Result
0:2
10/05/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 18
- Referee: Lopez D. (Par)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.66 | 1.29 |
Ball Possession |
---|
49% | 51% |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 14 |
Shots on target |
---|
1 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
70% (230/330) | 75% (260/348) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.66 | 1.29 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.07 | 1.00 |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 14 |
Shots on target |
---|
1 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
10 | 8 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
8 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 8 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
26 | 24 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
4 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
---|
14 | 14 |
Passes |
---|
70% (230/330) | 75% (260/348) |
Long passes |
---|
35% (19/55) | 42% (27/64) |
Passes in final third |
---|
56% (57/101) | 51% (47/92) |
Crosses |
---|
35% (8/23) | 50% (8/16) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.34 | 0.81 |
Throw-ins |
---|
20 | 20 |
Fouls |
---|
14 | 14 |
Tackles |
---|
52% (12/23) | 80% (12/15) |
Duels won |
---|
61 | 72 |
Clearances |
---|
22 | 38 |
Interceptions |
---|
4 | 14 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
0 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.00 | 0.07 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-1.00 | 0.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 4', Leon D. 🟨,
- 8', 0 - 1, Araujo S. ⚽,
- 22', Pinatares B. ↓, Maiz A. ↑,
- 26', 0 - 2, Araujo S. ⚽, Aguayo G. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Mendieta W. ↓, Torales Richard ↑,
- 46', Araujo S. ↓, Rodriguez D. ↑,
- 46', Rodriguez D. 🟨,
- 55', Vargas G. 🟨,
- 56', Benitez Cabrera A. J. ↓, Cespedes V. ↑,
- 63', Dominguez C. ↓, Chico ↑,
- 65', Perez D. ↓, Patino Martinez J. ↑,
- 65', Fernandez F. ↓, Pereira A. ↑,
- 67', Manzur A. 🟨,
- 73', Fernandez D. 🟨,
- 80', Farina A. ↓, Piris R. ↑,
- 88', Perez M. ↓, Velazquez G. ↑,
- 89', Aguayo G. ↓, Iturbe J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Guaraní Asuncion 28.8% | Draw 29.8% | Cerro Porteño 41.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guaraní Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)Cerro Porteño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cerro Porteño could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Guaraní Asuncion - Cerro Porteño Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.23 ↓ (3.55) |
3.11 ↓ (3.29) |
2.24 ↑ (2.05) |
7.7% (7.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Guaraní Asuncion - Cerro Porteño?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Guaraní will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Cerro Porteño will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Guaraní (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.25 - Guaraní (votes: 3 - 100%).
- AH +0.5 - Guaraní (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 and 4).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guaraní won 3.
- Guaraní has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Cerro Porteño has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Cerro Porteño may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Cerro Porteño has had a series of home games.
- Cerro Porteño could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Guaraní won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 17:25. (average 0.9:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Guaraní won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.1:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Guaraní Asuncion won against Cerro Porteño?
Guaraní Asuncion has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cerro Porteño won against Guaraní Asuncion?
Cerro Porteño has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Guaraní Asuncion - Cerro Porteño were as follows:
02.03.2025
Cerro Porteño
-
Guaraní Asuncion
0:1
16.11.2024
Cerro Porteño
-
Guaraní Asuncion
1:2
31.08.2024
Guaraní Asuncion
-
Cerro Porteño
1:0
22.05.2024
Cerro Porteño
-
Guaraní Asuncion
2:0
01.03.2024
Guaraní Asuncion
-
Cerro Porteño
1:1
Latest results of Guaraní Asuncion
Latest results of Cerro Porteño
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Nacional Asuncion | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 10 |
2 | Sportivo Trinidense | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8:5 | 3 | 7 |
3 | Cerro Porteno | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 7 |
4 | Sp. Luqueno | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 7 |
5 | 2 de Mayo | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 7 |
6 | Recoleta | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:7 | 1 | 6 |
7 | Olimpia Asuncion | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 4 |
8 | Guarani | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
9 | Ameliano | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 3 |
10 | Libertad Asuncion | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
11 | Atl. Tembetary | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 0 |
12 | General Caballero JLM | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:9 | -8 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )