Result
4:2
01/06/2025 at 02:03 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 19
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Australia | Optus Sport |
India | FanCode, FanCode |
Indonesia | PSJ TV |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.27 | 0.92 |
Ball Possession |
---|
49% | 51% |
Total shots |
---|
19 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
8 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
12 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
77% (317/411) | 87% (371/427) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.27 | 0.92 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
3.54 | 0.92 |
Total shots |
---|
19 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
8 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
7 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
11 | 8 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
8 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
2 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
12 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
27 | 16 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
4 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
12 | 19 |
Passes |
---|
77% (317/411) | 87% (371/427) |
Long passes |
---|
41% (24/59) | 49% (21/43) |
Passes in final third |
---|
55% (80/145) | 76% (97/128) |
Crosses |
---|
38% (8/21) | 16% (3/19) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.29 | 0.92 |
Throw-ins |
---|
17 | 17 |
Fouls |
---|
19 | 12 |
Tackles |
---|
59% (10/17) | 71% (12/17) |
Duels won |
---|
43 | 53 |
Clearances |
---|
16 | 28 |
Interceptions |
---|
10 | 9 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
2 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.92 | 3.54 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-1.08 | -0.46 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 4', 0 - 1, Yamahara R. ⚽,
- 10', Kitano S. (Pen),
- 13', 1 - 1, Takahashi N. ⚽, Fernandes L. (A),
- 18', 2 - 1, Nakajima M. ⚽, Fernandes L. (A),
- 25', Kitagawa K. ↓, Yajima S. ↑,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Matsuzaki K. ↓, Nakahara H. ↑,
- 46', Sumiyoshi J. ↓, Hasukawa S. ↑,
- 54', 3 - 1, Rafael Ratao ⚽,
- 64', Takahashi Y. 🟨,
- 68', Uno Z. ↓, Kozuka K. ↑,
- 70', 4 - 1, Fernandes L. ⚽, Kitano S. (A),
- 73', Thiago Andrade ↓, Sakata R. ↑,
- 73', Capixaba ↓, Gunji R. ↑,
- 77', Rafael Ratao 🟨,
- 83', Nakajima M. ↓, Kagawa S. ↑,
- 83', Sakata R. ↓, Shibayama M. ↑,
- 89', 4 - 2, Gunji R. ⚽,
- 90+4', Kitano S. ↓, Uejo S. ↑,
- 90+4', Rafael Ratao ↓, Furuyama K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Cerezo Osaka 39.2% | Draw 26.4% | Shimizu S-Pulse 34.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cerezo Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)Shimizu S-Pulse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerezo Osaka than the current prediction. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shimizu S-Pulse than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Cerezo Osaka - Shimizu S-Pulse Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.4 ↑ (2.29) |
3.55 ↑ (3.48) |
2.73 ↓ (3.07) |
6.4% (5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Cerezo Osaka - Shimizu S-Pulse?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Cerezo Osaka will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Cerezo Osaka (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 2.
- Cerezo Osaka is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Shimizu is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Cerezo Osaka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Cerezo Osaka: Hirano Y.
(Knee Injury)
Homma S.
(Injury)
Tanaka S.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 34:29. (average 1.7:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cerezo Osaka won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 23:11. (average 2.3:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Cerezo Osaka won against Shimizu S-Pulse?
Cerezo Osaka has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shimizu S-Pulse won against Cerezo Osaka?
Shimizu S-Pulse has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cerezo Osaka - Shimizu S-Pulse were as follows:
Latest results of Cerezo Osaka
Latest results of Shimizu S-Pulse
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Vissel Kobe | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 34:22 | 12 | 46 |
2 | Kashima Antlers | 24 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 36:24 | 12 | 44 |
3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 33:23 | 10 | 44 |
4 | Kyoto | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 40:29 | 11 | 42 |
5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 29:18 | 11 | 42 |
6 | Machida | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 34:25 | 9 | 40 |
7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 38:26 | 12 | 38 |
8 | Urawa Reds | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 32:24 | 8 | 37 |
9 | Cerezo Osaka | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 37:33 | 4 | 34 |
10 | Gamba Osaka | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 29:31 | -2 | 34 |
11 | Avispa Fukuoka | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 21:23 | -2 | 31 |
12 | Okayama | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 20:22 | -2 | 30 |
13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29:32 | -3 | 30 |
14 | FC Tokyo | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 27:34 | -7 | 29 |
15 | Nagoya Grampus | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 28:33 | -5 | 28 |
16 | Verdy | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 15:24 | -9 | 28 |
17 | Shonan Bellmare | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 20:37 | -17 | 24 |
18 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 23:32 | -9 | 21 |
19 | Yokohama FC | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 14:30 | -16 | 19 |
20 | Albirex Niigata | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 24:41 | -17 | 19 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League