Result
16/08/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 8
- Referee: Romero B. (Par)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Chances of winning
Guaraní Asuncion
29.7% | Draw
28.7% | Cerro Porteño
41.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guaraní Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)Cerro Porteño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (-5.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guaraní Asuncion that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (+7.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cerro Porteño could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Guaraní Asuncion - Cerro Porteño Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.1 ↓
(3.66) |
3.21 ↓
(3.25) |
2.21 ↑
(2.02) |
8.6%
(7.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guaraní won 3.
- Guaraní is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Cerro Porteño is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Guaraní may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Cerro Porteño could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Guaraní won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 16:27. (average 0.8:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Guaraní won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Guaraní Asuncion won against Cerro Porteño?
Guaraní Asuncion has won 4 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cerro Porteño won against Guaraní Asuncion?
Cerro Porteño has won 5 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Guaraní Asuncion - Cerro Porteño were as follows:
10.05.2025
Guaraní Asuncion
-
Cerro Porteño
0:2
02.03.2025
Cerro Porteño
-
Guaraní Asuncion
0:1
16.11.2024
Cerro Porteño
-
Guaraní Asuncion
1:2
31.08.2024
Guaraní Asuncion
-
Cerro Porteño
1:0
22.05.2024
Cerro Porteño
-
Guaraní Asuncion
2:0
Latest results of Guaraní Asuncion
Latest results of Cerro Porteño
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cerro Porteno | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 13:6 | 7 | 17 |
| 2 | Guarani | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15:5 | 10 | 16 |
| 3 | Sportivo Trinidense | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12:7 | 5 | 14 |
| 4 | Sp. Luqueno | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12:7 | 5 | 13 |
| 5 | Nacional Asuncion | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 12 |
| 6 | Libertad Asuncion | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:4 | 6 | 11 |
| 7 | 2 de Mayo | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 9 |
| 8 | Recoleta | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:15 | -3 | 8 |
| 9 | Olimpia Asuncion | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11:14 | -3 | 8 |
| 10 | General Caballero JLM | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5:11 | -6 | 8 |
| 11 | Ameliano | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:16 | -10 | 4 |
| 12 | Atl. Tembetary | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6:18 | -12 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
