Result
0:2
07/03/2026 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 9
- Referee: Benitez J. (Par)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 2.36 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (227/331) | 69% (245/357) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 2.36 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.18 | 2.71 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (227/331) | 69% (245/357) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (28/67) | 38% (29/76) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 48% (50/105) | 53% (54/102) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (5/18) | 36% (5/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.99 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 28 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 78 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 43 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.71 | 0.18 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.71 | 0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 45+2', Fernandez D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 58', Bobadilla C. ↓, Dominguez C. ↑,
- 58', 0 - 1, Dominguez C. ⚽,
- 63', Ramirez I. ↓, Fernandez F. ↑,
- 63', Fernandez D. ↓, Mino Amarilla C. E. ↑,
- 73', Piris R. ↓, Morel J. ↑,
- 77', Lopez M. ↓, Llano J. ↑,
- 78', Jhon Sanchez ↓, Romero N. ↑,
- 83', Aliseda I. ↓, Klimowicz M. ↑,
- 83', Peralta F. ↓, Viera W. ↑,
- 86', Servin T. 🟨,
- 88', 0 - 2, Dominguez C. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Guaraní Asuncion
27.6% | Draw
28.9% | Cerro Porteño
43.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guaraní Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)Cerro Porteño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cerro Porteño might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guaraní Asuncion that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (+7.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cerro Porteño could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Guaraní Asuncion - Cerro Porteño Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.36 ↓
(4) |
3.22 ↓
(3.37) |
2.12 ↑
(1.83) |
8.1%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Guaraní Asuncion - Cerro Porteño?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Guaraní will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Cerro Porteño will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Guaraní Asuncion will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 3).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guaraní won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Cerro Porteño is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Guaraní won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 18:30. (average 0.9:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Guaraní won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:16. (average 1.2:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Guaraní Asuncion won against Cerro Porteño?
Guaraní Asuncion has won 4 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cerro Porteño won against Guaraní Asuncion?
Cerro Porteño has won 7 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Guaraní Asuncion - Cerro Porteño were as follows:
02.11.2025
Cerro Porteño
-
Guaraní Asuncion
1:0
16.08.2025
Guaraní Asuncion
-
Cerro Porteño
3:4
10.05.2025
Guaraní Asuncion
-
Cerro Porteño
0:2
02.03.2025
Cerro Porteño
-
Guaraní Asuncion
0:1
16.11.2024
Cerro Porteño
-
Guaraní Asuncion
1:2
Latest results of Guaraní Asuncion
Latest results of Cerro Porteño
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 24:9 | 15 | 36 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 25:13 | 12 | 32 |
| 3 | Ameliano | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 24 |
| 4 | Nacional Asuncion | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 22:17 | 5 | 24 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 19:14 | 5 | 22 |
| 6 | Guarani | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 21:16 | 5 | 21 |
| 7 | Libertad Asuncion | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 21:16 | 5 | 20 |
| 8 | Recoleta | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 19 |
| 9 | Rubio Nu | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 10:19 | -9 | 15 |
| 10 | 2 de Mayo | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 11:24 | -13 | 14 |
| 11 | Sp. Luqueno | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 16:24 | -8 | 12 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 15 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 10:33 | -23 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
