Result
1:0 penalties
07/03/2026 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.61 | 0.62 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (437/551) | 70% (260/372) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.61 | 0.62 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 37 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (437/551) | 70% (260/372) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (32/61) | 34% (25/73) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (108/153) | 50% (68/137) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 43% (9/21) | 13% (2/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.60 | 0.37 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (12/22) | 57% (13/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 61 | 62 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 8 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.53 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.53 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 8', Park Seung-Wook 🟨,
- 43', Matheus Bueno 🟨,
- 45+2', Tanaka S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 62', Chiba K. ↓, Takahashi T. ↑,
- 62', Kitagawa K. ↓, Matsuzaki K. ↑,
- 62', Honda Y. ↓, Kitazume K. ↑,
- 67', Yokoyama Y. ↓, Homma S. ↑,
- 67', Thiago Andrade ↓, Sakata R. ↑,
- 71', Kozuka K. ↓, Uno Z. ↑,
- 79', Homma S. 🟨,
- 82', Ishiwatari N. ↓, Kida H. ↑,
- 87', Nakajima M. ↓, Shibayama M. ↑,
- 90+3', Sumiyoshi J. 🟨,
- Penalties (4 - 2)
- 1, Capixaba (Penalty Awarded),
- 1, Tanaka S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Matheus Bueno (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Cools D. (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Uno Z. (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Hatanaka S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Kitazume K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Shibayama M. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Cerezo Osaka
43.3% | Draw
26.2% | Shimizu S-Pulse
30.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cerezo Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)Shimizu S-Pulse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
Cerezo Osaka - Shimizu S-Pulse Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.18 ↓
(2.23) |
3.55 ↓
(3.85) |
3.09 ↑
(2.86) |
6.6%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Cerezo Osaka - Shimizu S-Pulse?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Cerezo Osaka will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cerezo Osaka: 50.6% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cerezo Osaka (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Shimizu (2.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Cerezo Osaka (votes: 1 - 50%). Shimizu (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 15th place) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 13th place))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 3.
- Cerezo Osaka might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Cerezo Osaka: Fernandes L.
(Knee Injury)
Kim Jin-Hyeon
(Ankle Injury)
Takahashi T.
(Back Injury)
Uejo S.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Shimizu: Takahashi Y.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 38:29. (average 1.9:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cerezo Osaka won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 24:11. (average 2.4:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Cerezo Osaka won against Shimizu S-Pulse?
Cerezo Osaka has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shimizu S-Pulse won against Cerezo Osaka?
Shimizu S-Pulse has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cerezo Osaka - Shimizu S-Pulse were as follows:
09.11.2025
Shimizu S-Pulse
-
Cerezo Osaka
1:4
01.06.2025
Cerezo Osaka
-
Shimizu S-Pulse
4:2
Latest results of Cerezo Osaka
Latest results of Shimizu S-Pulse
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13:4 | 19 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13:7 | 15 |
| 3 | Machida | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11:11 | 12 |
| 4 | Urawa Reds | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10:8 | 11 |
| 5 | Verdy | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11:11 | 11 |
| 6 | Kawasaki Frontale | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12:8 | 10 |
| 7 | Mito | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9:14 | 8 |
| 8 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7:12 | 6 |
| 9 | Kashiwa Reysol | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9:13 | 5 |
| 10 | Chiba | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5:12 | 5 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Gamba Osaka | 7 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12:10 | 13 |
| 2 | Vissel Kobe | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11:6 | 12 |
| 3 | Kyoto | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10:8 | 12 |
| 4 | Nagoya Grampus | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11:10 | 12 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11:7 | 11 |
| 6 | Okayama | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9:10 | 11 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 7 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:9 | 10 |
| 8 | Cerezo Osaka | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7:7 | 9 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:15 | 3 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
