Result
2:4
13/09/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 29
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Sporty TV, StarTimes App |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Brazil | Canal GOAT |
 China | K-Ball |
 Hong-kong | myTV SUPER |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 2.23 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (320/382) | 85% (351/414) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 2.23 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 3.91 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (320/382) | 85% (351/414) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (27/53) | 45% (23/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (69/95) | 73% (94/128) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (7/23) | 38% (6/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 1.19 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 9 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (6/8) | 30% (3/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 32 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.91 | 0.93 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.09 | -1.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 41', 1 - 0, Miki T. ⚽, Hashimoto Y. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 4)
- 54', 1 - 1, Shibayama M. ⚽, Thiago Andrade (A),
- 56', Kamijima T. ↓, Yuzawa M. ↑,
- 60', Yoshino K. ↓, Tanaka S. ↑,
- 64', 1 - 2, Shibayama M. ⚽,
- 66', Zahedi S. ↓, Wellington ↑,
- 66', Oda I. ↓, Konno K. ↑,
- 73', Nakajima M. ↓, Rafael Ratao ↑,
- 77', 1 - 3, Rafael Ratao ⚽,
- 83', Fujimoto K. ↓, Ben Khalifa N. ↑,
- 83', Hashimoto Y. ↓, Tashiro M. ↑,
- 84', Inoue R. ↓, Shindo R. ↑,
- 84', Shibayama M. ↓, Kida H. ↑,
- 84', Thiago Andrade ↓, Homma S. ↑,
- 89', 1 - 4, Rafael Ratao ⚽,
- 90+4', Wellington 🟨,
- 90+8', 2 - 4, Wellington ⚽, Nago S. (A),
Chances of winning
Avispa Fukuoka
29.6% | Draw
28.7% | Cerezo Osaka
41.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Avispa Fukuoka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)Cerezo Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerezo Osaka than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Avispa Fukuoka - Cerezo Osaka Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.17 ↑
(2.92) |
3.28 ↑
(3.25) |
2.27 ↓
(2.39) |
6.2%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Avispa Fukuoka - Cerezo Osaka?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Avispa Fukuoka will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Cerezo Osaka will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cerezo Osaka: 25.1% – 83.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Avispa Fukuoka (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avispa Fukuoka won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Recently, Avispa Fukuoka has had a series of away games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Avispa Fukuoka: Ando T.
(Yellow Cards)
Hisashi J.
(Knee Injury)
Ikeda J.
(Knee Injury)
Matsuoka D.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Cerezo Osaka: Noborizato K.
(Knee Injury)
Takahashi N.
(Foot Injury)
Uejo S.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Avispa Fukuoka: Iwasaki Y.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Cerezo Osaka: Hirano Y.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Avispa Fukuoka won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 0.8:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Avispa Fukuoka won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Avispa Fukuoka won against Cerezo Osaka?
Avispa Fukuoka has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cerezo Osaka won against Avispa Fukuoka?
Cerezo Osaka has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Avispa Fukuoka - Cerezo Osaka were as follows:
24.05.2025
Cerezo Osaka
-
Avispa Fukuoka
2:0
09.11.2024
Cerezo Osaka
-
Avispa Fukuoka
1:0
18.05.2024
Avispa Fukuoka
-
Cerezo Osaka
0:3
30.06.2023
Cerezo Osaka
-
Avispa Fukuoka
0:1
25.02.2023
Avispa Fukuoka
-
Cerezo Osaka
2:1
Latest results of Avispa Fukuoka
Latest results of Cerezo Osaka
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 35 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 53:29 | 24 | 67 |
| 2 | Kashiwa Reysol | 35 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 55:33 | 22 | 66 |
| 3 | Kyoto | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 59:37 | 22 | 62 |
| 4 | Vissel Kobe | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 43:28 | 15 | 61 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 35 | 17 | 8 | 10 | 39:26 | 13 | 59 |
| 6 | Machida | 35 | 16 | 9 | 10 | 49:35 | 14 | 57 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 35 | 15 | 11 | 9 | 65:50 | 15 | 56 |
| 8 | Urawa Reds | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 40:36 | 4 | 53 |
| 9 | Gamba Osaka | 35 | 16 | 5 | 14 | 48:52 | -4 | 53 |
| 10 | Cerezo Osaka | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 54:50 | 4 | 49 |
| 11 | FC Tokyo | 35 | 12 | 9 | 14 | 39:47 | -8 | 45 |
| 12 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 35 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 39:44 | -5 | 44 |
| 13 | Verdy | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 22:36 | -14 | 42 |
| 14 | Avispa Fukuoka | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 32:37 | -5 | 41 |
| 15 | Okayama | 35 | 11 | 8 | 16 | 31:40 | -9 | 41 |
| 16 | Nagoya Grampus | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 42:52 | -10 | 40 |
| 17 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 39:44 | -5 | 37 |
| 18 | Yokohama FC | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 23:41 | -18 | 32 |
| 19 | Shonan Bellmare | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 29:58 | -29 | 26 |
| 20 | Albirex Niigata | 34 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 30:56 | -26 | 22 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League
