Result
2:0
24/05/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 18
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Optus Sport |
 China | QQ Sports |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.90 | 0.96 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (448/533) | 75% (257/344) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.90 | 0.96 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.11 | 0.54 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (448/533) | 75% (257/344) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 24% (10/42) | 27% (12/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (86/122) | 65% (100/155) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (4/11) | 16% (3/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 0.65 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (5/7) | 56% (10/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 37 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.54 | 3.11 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.54 | 1.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 20', Tashiro M. 🟨,
- 33', Matsuoka D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Tashiro M. ↓, Hashimoto Y. ↑,
- 46', Nishio R. ↓, Sakata R. ↑,
- 50', Maejima Y. 🟨,
- 53', Fernandes L. 🟨,
- 64', Kitano S. 🟨,
- 67', Kitano S. ↓, Shibayama M. ↑,
- 67', Kida H. ↓, Nakajima M. ↑,
- 68', Fujimoto K. ↓, Shigemi M. ↑,
- 68', Maejima Y. ↓, Yuzawa M. ↑,
- 75', Kagawa S. 🟨,
- 79', Kagawa S. ↓, Uejo S. ↑,
- 79', Konno K. ↓, Maeda I. ↑,
- 84', 1 - 0, Shibayama M. ⚽, Nakajima M. (A),
- 86', Shichi T. ↓, Wellington ↑,
- 90+3', Fernandes L. ↓, Funaki K. ↑,
- 90+8', 2 - 0, Rafael Ratao ⚽, Sakata R. (A),
Chances of winning
Cerezo Osaka
42.8% | Draw
29% | Avispa Fukuoka
28.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cerezo Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)Avispa Fukuoka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerezo Osaka than the current prediction. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Cerezo Osaka - Avispa Fukuoka Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.2 ↓
(2.31) |
3.24 ↓
(3.26) |
3.34 ↑
(3.13) |
6.3%
(6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Cerezo Osaka - Avispa Fukuoka?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Cerezo Osaka will win (votes: 15 - 78.9%). Avispa Fukuoka will win (votes: 3 - 15.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cerezo Osaka: 60.6% – 97.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cerezo Osaka will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 3.
- Cerezo Osaka is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Avispa Fukuoka is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, Cerezo Osaka has had a series of away games.
- Cerezo Osaka could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Cerezo Osaka: Hirano Y.
(Knee Injury)
Homma S.
(Injury)
Tanaka S.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Avispa Fukuoka: Hisashi J.
(Knee Injury)
Ikeda J.
(Knee Injury)
Oda I.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cerezo Osaka won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Cerezo Osaka won against Avispa Fukuoka?
Cerezo Osaka has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Avispa Fukuoka won against Cerezo Osaka?
Avispa Fukuoka has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cerezo Osaka - Avispa Fukuoka were as follows:
09.11.2024
Cerezo Osaka
-
Avispa Fukuoka
1:0
18.05.2024
Avispa Fukuoka
-
Cerezo Osaka
0:3
30.06.2023
Cerezo Osaka
-
Avispa Fukuoka
0:1
25.02.2023
Avispa Fukuoka
-
Cerezo Osaka
2:1
Latest results of Cerezo Osaka
Latest results of Avispa Fukuoka
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 34:22 | 12 | 46 |
| 2 | Kashima Antlers | 24 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 36:24 | 12 | 44 |
| 3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 33:23 | 10 | 44 |
| 4 | Kyoto | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 40:29 | 11 | 42 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 29:18 | 11 | 42 |
| 6 | Machida | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 34:25 | 9 | 40 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 38:26 | 12 | 38 |
| 8 | Urawa Reds | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 32:24 | 8 | 38 |
| 9 | Cerezo Osaka | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 37:33 | 4 | 34 |
| 10 | Gamba Osaka | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 29:31 | -2 | 34 |
| 11 | Avispa Fukuoka | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 21:23 | -2 | 32 |
| 12 | Okayama | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 20:22 | -2 | 30 |
| 13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29:32 | -3 | 30 |
| 14 | FC Tokyo | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 27:34 | -7 | 29 |
| 15 | Nagoya Grampus | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 28:33 | -5 | 28 |
| 16 | Verdy | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 15:24 | -9 | 28 |
| 17 | Shonan Bellmare | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 20:37 | -17 | 24 |
| 18 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 23:32 | -9 | 21 |
| 19 | Yokohama FC | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 14:30 | -16 | 19 |
| 20 | Albirex Niigata | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 24:41 | -17 | 19 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League
