Ceuta vs Burgos – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
29/11/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 16
  • Referee: Lax S. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
peruPeruDisney+
spainSpainDAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, Movistar Plus+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.130.56
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
149
Shots on target
51
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
107
Passes
82% (306/374)79% (258/327)
Yellow Cards
53
Expected Goals (xG)
1.130.56
xG on target (xGOT)
1.690.02
Total shots
149
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
43
Blocked Shots
55
Shots inside the Box
117
Shots outside the Box
32
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
107
Touches in opposition box
3119
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
15
Free Kicks
1221
Passes
82% (306/374)79% (258/327)
Long passes
50% (25/50)55% (24/44)
Passes in final third
72% (76/105)63% (57/90)
Crosses
17% (4/23)36% (8/22)
Expected assists (xA)
1.460.75
Throw-ins
2118
Fouls
2112
Tackles
58% (7/12)57% (8/14)
Duels won
4460
Clearances
2227
Interceptions
94
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
0.021.69
Goals prevented
0.020.69

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 8', Hernandez C. 🟨,
  • 20', 1 - 0, Matos Jose , Kone K. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Cantero M. , Mejia M. ,
  • 46', Mollejo V. , Gonzalez M. ,
  • 47', Anuar 🟨,
  • 49', Sierra G. 🟨,
  • 64', Atienza M. 🟨,
  • 67', Cordoba I. , Garcia F. ,
  • 71', Miguel F. 🟨,
  • 77', Anuar , Almenara G. ,
  • 77', Ahmed A. , de la Fuente K. ,
  • 82', Curro , Appin K. ,
  • 83', Rodriguez C. , Zalazar K. ,
  • 83', Fernandez Sanchez M. , Obeng S. ,
  • 85', Obeng S. 🟨,
  • 86', Matos Jose 🟨,
  • 89', Kone K. , Redruello Nimo C. ,
  • 90', Redruello Nimo C. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/ycxmkw33

Chances of winning


Ceuta
41.2%
Draw
31.8%
Burgos
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.8% 31.3% 29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41% 33.1% 28.3%

Ceuta - Burgos Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.32
(2.44)
2.97
(3.02)
3.5
(3.16)
5.4%
(5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Ceuta - Burgos?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Ceuta will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Burgos will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • Recent performances by Ceuta have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Burgos is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Ceuta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Ceuta could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Ceuta: Sanchez M. (Injury) Sanchez S. (Injury) Vallejo M. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Burgos: Chapela I. (Muscle Injury) Gonzalez Ballesteros D. (Yellow Cards) Morante I. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Ceuta: Ahmed A. (Injury) Bassinga A. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Burgos: Cordoba I. (Injury) Gonzalez S. (Injury)
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Ceuta
    26.11.2025 Ceuta - Almería 3:2
    16.11.2025 Ceuta - Leganés 1:2
    02.11.2025 Córdoba - Ceuta 2:0
    29.10.2025 La Unión - Ceuta 0:2
    Latest results of Burgos
    23.11.2025 Burgos - Racing Santander 0:2
    16.11.2025 Mirandés - Burgos 0:2
    10.11.2025 Burgos - Castellón 0:0
    01.11.2025 Leganés - Burgos 1:2
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander19114442:271537
    2Las Palmas1997323:111234
    3Dep. La Coruna1995532:211132
    4Almeria1995535:26932
    5Castellon1994630:24631
    6Cadiz CF1986520:19130
    7Gijon1993723:23030
    8Burgos CF1985624:18629
    9Ceuta1985622:23-129
    10Malaga1975726:24226
    11Cordoba1968523:23026
    12Valladolid1966720:19124
    13Andorra1966721:26-524
    14Albacete1965825:31-623
    15Huesca1965818:24-623
    16Cultural Leonesa19721020:28-823
    17Real Sociedad B19631027:29-221
    18Eibar1956821:24-321
    19Granada CF1949621:24-321
    20Leganes1948717:20-320
    21Zaragoza19451016:30-1417
    22Mirandes19441119:31-1216

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