Result
1:0
02/11/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 19
- Referee: Benitez J. (Par)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 0.46 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (271/372) | 63% (200/316) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 0.46 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 0.25 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (271/372) | 63% (200/316) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 34% (24/70) | 24% (19/80) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (74/113) | 42% (45/106) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (6/23) | 13% (1/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 0.91 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (13/19) | 76% (16/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 69 | 65 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.25 | 1.25 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.25 | 0.25 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 35', Lopez M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 58', Ramirez I. ↓, Torales R. ↑,
- 61', Morel J. ↓, Aliseda I. ↑,
- 65', 1 - 0, Aliseda I. ⚽, Araujo S. (A),
- 66', Aliseda I. 🟨,
- 72', Araujo S. ↓, Torres J. ↑,
- 73', Dominguez C. ↓, Piris R. ↑,
- 74', Jhon Sanchez 🟨,
- 74', Lopez M. ↓, Fernandez D. ↑,
- 75', Servin T. ↓, Coronel P. ↑,
- 82', Manzur A. ↓, Maiz A. ↑,
- 82', Martinez L. ↓, Pereira A. ↑,
- 83', Torales R. 🟨,
- 85', Fernandez D. 🟨,
- 88', Iturbe J. ↓, Amarilla L. ↑,
- 88', Carrizo F. ↓, Valdez B. ↑,
- 90+1', Velazquez G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cerro Porteño
50.1% | Draw
26.8% | Guaraní Asuncion
23% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cerro Porteño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)Guaraní Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Cerro Porteño - Guaraní Asuncion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.84 ↑
(1.75) |
3.45 ↓
(3.69) |
4.09 ↓
(4.12) |
7.8%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Cerro Porteño - Guaraní Asuncion?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerro Porteño won 2.
- In recent matches, Cerro Porteño has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Guaraní is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Cerro Porteño may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Cerro Porteño is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cerro Porteño won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 30:19. (average 1.5:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cerro Porteño won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:6. (average 1.4:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Cerro Porteño won against Guaraní Asuncion?
Cerro Porteño has won 6 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Guaraní Asuncion won against Cerro Porteño?
Guaraní Asuncion has won 4 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cerro Porteño - Guaraní Asuncion were as follows:
16.08.2025
Guaraní Asuncion
-
Cerro Porteño
3:4
10.05.2025
Guaraní Asuncion
-
Cerro Porteño
0:2
02.03.2025
Cerro Porteño
-
Guaraní Asuncion
0:1
16.11.2024
Cerro Porteño
-
Guaraní Asuncion
1:2
31.08.2024
Guaraní Asuncion
-
Cerro Porteño
1:0
Latest results of Cerro Porteño
Latest results of Guaraní Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 10:5 | 5 | 17 |
| 2 | Nacional Asuncion | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:5 | 7 | 13 |
| 3 | Recoleta | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 11 |
| 4 | Ameliano | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 11 |
| 5 | Cerro Porteno | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 11 |
| 6 | Sportivo Trinidense | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 10 |
| 7 | Sp. Luqueno | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 10 |
| 8 | Guarani | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 8 |
| 9 | Rubio Nu | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 6 |
| 10 | Libertad Asuncion | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6:9 | -3 | 5 |
| 11 | 2 de Mayo | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:12 | -9 | 2 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4:13 | -9 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
