. ↑, 
- 46', Anderson I. 🟨, 
- 53', 2 - 1, Garcia R. (Pen), 
- 57', 2 - 2, Messiniti N. (Pen), 
- 59', Messiniti N. 🟨, 
- 62', Mejia G. ↓, Morales M. ↑, 
- 66', Fernandez J. ↓, Ramos O. ↑, 
- 71', Baquedano M. ↓, Martinez G. ↑, 
- 81', Ramirez D. ↓, Sorto Caballero T. A. ↑, 
- 82', Pena K. ↓, Hernandez A. ↑, 
- 87', Aguilera J. 🟨, 
- 88', Castillo I. ↓, Bueso J. ↑, 
- 88', Aguilera J. ↓, Bodden K. ↑, 
  
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | Lobos UPNFM 28.8%
 | Draw 29.7%
 | CD Marathón 41.5%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Lobos UPNFM - CD Marathón Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 3.54 ↓ (4.06)
 | 3.43 ↑ (3.2)
 | 2.46 ↑ (1.85)
 | -1.9% (9.9%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Triangulares: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lobos UPNFM won 2.
- Lobos UPNFM has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Marathón is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Lobos UPNFM may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Marathón is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lobos UPNFM won 4 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 24:37. (average 1.2:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lobos UPNFM won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1.1:1.3).                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Lobos UPNFM won against CD Marathón?
                    
                    
                        
                            Lobos UPNFM has won 4 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has CD Marathón won against Lobos UPNFM?
                    
                    
                        
                             CD Marathón has won 4 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Lobos UPNFM - CD Marathón were as follows:
                                                        
                                03.05.2025 
                                Lobos UPNFM 
                                - 
                                CD Marathón 
                                0:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                01.03.2025 
                                CD Marathón 
                                - 
                                Lobos UPNFM 
                                3:3
                            
        
                                                        
                                26.10.2024 
                                CD Marathón 
                                - 
                                Lobos UPNFM 
                                1:2
                            
        
                                                        
                                17.08.2024 
                                Lobos UPNFM 
                                - 
                                CD Marathón 
                                2:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                09.03.2024 
                                Lobos UPNFM 
                                - 
                                CD Marathón 
                                0:1
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Lobos UPNFM                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of CD Marathón                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Honduras Liga Nacional Table
2025/26|  |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Olimpia | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 34:17 | 17 | 34 | 
| 2 | Marathon | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 30:11 | 19 | 30 | 
| 3 | Olancho | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 28:20 | 8 | 22 | 
| 4 | Real Espana | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 22:16 | 6 | 22 | 
| 5 | UPNFM | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 22:27 | -5 | 20 | 
| 6 | Platense | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 23:16 | 7 | 19 | 
| 7 | Motagua | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 23:22 | 1 | 19 | 
| 8 | Juticalpa | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 18:25 | -7 | 17 | 
| 9 | Choloma | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 19:38 | -19 | 11 | 
| 10 | Genesis | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 18:27 | -9 | 10 | 
| 11 | Victoria | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 12:30 | -18 | 5 | 
      Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Triangulares: )