Result
1:0
29/11/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- LaLiga2 - Round 16
- Referee: Lax S. (Esp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Spain | DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, Movistar Plus+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 0.56 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (306/374) | 79% (258/327) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 0.56 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.69 | 0.02 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 21 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (306/374) | 79% (258/327) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (25/50) | 55% (24/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (76/105) | 63% (57/90) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (4/23) | 36% (8/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 0.75 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 21 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (7/12) | 57% (8/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 60 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.02 | 1.69 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.02 | 0.69 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 8', Hernandez C. 🟨,
- 20', 1 - 0, Matos Jose ⚽, Kone K. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Cantero M. ↓, Mejia M. ↑,
- 46', Mollejo V. ↓, Gonzalez M. ↑,
- 47', Anuar 🟨,
- 49', Sierra G. 🟨,
- 64', Atienza M. 🟨,
- 67', Cordoba I. ↓, Garcia F. ↑,
- 71', Miguel F. 🟨,
- 77', Anuar ↓, Almenara G. ↑,
- 77', Ahmed A. ↓, de la Fuente K. ↑,
- 82', Curro ↓, Appin K. ↑,
- 83', Rodriguez C. ↓, Zalazar K. ↑,
- 83', Fernandez Sanchez M. ↓, Obeng S. ↑,
- 85', Obeng S. 🟨,
- 86', Matos Jose 🟨,
- 89', Kone K. ↓, Redruello Nimo C. ↑,
- 90', Redruello Nimo C. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/ycxmkw33
Chances of winning
Ceuta
41.2% | Draw
31.8% | Burgos
27% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ceuta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)Burgos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Ceuta - Burgos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.32 ↓
(2.44) |
2.97 ↓
(3.02) |
3.5 ↑
(3.16) |
5.4%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Ceuta - Burgos?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Ceuta will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Burgos will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Burgos (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Burgos (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- Recent performances by Ceuta have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Burgos is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Ceuta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Ceuta could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Ceuta: Sanchez M.
(Injury)
Sanchez S.
(Injury)
Vallejo M.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Burgos: Chapela I.
(Muscle Injury)
Gonzalez Ballesteros D.
(Yellow Cards)
Morante I.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Ceuta: Ahmed A.
(Injury)
Bassinga A.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Burgos: Cordoba I.
(Injury)
Gonzalez S.
(Injury)
- In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Ceuta won against Burgos?
Ceuta has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Burgos won against Ceuta?
Burgos has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ceuta - Burgos were as follows:
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Santander | 31 | 18 | 5 | 8 | 62:44 | 18 | 59 |
| 2 | Dep. La Coruna | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 48:35 | 13 | 55 |
| 3 | Almeria | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 59:43 | 16 | 55 |
| 4 | Malaga | 31 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 52:37 | 15 | 54 |
| 5 | Las Palmas | 31 | 13 | 12 | 6 | 40:24 | 16 | 51 |
| 6 | Burgos CF | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 36:26 | 10 | 50 |
| 7 | Castellon | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 49:37 | 12 | 49 |
| 8 | Eibar | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 33:30 | 3 | 45 |
| 9 | Gijon | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 42:39 | 3 | 45 |
| 10 | Ceuta | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 39:50 | -11 | 44 |
| 11 | Albacete | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 39:40 | -1 | 42 |
| 12 | Cordoba | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 41:47 | -6 | 41 |
| 13 | Real Sociedad B | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 44:43 | 1 | 40 |
| 14 | Granada CF | 31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 37:34 | 3 | 39 |
| 15 | Andorra | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 37:42 | -5 | 39 |
| 16 | Cadiz CF | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 31:39 | -8 | 38 |
| 17 | Leganes | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 36:34 | 2 | 37 |
| 18 | Valladolid | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 36:45 | -9 | 36 |
| 19 | Huesca | 31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 30:45 | -15 | 31 |
| 20 | Zaragoza | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 27:43 | -16 | 30 |
| 21 | Mirandes | 31 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 30:50 | -20 | 27 |
| 22 | Cultural Leonesa | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 28:49 | -21 | 27 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation
