Result
0:2
10/05/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 18
- Referee: Lopez D. (Par)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 1.29 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (230/330) | 75% (260/348) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 1.29 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.07 | 1.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (230/330) | 75% (260/348) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (19/55) | 42% (27/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (57/101) | 51% (47/92) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (8/23) | 50% (8/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 0.81 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 52% (12/23) | 80% (12/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 61 | 72 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.00 | 0.07 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.00 | 0.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 4', Leon D. 🟨,
- 8', 0 - 1, Araujo S. ⚽,
- 22', Pinatares B. ↓, Maiz A. ↑,
- 26', 0 - 2, Araujo S. ⚽, Aguayo G. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Mendieta W. ↓, Torales Richard ↑,
- 46', Araujo S. ↓, Rodriguez D. ↑,
- 46', Rodriguez D. 🟨,
- 55', Vargas G. 🟨,
- 56', Benitez Cabrera A. J. ↓, Cespedes V. ↑,
- 63', Dominguez C. ↓, Chico ↑,
- 65', Perez D. ↓, Patino Martinez J. ↑,
- 65', Fernandez F. ↓, Pereira A. ↑,
- 67', Manzur A. 🟨,
- 73', Fernandez D. 🟨,
- 80', Farina A. ↓, Piris R. ↑,
- 88', Perez M. ↓, Velazquez G. ↑,
- 89', Aguayo G. ↓, Iturbe J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Guaraní Asuncion
28.8% | Draw
29.8% | Cerro Porteño
41.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guaraní Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)Cerro Porteño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cerro Porteño could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Guaraní Asuncion - Cerro Porteño Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.23 ↓
(3.55) |
3.11 ↓
(3.29) |
2.24 ↑
(2.05) |
7.7%
(7.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Guaraní Asuncion - Cerro Porteño?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Guaraní will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Cerro Porteño will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Guaraní (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.25 - Guaraní (votes: 3 - 100%).
- AH +0.5 - Guaraní (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 and 4).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guaraní won 3.
- Guaraní has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Cerro Porteño has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Cerro Porteño may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Cerro Porteño has had a series of home games.
- Cerro Porteño could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Guaraní won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 17:25. (average 0.9:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Guaraní won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.1:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Guaraní Asuncion won against Cerro Porteño?
Guaraní Asuncion has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cerro Porteño won against Guaraní Asuncion?
Cerro Porteño has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Guaraní Asuncion - Cerro Porteño were as follows:
02.03.2025
Cerro Porteño
-
Guaraní Asuncion
0:1
16.11.2024
Cerro Porteño
-
Guaraní Asuncion
1:2
31.08.2024
Guaraní Asuncion
-
Cerro Porteño
1:0
22.05.2024
Cerro Porteño
-
Guaraní Asuncion
2:0
01.03.2024
Guaraní Asuncion
-
Cerro Porteño
1:1
Latest results of Guaraní Asuncion
Latest results of Cerro Porteño
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Nacional Asuncion | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 10 |
| 2 | Sportivo Trinidense | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8:5 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Cerro Porteno | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | Sp. Luqueno | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | 2 de Mayo | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 7 |
| 6 | Recoleta | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:7 | 1 | 6 |
| 7 | Olimpia Asuncion | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Guarani | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | Ameliano | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 3 |
| 10 | Libertad Asuncion | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
| 11 | Atl. Tembetary | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 0 |
| 12 | General Caballero JLM | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:9 | -8 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
