Cerezo Osaka vs Avispa Fukuoka – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J1 League Cerezo Osaka - Avispa Fukuoka
Result
2:0
24/05/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 18
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaOptus Sport
chinaChinaQQ Sports
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.900.96
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
1413
Shots on target
84
Big Chances
53
Corner Kicks
45
Passes
84% (448/533)75% (257/344)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
1.900.96
xG on target (xGOT)
3.110.54
Total shots
1413
Shots on target
84
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
104
Shots outside the Box
49
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
53
Corner Kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
2820
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1911
Passes
84% (448/533)75% (257/344)
Long passes
24% (10/42)27% (12/45)
Passes in final third
70% (86/122)65% (100/155)
Crosses
36% (4/11)16% (3/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.440.65
Throw-ins
2222
Fouls
1119
Tackles
71% (5/7)56% (10/18)
Duels won
5148
Clearances
3721
Interceptions
814
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
46
xGOT faced
0.543.11
Goals prevented
0.541.11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 20', Tashiro M. 🟨,
  • 33', Matsuoka D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Tashiro M. , Hashimoto Y. ,
  • 46', Nishio R. , Sakata R. ,
  • 50', Maejima Y. 🟨,
  • 53', Fernandes L. 🟨,
  • 64', Kitano S. 🟨,
  • 67', Kitano S. , Shibayama M. ,
  • 67', Kida H. , Nakajima M. ,
  • 68', Fujimoto K. , Shigemi M. ,
  • 68', Maejima Y. , Yuzawa M. ,
  • 75', Kagawa S. 🟨,
  • 79', Kagawa S. , Uejo S. ,
  • 79', Konno K. , Maeda I. ,
  • 84', 1 - 0, Shibayama M. , Nakajima M. (A),
  • 86', Shichi T. , Wellington ,
  • 90+3', Fernandes L. , Funaki K. ,
  • 90+8', 2 - 0, Rafael Ratao , Sakata R. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cerezo Osaka
42.8%
Draw
29%
Avispa Fukuoka
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.9% 29% 30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3% 28.7% 29.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cerezo Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • Avispa Fukuoka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerezo Osaka than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • Cerezo Osaka - Avispa Fukuoka Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.2
    (2.31)
    3.24
    (3.26)
    3.34
    (3.13)
    6.3%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Cerezo Osaka - Avispa Fukuoka?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Cerezo Osaka will win (votes: 15 - 78.9%). Avispa Fukuoka will win (votes: 3 - 15.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Cerezo Osaka: 60.6%97.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cerezo Osaka will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 3.
    • Cerezo Osaka is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Avispa Fukuoka is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Cerezo Osaka has had a series of away games.
    • Cerezo Osaka could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Cerezo Osaka: Hirano Y. (Knee Injury) Homma S. (Injury) Tanaka S. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Avispa Fukuoka: Hisashi J. (Knee Injury) Ikeda J. (Knee Injury) Oda I. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cerezo Osaka won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cerezo Osaka - Avispa Fukuoka were as follows:
    09.11.2024 Cerezo Osaka - Avispa Fukuoka 1:0
    18.05.2024 Avispa Fukuoka - Cerezo Osaka 0:3
    30.06.2023 Cerezo Osaka - Avispa Fukuoka 0:1
    25.02.2023 Avispa Fukuoka - Cerezo Osaka 2:1
    Latest results of Cerezo Osaka
    Latest results of Avispa Fukuoka
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers27163840:261451
    2Machida28155842:261650
    3Kashiwa Reysol27148540:271350
    4Vissel Kobe28155836:261050
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima28154933:191449
    6Kyoto26146643:301348
    7Urawa Reds27128738:30844
    8Kawasaki Frontale27119745:351042
    9Okayama271161026:23339
    10Cerezo Osaka27108941:38338
    11Avispa Fukuoka27910827:26137
    12Gamba Osaka281141333:40-737
    13Shimizu S-Pulse27881130:35-532
    14Verdy27871216:28-1231
    15FC Tokyo26861229:37-830
    16Nagoya Grampus27771333:41-828
    17Yokohama F. Marinos27671426:34-825
    18Shonan Bellmare27671422:42-2025
    19Yokohama FC27641718:35-1722
    20Albirex Niigata27481527:47-2020

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