Cerezo Osaka vs Shimizu S-Pulse – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J1 League Cerezo Osaka - Shimizu S-Pulse
Result
4:2
01/06/2025 at 02:03 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 19
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaOptus Sport
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
indonesiaIndonesiaPSJ TV
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.270.92
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
1913
Shots on target
84
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
123
Passes
77% (317/411)87% (371/427)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
2.270.92
xG on target (xGOT)
3.540.92
Total shots
1913
Shots on target
84
Shots off target
75
Blocked Shots
44
Shots inside the Box
118
Shots outside the Box
85
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
21
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
123
Touches in opposition box
2716
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
42
Free Kicks
1219
Passes
77% (317/411)87% (371/427)
Long passes
41% (24/59)49% (21/43)
Passes in final third
55% (80/145)76% (97/128)
Crosses
38% (8/21)16% (3/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.290.92
Throw-ins
1717
Fouls
1912
Tackles
59% (10/17)71% (12/17)
Duels won
4353
Clearances
1628
Interceptions
109
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
0.923.54
Goals prevented
-1.08-0.46

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 4', 0 - 1, Yamahara R. ,
  • 10', Kitano S. (Pen),
  • 13', 1 - 1, Takahashi N. , Fernandes L. (A),
  • 18', 2 - 1, Nakajima M. , Fernandes L. (A),
  • 25', Kitagawa K. , Yajima S. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Matsuzaki K. , Nakahara H. ,
  • 46', Sumiyoshi J. , Hasukawa S. ,
  • 54', 3 - 1, Rafael Ratao ,
  • 64', Takahashi Y. 🟨,
  • 68', Uno Z. , Kozuka K. ,
  • 70', 4 - 1, Fernandes L. , Kitano S. (A),
  • 73', Thiago Andrade , Sakata R. ,
  • 73', Capixaba , Gunji R. ,
  • 77', Rafael Ratao 🟨,
  • 83', Nakajima M. , Kagawa S. ,
  • 83', Sakata R. , Shibayama M. ,
  • 89', 4 - 2, Gunji R. ,
  • 90+4', Kitano S. , Uejo S. ,
  • 90+4', Rafael Ratao , Furuyama K. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cerezo Osaka
39.2%
Draw
26.4%
Shimizu S-Pulse
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.6% 27.4% 31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8% 27.3% 30.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cerezo Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • Shimizu S-Pulse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerezo Osaka than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shimizu S-Pulse than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • Cerezo Osaka - Shimizu S-Pulse Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.4
    (2.29)
    3.55
    (3.48)
    2.73
    (3.07)
    6.4%
    (5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Cerezo Osaka - Shimizu S-Pulse?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Cerezo Osaka will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Cerezo Osaka (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 2.
    • Cerezo Osaka is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Shimizu is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Cerezo Osaka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Cerezo Osaka: Hirano Y. (Knee Injury) Homma S. (Injury) Tanaka S. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 34:29. (average 1.7:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cerezo Osaka won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 23:11. (average 2.3:1.1).
    Latest results of Cerezo Osaka
    Latest results of Shimizu S-Pulse
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers25152837:241347
    2Kashiwa Reysol25138435:231247
    3Vissel Kobe25144734:241046
    4Kyoto25136642:301245
    5Machida25134836:251143
    6Sanfrecce Hiroshima25134829:181143
    7Urawa Reds25118634:25941
    8Kawasaki Frontale25108740:31938
    9Cerezo Osaka25107840:34637
    10Avispa Fukuoka2598826:25135
    11Gamba Osaka251041129:34-534
    12Okayama25961023:22133
    13Shimizu S-Pulse25871029:32-331
    14Verdy25871016:24-831
    15FC Tokyo25851227:35-829
    16Nagoya Grampus25771129:35-628
    17Shonan Bellmare25661320:39-1924
    18Yokohama F. Marinos25561423:33-1021
    19Yokohama FC25541615:32-1719
    20Albirex Niigata25471425:44-1919

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